For me, it’s as much about the weight class as it is about Arnold. Arnold has only lost 4 matches this year and they’ve all been in OT (SV or TB).So many guys like to say hawks are in the conversation to win it all, I can get the Angelo but idk what Gabe’s done to be in that conversation.
The only top 10 guys coming back next year are Haines, Pinto, Norman, Thompson and Casella. I think Norman is going to have a hard time staying at 174 with his length and I expect him to move up to at least 184 next year. I also think Thompson looks to go back down to 165 next year. He bumped up this season after Sal Perrine got hurt. So Haines, Pinto, and Casella.
I think PK could be in the running for top 4-5 at 174 next year. If we assume that Arnold is better than Kennedy and not just incrementally better, the only person that just beats the brakes off of PK has been Haines. Gabe has much better defense than PK and their ability to bonus has been comparable this season…so we can call the offense a wash.
If the only opponent that’s a concern is Haines, that almost automatically puts him in discussion to compete for a NC at 174 next year. I’m not saying he will win it, but I think he’s definitely in the discussion there.