Im still hoping Twins can grab him at #21. Really started to improve at the end of the year specifically the command of the fastball and improving his third pitch the splitter. I don't think we can underestimate how much the pitching coach was effecting performance. Langerberg did very well in 2022, took a step back last year, and this year is doing extremely well with the Twins. He just got promoted the other day.
MLB.com had a pretty damning assessment of the Iowa coaching staff and their pitching usage in regard to Brecht.Watched the draft unfold last night . . .
After Brecht wasn't drafted in the first round, I'll admit to having thoughts of "geez, if he drops much further, is there a chance that he comes back to Iowa to try to move up in the '25 draft?" I painfully recall Mark Appel being picked #8 overall by my favorite MLB team (Pirates) and asking for 1-1 money (pretty sure Boras was his agent). When the Bucs didn't pony up 1-1 money, he returned to college. From a purely dollars and cents standpoint, it worked well for him He was the 1-1 pick in the following draft.
Perhaps "Brecht coming back in '25 to increase draft position" involved some wishful thinking on my part after a really disappointing '24 season. (But, seriously, who wants to be a pitcher in Colorado?!)
Slot value at #38 is just under $2.5M. If he could jump to #20, slot is just over $4M. The risks of (a) potential injury; (b) not having a dominating season; and (c) losing significant bargaining power after one's Senior year all point to a relatively easy decision for Brecht - he should start his professional career.
Short of something "weird" happening . . . something revealed in pre-signing medical testing, Brecht will be the latest Iowa pitcher to try to climb his way to the bigs.
I wish him well.
MLB.com had a pretty damning assessment of the Iowa coaching staff and their pitching usage in regard to Brecht.
Despite displaying first-round stuff during his summer high school senior season and getting overtures of first-round money from pro teams in 2021, Brecht turned them down because he was set on playing wide receiver at Iowa. He redshirted in football in his first year with the Hawkeyes and played sparingly in his second before deciding to concentrate on baseball last March. He led NCAA Division I with a .143 opponent average in 2023 before getting off to a slow start this spring as scouts complained about how Iowa has messed with his pitches and mechanics. He made some adjustments on his own and finished strong, which should allow him to become the program's first first-rounder since Tim Costo in 1990.
Click on Brody for report in this link.
Picking Condon, I don't see anyway the Rockies went underslot to spend more money for Brecht. Maybe they could find a few more dollars from lower picks. Otherwise I think Brecht is pretty much locked into the slot bonus for the pick. Ultimately I don't see him coming back to try to improve at the 2+ million slot. Yes if he had dropped deep into the 2nd round he may have been willing. I still think he has a high probability at succeeding. The only thing that would change that is if he doesn't have a significant drive to succeed.
There are still 3 more pitchers in play for the Hawkeyes. Morgan, Obermueller and Oakie. Should know in the first couple rounds today whether they will be coming back or not. If they get past round 5 should be good for the Hawkeyes on all 3.