Summary from yesterday's action:
Georgia Tech flamed out by losing to Pitt, so take them off the board.
Clemson & Wake Forest avoided bad losses. Clemson still probably needs to win at least 2 more; Wake is likely in at this point, but would lock up with a win today vs VA Tech.
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Games in red are most critical (involving teams in "Last 4 Byes", "Last Four In", or "First Four Out" territory).
Syracuse (57) vs Miami (62) - Syracuse still has a prohibitively high RPI (79). It's hard to see them getting in if they lose and push that to 85. Cuse go down and end the season with an estimated RPI of 85 and 2 wins away from home. Luckily, they are likely staying home the rest of the year!
Clemson (72) vs Duke (79)- Not a lot of risk here, but Clemson is still alive and could sneak into a bid with a great run (winning 2-3 more against quality teams). Duke takes care of business and eliminates Clemson.
Oregon St (62) vs California (67) - Again, not a lot of risk here, but Cal is still mentioned among bubble teams, so a loss would certainly finish them off. Cal survives and gets another shot at Utah, but still need 2+ wins.
Wake Forest (90) vs Virginia Tech (99) - Last chance to leave Wake Forest on the bubble. I think they are in regardless, but they aren't a full lock yet. Wake likely in, but they weren't able to add any quality wins in the tournament.
Pitt (63) vs Virginia (75) - Now is the point where we root for chalk in the ACC tournament (except bubble teams). Pitt winning the whole thing would steal a bid, so the earlier they lose the better (and Virginia winning is an RPI bump for us). Virginia gets it done and locks out any ACC surprises. Max ACC can get is 10, now if both Wake and Syracuse are selected.
DePaul (64) vs Xavier (75) - Xavier has been sliding since Sumner got hurt. I don't think they could survive a loss to DePaul. Xavier pulls away and avoids a bad loss. Likely in, despite their late season slide (do they get put in Dayton like the Hawks?)
Washington vs USC - USC is another bubble team that is likely in, but could fall out with a bad loss.
Georgia Tech flamed out by losing to Pitt, so take them off the board.
Clemson & Wake Forest avoided bad losses. Clemson still probably needs to win at least 2 more; Wake is likely in at this point, but would lock up with a win today vs VA Tech.
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Games in red are most critical (involving teams in "Last 4 Byes", "Last Four In", or "First Four Out" territory).
Syracuse (57) vs Miami (62) - Syracuse still has a prohibitively high RPI (79). It's hard to see them getting in if they lose and push that to 85. Cuse go down and end the season with an estimated RPI of 85 and 2 wins away from home. Luckily, they are likely staying home the rest of the year!
Clemson (72) vs Duke (79)- Not a lot of risk here, but Clemson is still alive and could sneak into a bid with a great run (winning 2-3 more against quality teams). Duke takes care of business and eliminates Clemson.
Oregon St (62) vs California (67) - Again, not a lot of risk here, but Cal is still mentioned among bubble teams, so a loss would certainly finish them off. Cal survives and gets another shot at Utah, but still need 2+ wins.
Wake Forest (90) vs Virginia Tech (99) - Last chance to leave Wake Forest on the bubble. I think they are in regardless, but they aren't a full lock yet. Wake likely in, but they weren't able to add any quality wins in the tournament.
Pitt (63) vs Virginia (75) - Now is the point where we root for chalk in the ACC tournament (except bubble teams). Pitt winning the whole thing would steal a bid, so the earlier they lose the better (and Virginia winning is an RPI bump for us). Virginia gets it done and locks out any ACC surprises. Max ACC can get is 10, now if both Wake and Syracuse are selected.
DePaul (64) vs Xavier (75) - Xavier has been sliding since Sumner got hurt. I don't think they could survive a loss to DePaul. Xavier pulls away and avoids a bad loss. Likely in, despite their late season slide (do they get put in Dayton like the Hawks?)
Washington vs USC - USC is another bubble team that is likely in, but could fall out with a bad loss.
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