We're entering the part where the daughter (no pics) is starting to fill out college applications. As she's supposed to do, she's going to apply to a mix of colleges - the reaches, the matches, and the safety schools. We've never done this before, so we're not sure what's going to happen, but it's given us a TON to think about.
One of those is the cost/benefit of how good the school is, versus how much debt she may come out with.
Forgetting for a second that all of here are extremely wealthy, what do you think the right mix is for how good of a school she gets a diploma from, vs how much debt she may end up with when she's done? I know that there is significant benefit to having degrees from some schools that put you at a higher starting point, open up doors, etc. I also know that some low-tier schools give a lot of guaranteed money for highly qualified applicants. And I know that despite the starting point, it can become a matter of what you do with your career once you're in it.
For the purpose of the poll, suppose the following:
"Reach" schools are ones like Harvard, Yale, Dartmouth, Princeton, Penn, Stanford, Georgetown
"Match" schools are ones like U of Virginia, William & Mary, Michigan, U of Texas, Cal, USC, UCLA
"Safety" schools are ones like Virginia Tech, Tennessee, Alabama, Texas A&M, Baylor
Also, if it helps, she's looking to major in one of two things - either route will include graduate/medical school, so this is specific to undergrad:
International Relations, minor in Economics
Biology/Pre-Med
I know that there are more than three possible options out there, but I wanted to keep it simple.
So what do you think the best option is? Is it worth it to get a top tier degree, but get the debt it may come with?
I usually get asked this question about law schools, but my basic answer would be the same. And that is go to the cheapest school in the best grouping you can get into.
So for law schools, I would rank them as:
-Premier Schools (Harvard, Yale, Stanford, Chicago, NYU and Columbia),
-Elite Schools (essentially 7-15 on US News so Penn, UVA, Duke, Northwestern, Michigan ET al),
-Regional Schools (essentially 16-37 on the US News so schools like my William & Mary, Iowa, BYU, Boston College, Emory, George Washington, Notre Dame, etc...)
-State Schools (essentially 38-70 on US News so schools like FSU, Miami, Tennessee, Ohio State, Ped State, Tulane, Baylor, George Mason, the UCs other than LA and Berkeley, etc..)
-“Metro” or Small State Schools (essentially 71-110 in the US News so schools like St Johns, Nebraska, Rutgers, Oklahoma, Pitt, Oregon, FIU, Michigan State, Stetson, Ole Miss, Syracuse, Louisville, etc...)
-Crap Schools (everything I didn’t name).
And here’s the reason for the breakdown. For Premier Schools if you graduate top 10% you will have your pick of jobs anywhere in the country and beat anyone from any college below you. Your only competition is other 10% in Premier Schools. If you’re top 10% at an Elite School, you will lose any job you’re up for against a Top 10% Premier School grad but can probably beat out the other 90% and other than that can find really good placement anywhere in the country.
If you’re top 10% in a Regional School, you’re going to find quite a few states receptive to bringing you in other than jobs taken by the top 10% of Premier and Elite School but you’re probably not going to get a great job flying across the country (meaning William and Mary gets you lots of good jobs in the South East and MidAtlantic but not a lot of options on the Left Coast, meanwhile California-Hastings grads will get some good jobs in California, Oregon and Washington but have to take a lower quality job if they tried to move to Florida or Iowa). Once you dip to Regional Schools, overall cost is no longer the sole factor. It’s also what region do you want to settle in. For example, if the Hastings costs $50k for all three years after scholarships and William and Mary costs $100k after scholarships but you want to work in DC, Charlotte, Atlanta, Miami, Orlando, Tampa, or Nashville instead of LA, San Francisco, Portland, or Seattle then you should still probably choose William and Mary even though it’s pricier.
For State schools, the top 10% are only getting really good jobs within the state or maybe a neighboring state or two. FSU top 10%ers are going to find really good jobs in Florida and Georgia and that’s about it. The jobs elsewhere will not be at the equivalent prestige as those they can get in Florida and Georgia and they’ll likely lose out to top 10% at Premier, Elite, and Regional Schools as well as lose some to nonTop 10% Premier and Elite school grads but probably will beat Regional nontop10%.
For Metro or Small State Schools, your top 10% is probably only getting really excellent job in the greater metro area the school resides in or if it’s a small state like Oklahoma or Mississippi then throughout your small state. Their top 10% are losing jobs to all Premier, Elite, Regional and State top 10% as well as most 11-100% grads from Premier and Elite schools as well as a lot of those nonTop 10 at Regional and State schools. Graduating top 10% at schools like this will still land you some decent jobs but only in a really tight area. Non-top 10%ers will be struggling to find jobs with probably at least 20% having to find nonlegal jobs or really ^+^+ “legal” jobs like being a paralegal for a firm not an attorney.
For Crap schools only the top 10% and maybe the nexts 20-30% are even going to get passable legal jobs. The top 10% here are not getting elite firm positions or clerkships at anywhere other than your local court and they lose to every school ranked higher than them. The others will be fighting tooth and nail to get employed with maybe 50-60% taking nonlegal jobs or jobs like “contract reviewer” that are basically low paying white collar jobs that they can fudge to tell US News and WR that their graduate landed a “law job” while really it’s not a job that requires a law degree.
So with that breakdown with schools explained, it makes no sense to overpay to go to Stanford if Yale is half the price or vice versa. Both are giving you the same opportunity so you want to go cheap. If Columbia offers you a full ride and Harvard wants you to pay half, you go to Columbia no further questions asked. BUT...if the choice is Harvard at full cost or UVA or Duke for half price, the no brainer is to go to Harvard, you’re essentially paying money to be guaranteed to win head to head interviews against the lesser schools (someone might pipe in and say “Yeah well I graduated top in my class with moot court and law review and beat Harvard grads” and to that my answer is that sure you might have but number 2-30 from your school didn’t and there’s WAY more than one great job). And then you just keep going down the list of schools by Grouping until you hit the schools you’re getting into. In other words you should always choose an Elite School like Vandy over a Regional School like William and Mary; you should always choose a Regional School like William and Mary over a State School like FSU; you should always choose a State School like FSU over a Metro/Small State School like Oklahoma, Louisville or Stetson. And you should always choose the Metro/Small State school like Stetson and Louisville over crap schools like Barry, Florida Coastal, Akron or Dayton. Within the groupings, you want to choose the cheapest school in the area you want to work.
I’m sure there’s similar breakdowns for undergrad schools, but the caveat is you do really have to look at the individual program. For example, Harvard over FSU for undergrad is a nobrainer...unless you are getting into FSU’s film school where there’s only 5 or so better schools in the country all in Cali and Harvard is NOT one of them. So if your daughter isn’t looking for a standard business degree or a science degree that’s based on overall school reputation but is going into something like Music, Film, or a really specialized sub field (for example FSU’s meteorology program is second only to a tiny handful of schools even though our overall rep is only in the 70s or so) then the groupings would matter. But for those unique sub specialties you want to look at the sub specialty ranking to find out where to go and not the overall undergrad score.