D1 Baseball Predicts Iowa 5th in B1G in 2021. On May 6, 2019 IOWA ranked #24 (was Great Season despite 1-7 Finish). 2020 Season Cut Short by Covid

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

B1G RPIs look terrible! Too bad there was no nonconference!

I don’t see why at the very least they couldn’t have lined up some midweek games, and not had the conference tournament. It was an easy out for the conference, so just keep winning and we’ll see what the committee does. I still think they’ll go with the RPI or nothing standard, others disagree.

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa. NCAA TOURNAMENT.

Good, FREE story.

 

[Franisdaman]

Just 3 teams from the B1G projected to make the NCAA Tournament.

Debbie, Ohio State and Michigan.

PROJECTED FIELD OF 64
Fayetteville, Ark.		Blacksburg, Va.
1. (1) Arkansas^*		1. (16) Virginia Tech^
2. Nebraska		2. Florida
3. Stetson*		3. UCLA
4. Florida A&M*		4. Connecticut*
Tucson, Ariz.		Ruston, La.
1. (2) Arizona^*		1. (15) Louisiana Tech^*
2. Georgia		2. Florida State
3. San Diego State*		3. Louisiana-Lafayette*
4. Army*		4. Southeastern Louisiana*
Nashville		Fort Worth, Texas
1. (3) Vanderbilt^		1. (14) Texas Christian^
2. Old Dominion		2. Stanford
3. Ohio State		3. Wichita State
4. Southeast Missouri State*		4. Northeastern*
Austin		Columbia, S.C.
1. (4) Texas^*		1. (13) South Carolina^
2. Alabama		2. Pittsburgh
3. Dallas Baptist		3. Charlotte
4. Bryant*		4. South Carolina-Upstate*
Louisville		Oxford, Miss.
1. (5) Louisville^*		1. (12) Mississippi^
2. Indiana State*		2. Southern Mississippi
3. Louisiana State		3. Clemson
4. North Dakota State*		4. Samford*
Starkville, Miss.		Lubbock, Texas
1. (6) Mississippi State^		1. (11) Texas Tech^
2. Miami		2. Oregon State
3. UC Santa Barbara		3. UC Irvine*
4. Jackson State*		4. Fairfield*
Greenville, N.C.		Eugene, Ore.
1. (7) East Carolina^*		1. (10) Oregon^
2. North Carolina		2. Oklahoma State
3. Arizona State		3. Gonzaga*
4. Fordham*		4. Sacramento State*
South Bend, Ind.		Knoxville, Tenn.
1. (8) Notre Dame^		1. (9) Tennessee^
2. Michigan*		2. Georgia Tech
3. Ball State*		3. Liberty
4. Wright State*		4. Stony Brook*

^ Denotes host school
* Denotes automatic qualifier

Last Four In​

Dallas Baptist
Louisiana State
UC Santa Barbara
Liberty

First Four Out​

​

Kentucky
Indiana
Virginia
Florida Gulf Coast

Next Four Out​

​

Western Carolina
North Carolina State
San Diego
Baylor

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Baseball America putting too much stock into the RPI.

 

[Franisdaman]

Baseball America putting too much stock into the RPI.

Well, I guess you better do a guest column and set Baseball America right!!!

I mean, what the hell would a company with "baseball" as part of its name know???

And, as we all know, you are the authority when it comes to college baseball!!!

Not to slight @KyleHuesmann , but you should be writing for Hawkeye Report, too!!!

Not.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Well, I guess you better do a guest column and set Baseball America right!!!

I mean, what the hell would a company with "baseball" as part of its name know???

And as we all know, you are the authority when it comes to college baseball!!!

lol

 

[Franisdaman]

We are exactly 50% of the way thru the 44 game schedule.

On April 15, Baseball America projected 3 B1G Teams making the NCAA Tournament (Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan).

On April 7, D1 Baseball projected 4 B1G Teams making the NCAA Tournament (Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan, Indiana).

Preseason, when D1 Baseball projected 4 B1G teams would make the NCAA Tournament, there were a LOT of skeptical posters on here.

Here is some of that skepticism. Note who said just TWO (or God forbid, one) B1G teams would make the NCAA Tournament.


So, Baseball America projecting 3 B1G teams on April 15 is pretty generous!

Still a dumb move by the Big Ten. Hope I'm wrong, but it would seem only one or two Big Ten teams will make the NCAA Tournament in this format.

Absolutely, I’ll say it now. They’ll get two teams into a regional. When I could argue for 4-5 under a normal system. Sad part is that Warren and the conference leadership don’t care.

Agree.....I just don't see four getting in. Would love to be wrong, but Big Ten will get two, MAYBE three.

Just wait until the conference gets two or god forbid one team into regionals.

I haven't looked up many schedules, but the ones I have look pretty normal in terms of who they're playing and where early in the season. That the Big Ten feels the need to go down a completely different path is bizarre even under the circumstances.

It hurts the conference, and the B1G needs to be asked some tough questions on it

CC: @KyleHuesmann

 

[KyleHuesmann]

We are exactly 50% of the way thru the 44 game schedule.

On April 15, Baseball America projected 3 B1G Teams making the NCAA Tournament (Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan).

On April 7, D1 Baseball projected 4 B1G Teams making the NCAA Tournament (Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan, Indiana).

Preseason, when D1 Baseball projected 4 B1G teams would make the NCAA Tournament, there were a LOT of skeptical posters on here.

Here is some of that skepticism. Note who said just TWO (or God forbid, one) B1G teams would make the NCAA Tournament.


So, Baseball America projecting 3 B1G teams on April 15 is pretty generous!










CC: @KyleHuesmann

Yeah definitely will be something to watch as the season progresses. I just think the Big Ten as a whole is better than what was expected preseason, which should help.

Right now Iowa is in 4th, which I think is pretty safe. 5th is where it gets dicey quickly.

 

[Alum-Ni]

Yeah definitely will be something to watch as the season progresses. I just think the Big Ten as a whole is better than what was expected preseason, which should help.

Right now Iowa is in 4th, which I think is pretty safe. 5th is where it gets dicey quickly.

I think everyone, including myself, is pleasantly surprised at how the top of the Big Ten has looked. I'd say as of today, three are in for sure, four is likely.........and a slim, slim chance of five.

 

[Alum-Ni]

From this week's chat on D1Baseball.com:

D1Baseball Weekly Chat: Week Nine • D1Baseball

Another big Monday is here, and our latest Top 25 rankings have been released. Aaron and Kendall take your burning questions.

d1baseball.com

Dimer: The Big Ten looks like it is being treated like a mid-major in the Top 25 (and deservedly so), and even its sole rep (Michigan) has two wonky losses. Two questions: how difficult is it to rank any of them each week and is there ANY chance that the committee spurns them with less than three bids?

Kendall Rogers: Dimer -- I actually think the Big Ten is pretty solid at the top. I think the league deserves four bids this year -- Nebraska/Michigan/Indiana are the obvious ones for me, and I think Trenton Wallace and Iowa are most certainly postseason worthy. There's a legitimate argument to make for Ohio State, too. I think four teams is the sweet spot.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

From this week's chat on D1Baseball.com:

D1Baseball Weekly Chat: Week Nine • D1Baseball

Another big Monday is here, and our latest Top 25 rankings have been released. Aaron and Kendall take your burning questions.

d1baseball.com

Dimer: The Big Ten looks like it is being treated like a mid-major in the Top 25 (and deservedly so), and even its sole rep (Michigan) has two wonky losses. Two questions: how difficult is it to rank any of them each week and is there ANY chance that the committee spurns them with less than three bids?

Kendall Rogers: Dimer -- I actually think the Big Ten is pretty solid at the top. I think the league deserves four bids this year -- Nebraska/Michigan/Indiana are the obvious ones for me, and I think Trenton Wallace and Iowa are most certainly postseason worthy. There's a legitimate argument to make for Ohio State, too. I think four teams is the sweet spot.

Yep I saw that as well. I think the target area needs to be 27-17 or 28-16. RPI would likely be 52-58 area. I think they would be in.
That’s 13-6 or 12-7 to end the season.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Yep I saw that as well. I think the target area needs to be 27-17 or 28-16. RPI would likely be 52-58 area. I think they would be in.
That’s 13-6 or 12-7 to end the season.

Northwestern x5, MSU x3, PSU x3, and Illinois are problems if they continue how they are for the RPI. Home L’s to NW would lose you 150 or so points each time. Luckily most are on the road, but even winning loses you points.

I really wish right now Iowa has at least one of the Purdue/Rutgers games they dropped.

There are also teams near Iowa on the RPI that have losing records and literally have just started their season, so no way the RPI can be relied upon as heavily as it was in the past or can it?

If it is, Indiana and Dallas Baptist have RPI problems.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

Northwestern x5, MSU x3, PSU x3, and Illinois are problems if they continue how they are for the RPI. Home L’s to NW would lose you 150 or so points each time. Luckily most are on the road, but even winning loses you points.

I really wish right now Iowa has at least one of the Purdue/Rutgers games they dropped.

There are also teams near Iowa on the RPI that have losing records and literally have just started their season, so no way the RPI can be relied upon as heavily as it was in the past or can it?

If it is, Indiana and Dallas Baptist have RPI problems.

I don’t know ifyou saw this, but I posted this yesterday.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

View embedded media

I don’t know ifyou saw this, but I posted this yesterday.

Yeah, the Warren Nolan predictions change constantly. Earlier today it was 30-14 with three losses in the games @ NW and MSU but the final RPI was like 46.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

Yeah, the Warren Nolan predictions change constantly. Earlier today it was 30-14 with three losses in the games @ NW and MSU but the final RPI was like 46.

Yeah I’ve seen that it changes a lot, but that particular projection seemed pretty fair.

 

[Franisdaman]

From this week's chat on D1Baseball.com:

D1Baseball Weekly Chat: Week Nine • D1Baseball

Another big Monday is here, and our latest Top 25 rankings have been released. Aaron and Kendall take your burning questions.

d1baseball.com

Dimer: The Big Ten looks like it is being treated like a mid-major in the Top 25 (and deservedly so), and even its sole rep (Michigan) has two wonky losses. Two questions: how difficult is it to rank any of them each week and is there ANY chance that the committee spurns them with less than three bids?

Kendall Rogers: Dimer -- I actually think the Big Ten is pretty solid at the top. I think the league deserves four bids this year -- Nebraska/Michigan/Indiana are the obvious ones for me, and I think Trenton Wallace and Iowa are most certainly postseason worthy. There's a legitimate argument to make for Ohio State, too. I think four teams is the sweet spot.

what we should all worry about is if the decision is between Iowa and another B!G team (tOSU?) for that 4th B1G berth into the NCAA Tournament

Baseball is funny in how players and teams get hot or get cold. Right now Iowa is hot. On May 6, 2019, Iowa was also red hot and were ranked #24 in the country. Then they finished 1-7.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

I’m not 100% convinced Indiana is going to make it. Their pitching is really good, but they’ve shown they can be beat.

 

[Franisdaman]

Baseball America putting too much stock into the RPI.

What do you think of RPI's now? @KyleHuesmann, this should help Iowa's NCAA Tournament chances.

APRIL 20, 2021

Current......Previous

40	40	Iowa	Big Ten	15-10	6-3	5-5	4-2	0-0
46	47	Nebraska	Big Ten	18-6	7-2	5-3	6-1	0-0
51	46	Ohio St.	Big Ten	13-12	2-7	5-3	6-2	0-0
62	65	Michigan	Big Ten	18-7	6-2	8-2	4-3	0-0
98	98	Maryland	Big Ten	13-12	4-4	1-5	8-3	0-0
113	113	Indiana	Big Ten	15-8	6-6	1-1	8-1	0-0
123	136	Purdue	Big Ten	10-15	4-3	4-8	2-4	0-0
142	144	Rutgers	Big Ten	12-12	7-5	1-1	4-6	0-0
168	172	Penn St.	Big Ten	8-16	3-6	3-3	2-7	0-0
192	190	Northwestern	Big Ten	12-12	4-4	6-4	2-4	0-0
213	188	Illinois	Big Ten	10-14	4-4	2-4	4-6	0-0
240	240	Michigan St.	Big Ten	11-15	3-4	5-7	3-4	0-0
271	272	Minnesota	Big Ten	4-20	0-7	0-0	4-13	0-0

 

[Franisdaman]

@KyleHuesmann, this should help Iowa's NCAA Tournament chances.

APRIL 20, 2021
Top 64 Based on RPI

Current......Previous

1	1	Fairfield	MAAC	20-0	0-0	0-0	20-0	0-0
2	2	Arkansas	SEC	30-6	7-2	3-0	20-4	0-0
3	4	Tennessee	SEC	29-8	9-3	0-0	20-5	0-0
4	3	TCU	Big 12	26-9	9-4	3-3	14-2	0-0
5	5	Oregon	Pac-12	22-8	10-4	0-0	12-4	0-0
6	6	Vanderbilt	SEC	28-6	10-2	0-0	18-4	0-0
7	7	East Carolina	AAC	26-5	4-4	0-0	22-1	0-0
8	8	Arizona	Pac-12	23-11	6-5	4-0	13-6	0-0
9	9	Louisiana Tech	C-USA	26-9	11-4	1-0	14-5	0-0
9	10	Mississippi St.	SEC	27-8	5-1	3-1	19-6	0-0
11	11	South Carolina	SEC	24-10	7-7	1-1	16-2	0-0
12	12	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	21-10	5-5	0-1	16-4	0-0
13	13	Texas	Big 12	30-8	8-3	0-3	22-2	0-0
14	14	Ole Miss	SEC	26-10	5-5	3-0	18-5	0-0
15	15	Texas Tech	Big 12	26-8	3-3	3-3	20-2	0-0
16	16	Southern Miss.	C-USA	23-12	8-5	0-1	15-6	0-0
17	17	Notre Dame	ACC	18-7	9-3	0-0	9-4	0-0
18	18	Charlotte	C-USA	25-10	7-6	0-0	18-4	0-0
19	19	Pittsburgh	ACC	20-11	9-4	2-1	9-6	0-0
20	20	Miami (FL)	ACC	21-11	9-6	0-0	12-5	0-0
21	21	Georgia	SEC	23-12	6-4	0-0	17-8	0-0
22	23	Alabama	SEC	22-13	7-3	0-0	15-10	0-0
23	22	Stanford	Pac-12	22-7	7-4	0-0	15-3	0-0
24	24	Wright St.	Horizon	14-10	5-10	0-0	9-0	0-0
25	25	Gonzaga	WCC	22-13	12-9	2-2	8-2	0-0
26	26	Indiana St.	MVC	20-8	15-6	1-2	4-0	0-0
27	28	Western Caro.	SoCon	20-9	5-6	0-0	15-3	0-0
28	27	LSU	SEC	21-14	4-4	0-0	17-10	0-0
29	29	Oregon St.	Pac-12	24-10	8-3	3-1	13-6	0-0
30	30	Old Dominion	C-USA	27-7	11-1	0-0	16-6	0-0
31	31	Florida	SEC	25-11	2-6	0-0	23-5	0-0
32	32	Canisius	MAAC	9-7	5-7	0-0	4-0	0-0
33	33	Liberty	ASUN	25-8	11-8	0-0	14-0	0-0
34	34	Arizona St.	Pac-12	19-11	3-4	0-0	16-7	0-0
35	35	Rider	MAAC	11-9	5-7	0-0	6-2	0-0
36	36	Air Force	Mountain West	15-14	8-13	4-1	3-0	0-0
37	37	Virginia Tech	ACC	20-12	10-4	0-0	10-8	0-0
38	38	UConn	Big East	16-12	5-10	1-1	10-1	0-0
39	39	USC Upstate	Big South	23-9	10-7	0-0	13-2	0-0
40	40	Iowa	Big Ten	15-10	6-3	5-5	4-2	0-0
41	41	Rhode Island	Atlantic 10	13-15	6-14	0-0	7-1	0-0
42	42	UCLA	Pac-12	21-11	5-6	0-0	16-5	0-0
43	43	Creighton	Big East	11-7	4-7	0-0	7-0	0-0
44	44	Georgia Tech	ACC	17-14	10-5	0-0	7-9	0-0
45	45	North Carolina	ACC	18-15	5-9	1-0	12-6	0-0
46	47	Nebraska	Big Ten	18-6	7-2	5-3	6-1	0-0
47	50	Baylor	Big 12	24-12	4-7	1-2	19-3	0-0
48	48	Villanova	Big East	12-8	7-5	0-0	5-3	0-0
49	49	UC Irvine	Big West	22-11	11-10	0-0	11-1	0-0
50	51	Stony Brook	America East	19-8	9-3	0-0	10-5	0-0
51	46	Ohio St.	Big Ten	13-12	2-7	5-3	6-2	0-0
52	52	VCU	Atlantic 10	21-14	10-11	0-0	11-3	0-0
53	54	Kentucky	SEC	22-11	5-5	0-0	17-6	0-0
54	55	Virginia	ACC	17-17	7-7	0-0	10-10	0-0
55	56	FGCU	ASUN	21-12	10-7	0-0	11-5	0-0
56	69	South Alabama	Sun Belt	20-13	9-7	0-0	11-6	0-0
57	57	Duke	ACC	16-16	4-9	0-0	12-7	0-0
58	58	Kansas	Big 12	21-15	9-9	2-1	10-5	0-0
59	59	Louisville	ACC	22-11	7-6	0-0	15-5	0-0
60	53	Louisiana	Sun Belt	20-15	6-9	0-0	14-6	0-0
61	60	Wichita St.	AAC	19-12	6-6	0-3	13-3	0-0
62	65	Michigan	Big Ten	18-7	6-2	8-2	4-3	0-0
63	61	NC State	ACC	16-13	9-2	0-0	7-11	0-0
64	62	Bradley	MVC	12-14	6-9	1-2	5-3	0-0

 

[KyleHuesmann]

@KyleHuesmann, this should help Iowa's NCAA Tournament chances.

APRIL 20, 2021
Top 64 Based on RPI

Current......

@KyleHuesmann, this should help Iowa's NCAA Tournament chances.

APRIL 20, 2021
Top 64 Based on RPI

Current......Previous

1	1	Fairfield	MAAC	20-0	0-0	0-0	20-0	0-0
2	2	Arkansas	SEC	30-6	7-2	3-0	20-4	0-0
3	4	Tennessee	SEC	29-8	9-3	0-0	20-5	0-0
4	3	TCU	Big 12	26-9	9-4	3-3	14-2	0-0
5	5	Oregon	Pac-12	22-8	10-4	0-0	12-4	0-0
6	6	Vanderbilt	SEC	28-6	10-2	0-0	18-4	0-0
7	7	East Carolina	AAC	26-5	4-4	0-0	22-1	0-0
8	8	Arizona	Pac-12	23-11	6-5	4-0	13-6	0-0
9	9	Louisiana Tech	C-USA	26-9	11-4	1-0	14-5	0-0
9	10	Mississippi St.	SEC	27-8	5-1	3-1	19-6	0-0
11	11	South Carolina	SEC	24-10	7-7	1-1	16-2	0-0
12	12	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	21-10	5-5	0-1	16-4	0-0
13	13	Texas	Big 12	30-8	8-3	0-3	22-2	0-0
14	14	Ole Miss	SEC	26-10	5-5	3-0	18-5	0-0
15	15	Texas Tech	Big 12	26-8	3-3	3-3	20-2	0-0
16	16	Southern Miss.	C-USA	23-12	8-5	0-1	15-6	0-0
17	17	Notre Dame	ACC	18-7	9-3	0-0	9-4	0-0
18	18	Charlotte	C-USA	25-10	7-6	0-0	18-4	0-0
19	19	Pittsburgh	ACC	20-11	9-4	2-1	9-6	0-0
20	20	Miami (FL)	ACC	21-11	9-6	0-0	12-5	0-0
21	21	Georgia	SEC	23-12	6-4	0-0	17-8	0-0
22	23	Alabama	SEC	22-13	7-3	0-0	15-10	0-0
23	22	Stanford	Pac-12	22-7	7-4	0-0	15-3	0-0
24	24	Wright St.	Horizon	14-10	5-10	0-0	9-0	0-0
25	25	Gonzaga	WCC	22-13	12-9	2-2	8-2	0-0
26	26	Indiana St.	MVC	20-8	15-6	1-2	4-0	0-0
27	28	Western Caro.	SoCon	20-9	5-6	0-0	15-3	0-0
28	27	LSU	SEC	21-14	4-4	0-0	17-10	0-0
29	29	Oregon St.	Pac-12	24-10	8-3	3-1	13-6	0-0
30	30	Old Dominion	C-USA	27-7	11-1	0-0	16-6	0-0
31	31	Florida	SEC	25-11	2-6	0-0	23-5	0-0
32	32	Canisius	MAAC	9-7	5-7	0-0	4-0	0-0
33	33	Liberty	ASUN	25-8	11-8	0-0	14-0	0-0
34	34	Arizona St.	Pac-12	19-11	3-4	0-0	16-7	0-0
35	35	Rider	MAAC	11-9	5-7	0-0	6-2	0-0
36	36	Air Force	Mountain West	15-14	8-13	4-1	3-0	0-0
37	37	Virginia Tech	ACC	20-12	10-4	0-0	10-8	0-0
38	38	UConn	Big East	16-12	5-10	1-1	10-1	0-0
39	39	USC Upstate	Big South	23-9	10-7	0-0	13-2	0-0
40	40	Iowa	Big Ten	15-10	6-3	5-5	4-2	0-0
41	41	Rhode Island	Atlantic 10	13-15	6-14	0-0	7-1	0-0
42	42	UCLA	Pac-12	21-11	5-6	0-0	16-5	0-0
43	43	Creighton	Big East	11-7	4-7	0-0	7-0	0-0
44	44	Georgia Tech	ACC	17-14	10-5	0-0	7-9	0-0
45	45	North Carolina	ACC	18-15	5-9	1-0	12-6	0-0
46	47	Nebraska	Big Ten	18-6	7-2	5-3	6-1	0-0
47	50	Baylor	Big 12	24-12	4-7	1-2	19-3	0-0
48	48	Villanova	Big East	12-8	7-5	0-0	5-3	0-0
49	49	UC Irvine	Big West	22-11	11-10	0-0	11-1	0-0
50	51	Stony Brook	America East	19-8	9-3	0-0	10-5	0-0
51	46	Ohio St.	Big Ten	13-12	2-7	5-3	6-2	0-0
52	52	VCU	Atlantic 10	21-14	10-11	0-0	11-3	0-0
53	54	Kentucky	SEC	22-11	5-5	0-0	17-6	0-0
54	55	Virginia	ACC	17-17	7-7	0-0	10-10	0-0
55	56	FGCU	ASUN	21-12	10-7	0-0	11-5	0-0
56	69	South Alabama	Sun Belt	20-13	9-7	0-0	11-6	0-0
57	57	Duke	ACC	16-16	4-9	0-0	12-7	0-0
58	58	Kansas	Big 12	21-15	9-9	2-1	10-5	0-0
59	59	Louisville	ACC	22-11	7-6	0-0	15-5	0-0
60	53	Louisiana	Sun Belt	20-15	6-9	0-0	14-6	0-0
61	60	Wichita St.	AAC	19-12	6-6	0-3	13-3	0-0
62	65	Michigan	Big Ten	18-7	6-2	8-2	4-3	0-0
63	61	NC State	ACC	16-13	9-2	0-0	7-11	0-0
64	62	Bradley	MVC	12-14	6-9	1-2	5-3	0-0

I am still holding with my guess that 27-17 and 28-16 will do it. As long as the RPI stays in top 55-60 they should be good.

Illinois, Penn St, Michigan State for 9 games is going to be important to take as many as they can there and make sure they don’t take critical losses.

 

[Franisdaman]

I am still holding with my guess that 27-17 and 28-16 will do it. As long as the RPI stays in top 55-60 they should be good.

Illinois, Penn St, Michigan State for 9 games is going to be important to take as many as they can there and make sure they don’t take critical losses.

I need to catch up on my reading. Have you written anything on who is on the Selection Committee & what they are watching and what metrics they value when selecting at large teams? Does the RPI really matter that much to the Committee, when it seems so flawed?

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

@Franisdaman Iowa is in a good spot right now obviously, but there are a lot of stumbling blocks left. I’d feel a lot better right if they had one of the Purdue/Rutgers games they lost as a W, RPI would probably be 30-35.

Not having a conference tournament this year may hurt Iowa as now they have three games against a MSU team with a 200+ RPI instead of someone with a much better one.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

I need to catch up on my reading. Have you written anything on who is on the Selection Committee & what they are watching and what metrics they value when selecting at large teams? Does the RPI really matter that much to the Committee, when it seems so flawed?

I have not. I dont know a lot about the committee. I know they have regional advisory groups, but thats it. I know RPI has always been a big thing when talking at-large bids, but this year is very different with Covid scheduling changes, so I could see them judging in different ways.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

Iowa projected in the Eugene Regional in the newest bracket projection by D1 Baseball.
Worth noting that they were not mentioned in the “Last 5 In”, so they believe Iowa is squarely in at this point.

Projected Field Of 64: April 20 • D1Baseball

We released our first batch of projections a couple of weeks ago at the midseason mark. Much has changed in our latest NCAA tournament projections after Week Nine.

d1baseball.com

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Iowa projected in the Eugene Regional in the newest bracket projection by D1 Baseball.
Worth noting that they were not mentioned in the “Last 5 In”, so they believe Iowa is squarely in at this point.

Projected Field Of 64: April 20 • D1Baseball

We released our first batch of projections a couple of weeks ago at the midseason mark. Much has changed in our latest NCAA tournament projections after Week Nine.

d1baseball.com

Iowa has been here before. It’s nice to see, but a lot of business yet to take care of. Indiana is also in.

1. Oregon (#5 national seed)
4. Fordham

2. Gonzaga
3. Iowa

Paired up with the Ruston Regional for Super Regional purposes which is 1. Louisiana Tech, 2. Miami, 3. Baylor, and 4. SE Louisiana.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

Iowa projected in the Forth Worth Regional in the newest bracket projection by Baseball America.
Just like the D1 Baseball projection Iowa was not listed on the “Last 4 In”, so they are in right now.

Really rooting for Notre Dame/LVille/Arkansas/Vanderbilt if it happens, so I can go in person to cover.

2021 NCAA Baseball Tournament Projected Field Of 64 (4/21/21) — College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America

Updating our projected NCAA Tournament field with Selection Monday under six weeks away.

www.baseballamerica.com

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Iowa projected in the Forth Worth Regional in the newest bracket projection by Baseball America.
Just like the D1 Baseball projection Iowa was not listed on the “Last 4 In”, so they are in right now.

Really rooting for Notre Dame/LVille/Arkansas/Vanderbilt if it happens, so I can go in person to cover.

2021 NCAA Baseball Tournament Projected Field Of 64 (4/21/21) — College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America

Updating our projected NCAA Tournament field with Selection Monday under six weeks away.

www.baseballamerica.com

Something to think about too, Baseball America says the bubble is soft this year. Take care of business and you’re in for Iowa.

Also, they have Indiana as first four out.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

Something to think about too, Baseball America says the bubble is soft this year. Take care of business and you’re in for Iowa.

Also, they have Indiana as first four out.

Indiana’s RPI is very low right and that’s probably why. They still have 12 games vs Iowa/Michigan/Nebraska/Ohio State, so it will jump up a bit.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Indiana’s RPI is very low right and that’s probably why. They still have 12 games vs Iowa/Michigan/Nebraska/Ohio State, so it will jump up a bit.

It will or should, but they have a very dangerous home series against Minnesota who is at 271. They are going to lose points even with a sweep. They lose one, and they could drop 30 spots in the RPI.

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa projected in the Forth Worth Regional in the newest bracket projection by Baseball America.
Just like the D1 Baseball projection Iowa was not listed on the “Last 4 In”, so they are in right now.

Really rooting for Notre Dame/LVille/Arkansas/Vanderbilt if it happens, so I can go in person to cover.

2021 NCAA Baseball Tournament Projected Field Of 64 (4/21/21) — College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America

Updating our projected NCAA Tournament field with Selection Monday under six weeks away.

www.baseballamerica.com

wow; are they going to be doing daily projections until Selection Day?

 

[KyleHuesmann]

wow; are they going to be doing daily projections until Selection Day?

No D1 Baseball and Baseball America will do weekly ones. Probably Tuesday’s and Wednesday’s.

 

[Franisdaman]

This season may end up a day late and a dollar short because I don’t think Iowa is going to make a regional looking at the remaining RPI opportunities, way too many stumbling blocks.

I’ve been wrong before, but I think Iowa will end up with an RPI in the 60s or 70s and end up wondering what could have been, again.

So, after one loss, today, April 24, you have concluded that Iowa won't make the NCAA Tournament.

Amazing.

And on April 15 (see end of this post), you said that others (in particular, Baseball America) were putting too much stock in the RPI, yet, everyone paying attention knows that you put all of your stock in the RPI. You just have to look at what I quoted above. Heck, RPI is all you talk about.

Let's pivot from your craziness to what actually makes sense.

On Monday, April 19, Iowa was 15-10 and @KyleHuesmann posted that he thought the target area for Iowa to get into the NCAA Tournament needed to be 27-17 or 28-16 and an RPI between 52 and 58. That would be 13-6 or 12-7 to end the season. And that also means Iowa was not going to go undefeated over the last 19 games (we are 1-1 so far, with 17 games to go).


Your April 15 post:

Baseball America putting too much stock into the RPI.

 

[Franisdaman]

What you fail to mention is that I had posted that BEFORE the interview with the committee chair came out. Since his interview it seems like the Big Ten and MAAC will not get any special treatment due to the conference only.

Since I’ve heard that, it wouldn’t shock me if the conference only got two teams in, especially if RPIs keep falling. Like I said, Iowa has missed golden opportunities the last few weeks when their RPI was well in the 30s. Even with two wins against NW, they lose RPI points by winning those. The games against PSU and Illinois. They lose RPI points by winning. The road series are the only ones left where they may gain points. The last two will be minimal at best. That’s why I love non conference because it really gives you a chance to pay the RPI with road and neutral games.

link to the interview with the Selection Committee chair?

Because now, today, you are back to writing (see directly above) that it wouldn’t shock you if the B1G only got 2 teams in the NCAA Tournament.

After one Iowa loss, today???

And, again, on April 15 you laughed at Baseball America, stating that Baseball America put too much stock into the RPI.

Well, RPI is all you have EVER talked about and focused on!!

@KyleHuesmann , this is why so many of us have issues with this poster. As I have shown, he does this crazy ass forecasting with other Iowa sports, too (example: after a bad loss in Feb, he said Iowa was trending to not make the NCAA men's basketball tournament).

 

[Franisdaman]

FWIW and while I fully understand that the B1G Network announcers have no influence over the NCAA selection process, my ears perked when I heard them say "the B1G should get a minimum of 4 and possibly 5 at-large berths" to the NCAA Baseball tournament this year. Most likely B1G "homerism" but I did find that comment interesting.

Just expand the NCAA tournament.

I actually think the conference is pretty good this year and a 4-6 team bid league WITH a non conference and conference tournament. If they only get 2-3 teams, I hope someone asks Kevin Warren if they enjoyed screwing baseball teams in the league.

4 B1G teams making the NCAA Tournament is very possible; 5 seems a bit high but maybe Ohio State deserves a bid, too, as we look at things right now?

Preseason, D1 Baseball projected 4 B1G teams would make the NCAA Tournament (Michigan, Indiana, Maryland, Ohio State).

On April 7, D1 Baseball continued to project 4 B1G Teams making the NCAA Tournament (Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan, Indiana).

On April 15, Baseball America projected 3 B1G Teams making the NCAA Tournament (Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan).

So much changes week to week, of course.

@KyleHuesmann has written that he thinks the target area for Iowa needs to be 27-17 or 28-16 with an RPI in the 52-58 range.

 

[Franisdaman]

Dare I say this single game could keep them firmly in the post season hunt? A loss would have been devastating RPI wise, probably knocking them back into 55+ territory and having to take the series vs. Indiana. Kept fighting and sticking to the gameplan, much like a football game where you trail by 7-10 points the whole game and finally take the lead late in 4th q.
Live RPI of 40 right now, not too bad.

See the previous post in this thread.

We can't lose ONE game and think our NCAA Tournament hopes are dashed.

We are 18-11 right now. @KyleHuesmann has written that he thinks the target area for Iowa making the NCAA Tournament needs to be 27-17 or 28-16 with an RPI in the 52-58 range.

We have 15 games left, so that means we could go 9-6 or 10-5 and still be ok.

So, when you worry about losing one game, just remember that even our beat writer expects us to lose some games along the way and STILL have a good chance of making the NCAA Tournament.

 

[KyleHuesmann]

See the previous post in this thread.

We can't lose ONE game and think our NCAA Tournament hopes are dashed.

We are 18-11 right now. @KyleHuesmann has written that he thinks the target area for Iowa making the NCAA Tournament needs to be 27-17 or 28-16 with an RPI in the 52-58 range.

We have 15 games left, so that means we could go 9-6 or 10-5 and still be ok.

So, when you worry about losing one game, just remember that even our beat writer expects us to lose some games along the way and STILL have a good chance of making the NCAA Tournament.

5 series left. Indiana, Penn State, Illinois, Northwestern and Michigan State. I am a little worried about the RPIs of some of the teams remaining on the schedule and how much damage they can do. Those 12 games against PSU, Illinois, NW and MSU, I think you need to win 9 probably. Then 1-2 against Indiana because their RPI will hop up once they play Nebraska, Michigan and Iowa.

The current Warren Nolan RPI prediction says 27-17, with a final RPI of 61. Thats with winning 9/12 from the four series I mentioned and winning just 1/3 vs Indiana. I think an 11-4 finish gets you in. 10-5 will be pushing.

I did not realize how many points you can lose for a loss to a team like Penn St or Illinois or even Northwestern, but if the pitching stays solid and Wallace can get back to normal they can easily take 10-11 from those four teams I mentioned.

 

[hersh236]

5 series left. Indiana, Penn State, Illinois, Northwestern and Michigan State. I am a little worried about the RPIs of some of the teams remaining on the schedule and how much damage they can do. Those 12 games against PSU, Illinois, NW and MSU, I think you need to win 9 probably. Then 1-2 against Indiana because their RPI will hop up once they play Nebraska, Michigan and Iowa.

The current Warren Nolan RPI prediction says 27-17, with a final RPI of 61. Thats with winning 9/12 from the four series I mentioned and winning just 1/3 vs Indiana. I think an 11-4 finish gets you in. 10-5 will be pushing.

I did not realize how many points you can lose for a loss to a team like Penn St or Illinois or even Northwestern, but if the pitching stays solid and Wallace can get back to normal they can easily take 10-11 from those four teams I mentioned.

The Warren Nolan predictor is fun to look at but it changes about every hour. Since your post it has changed to 30-14 with a 39 RPI. It really means zilch. Just keep winning and it takes care of itself.

 

[Franisdaman]

The Warren Nolan predictor is fun to look at but it changes about every hour. Since your post it has changed to 30-14 with a 39 RPI. It really means zilch. Just keep winning and it takes care of itself.

baseball is a crazy sport. players and teams, in college and MLB, can get hot.....or get cold.........very fast.

As I have mentioned before, in 2019 Iowa was hot and on its way to the NCAA Tournament! On May 6, 2019 IOWA ranked #24 in the country!

And then we finished 1-7 and did not make the NCAA Tournament.

But damn, I hope Heller sticks around for a long time; Heller Ball is fun ball.

 

[hersh236]

baseball is a crazy sport. players and teams, in college and MLB, can get hot.....or get cold.........very fast.

As I have mentioned before, in 2019 Iowa was hot and on its way to the NCAA Tournament! On May 6, 2019 IOWA ranked #24 in the country!

And then we finished 1-7 and did not make the NCAA Tournament.

But damn, I hope Heller sticks around for a long time; Heller Ball is fun ball.

He’s a perfect fit for Iowa.