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Des moines Register Poll SHOWS HARRIS AHEAD

Again, I think Trump holds on in Iowa, but it is funny seeing one poster in denial, another experiencing anger, and another one wasting a new handle on a Saturday night.
Selzer will need be be off 10 points in order for Trump to match his 2020 performance in Iowa. She has yet to be off by more than 5. I expect Trump to start rage Tweeting about "rampant cheating in Iowa" before Sunday night. And obviously Harris had some internal polling showing what was happening here. I live in NW Iowa and thought it was odd when Pete B. was doing interviews with one of the stations in SUX. It makes sense now.
 
wtf…higher inflation, insecure border, increased crime, conflicts all over the world, etc. in the last four years. Such “good” times. 🥴
YES!! I love GOOD times! Folks are working…folks are buying stuff….folks are livin’ the good (Democrat) life! All this “noise” you mention can be corrected easily once it is taken of the headlines…..all it takes is Congress to do what the hell we elect them to do…SOLVE problems….not be the problem. Start with the border….send Kamala the bill as written, and she will sign it….then on to your next complaint….
 
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Yes.

Either that or she's mentally ill. You, on the other hand, there is no dount. You're a moron.
Riley, I generally like you, but maybe chill just a tad. Would hate to see you get banned for next week.
What’s sad is so many of you believe this is true. Only a handful of states don’t allow some type of abortion. Yet you think all women lost freedom to do with their own bodies as they wish. Open your eyes.
Nearly all southern states have rammed through very restrictive abortion laws, to the point that in several there’s few or no clinics that offer abortion now. Women in the south in some states would have to travel 1,000 miles to do so. You can cling to the “they’re not TOTAL bans” argument if you want, but they’re as near as make no difference in large swaths of the country,
Maybe because the “best people” turned out to not really be the best. 😉 Surprise, surprise.
See, this doesn’t jive with the image that trump has always projected about him being the superior business, best at making deals, etc. Trump experienced historic-level turnover in his cabinet; with that being due to a combination of corruption, incompetence, idiocy.
Honest question, as this particular polling group is new to me…what’s their track record besides the one election?

The reason we’re talking about Selzers poll is that she has an extremely good record over many election cycles.
 
Selzer will need be be off 10 points in order for Trump to match his 2020 performance in Iowa. She has yet to be off by more than 5. I expect Trump to start rage Tweeting about "rampant cheating in Iowa" before Sunday night. And obviously Harris had some internal polling showing what was happening here. I live in NW Iowa and thought it was odd when Pete B. was doing interviews with one of the stations in SUX. It makes sense now.
You live in NW Iowa? Talk about a blue needle in a red haystack
 
The mere fact that this thread exists must be terrifying to MAGA Republicans.

A month ago...you wouldn't find one person in the Trump campaign that was worried about Mississippi North even being close.

Imagine how that midget, 3M, must feel seeing this poll?
Should Harris wins Iowa...I will guaranfvckingtee Dim Kim won't run for Governor in 2026.
Doubt they are worried, another poll by Emerson that came out yesterday has Trump winning by 8. The poll may turn out to be correct, but, it is one of the most outlier polls I have seen from any state to this point.

Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020 and has only become more Republican. A Harris win would be a huge swing that rarely occurs.

For 2020 Democrats had a 45-33 advantage in early voting and Trump won by 8. As of now, Republicans lead in early voting.

One thing for certain, we will find out which polls were right/wrong on Tuesday
 
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I think the dems in Iowa have been much more enthusiastic about voting early in Iowa. Republicans will vote on Tues. Trump isn't losing to Harris in Iowa.
 
Man, if my wife was raped previously I would have a hard time being a cheerleader for a guy who brags about grabbing women by the genitalia, was found liable in court of sexual assault, accused of rape by his ex-wife, and been accused of assault by other women. Clearly those things don't bother you.

(HE was probably the rapist in this one... still has a restraining order outstanding)
 
But I was under impression Iowa was Republican for the rest of eternity
If this polling holds up you guys only have yourselves to blame. In every election since Dobbs where reproductive health care has been an issue Republicans have done poorly. Women are angry about their rights being taken away, and they are angry about otherwise healthy women dying during/after childbirth because medical care was denied due to the religious views of 6 members of the SCOTUS, and state legislatures run by extremists.
You guys also ran an old rapist as your candidate.
 
Going to be interesting to see the Iowa results, I am surprised by the poll results, That said, Never underestimate the power of pissed off women.
Yep. I think on this board, most of his supporters are stuck on it being hard to believe she is going ti win Iowa, which she still may not of course do, and missing the point she is great with this last poll and it is a barometer on how other states are breaking in the Upper Midwest and rust belt. It is a shocking development and points to what we are starting to get a vibe for-Harris is looking very likely to win now, maybe even as landslide.

Kansas, Alaska, and Ohio also had some eye opening numbers where they are in the error range now. Basically states Biden lost bad and she was trailing bad are all looking much closer which points to the swing states of 2020 being larger wins.

Analysis I am seeing indicate women voting in higher numbers, independents voting in higher numbers (26% of early vote) and the belief that 1 out of 10 republicans are voting for Harris or not voting for Trump. The Puerto Rico comments an overall Nazi rally at MSG was the likely nail in coffin as has his entire last four weeks of bizarre rally appearances, which are also bad news for him because he is now not filling tiny meeting halls. I think MAGA has finally burst its bubble and the nation is over it.
 
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If this polling holds up you guys only have yourselves to blame. In every election since Dobbs where reproductive health care has been an issue Republicans have done poorly. Women are angry about their rights being taken away, and they are angry about otherwise healthy women dying during/after childbirth because medical care was denied due to the religious views of 6 members of the SCOTUS, and state legislatures run by extremists.
You guys also ran an old rapist as your candidate.
Lol, "you guys" huh? That's funny
 
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Just shows how Radical the GOP has become.

Like I mentioned, the true indicator will be if one or two Congressional seats flip.
That will sound the alarms!
But I was also told in 2008 it would always be blue? I need some help in knowing which way to completely overreact
 
This will be a big part of the story. Remember, it does not have to be a lot of crossover due to abortion and / or the ones tired of Trump to make this a blow out. I know so so many independents and republicans voting for her. Never seen anything like it since I got into politics as a high schooler in 1988.

The signs were there all along in the Nikki Haley voted. It was somewhat Ironic because his nomination was one of the most lopsided and easier ones ever but if you paid attention, there was a significant chunk of republicans clearly not wanting him that you could see in her vote, especially after the race was over and she withdrew. They still showed up to vote as in protest. Most will still vote for him. But a chunk most certainly will not.

 
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