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Early Big Ten men's BB projections

-Football school
-Geography
-One of the worst recruiting bases in the country
-Worst arena in the conference
-Bad fan support
-Mediocre NIL at best for basketball
-Not much tradition
-No history of NBA players
-Low budget
-Meh facilities

There's literally not 1 aspect of the job that is a positive.
If your Fran, being the highest paid state employee is not anything to complain about. It's probably the reason that his teams have been so consistently average at best. Most of the Iowa fans are content that Iowa is a middle of the road Big Ten team.
 
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If your Fran, being the highest paid state employee is not anything to complain about. It's probably the reason that his teams have been so consistently average at best. Most of the Iowa fans are content that Iowa is a middle of the road Big Ten team.
Fran is not the highest paid state employee, hell he is only the 9 best paid coach in the BT.
 
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A LONG time ago, I actually thought Andy Katz knew what he is talking about. He talks a LOT, but doesn't!

Until we see how the dust settles on transfers, it is too early to be making predictions. Unfortunately, I agree that MSU will be one of the early favorites. I only looked at the excellent analysis by HawkHoops 80 quickly, but I would wonder why Andy would not have the Mildcats much nearer the top of his predictions with their guards and 2 other starters back. Lots of moving parts on many of the teams. PSU is incredible....

Hawks lost their 3 best interior players and the leaders of the team, so we have a lot to prove. Yes, we were so thin on the interior last year, that I believe Connor was our third best interior player, in addition to being a team leader.
Yikes
 
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As he says, this is a very loose projection and rosters are still changing--but as of the day the schedules released, Iowa's Big Ten schedule was the 3rd easiest in the conference.
Seems like a better, more objective projection of Big Ten standings than anything I have seem, certainly a lot better than Andy Katz's ramblings.
 


For those curious, I try my best to keep this up to date. I only take players off when they declare for the draft and are projected to be picked--there's some still listed that are "testing the water" but I expect them to return like Cliff O of Rutgers for example. Color coded by class: Purple = covid senior, green = 4th year senior, etc.
Thanks to hawkhoops80 for updating this grid to reflect all NBA early candidate decisions.
Now that rosters are set for next season I think hawkhoops80 should start a new thread with his updated grid that allows for a solid debate on next season's BIG BB projections.
 
Thanks to hawkhoops80 for updating this grid to reflect all NBA early candidate decisions.
Now that rosters are set for next season I think hawkhoops80 should start a new thread with his updated grid that allows for a solid debate on next season's BIG BB projections.
I'm hoping Iowa's roster is not yet set, and Nelson becomes a Hawkeye...
 
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I'm hoping Iowa's roster is not yet set, and Nelson becomes a Hawkeye...
with or with out Nelson they opinions of this would make for some interesting conversation.

starting with just a possible starting 5.
every one may have a different 5 mine is this
PG /1 Bowen
SG/2 Perkins
SF/3 Patrick
PF/4 Brauns Krikke if they get Nelson then he move here to start.
C/5 Krikke Nelson if they get him.
time to hear other Ideas on this.
 
with or with out Nelson they opinions of this would make for some interesting conversation.

starting with just a possible starting 5.
every one may have a different 5 mine is this
PG /1 Bowen
SG/2 Perkins
SF/3 Patrick
PF/4 Brauns Krikke if they get Nelson then he move here to start.
C/5 Krikke Nelson if they get him.
time to hear other Ideas on this.
I'd be surprised if Sandfort doesn't start.

If Nelson doesn't come to Iowa, I could see starting the year with:

Perkins
Dix
Sandfort
PMac
Krikke

Bowen, Brauns, Harding/Nimmers (whoever wins the minutes), Dembele/Freeman (whoever wins the minutes) as priority of subs.

The roster composition looks significantly better with Nelson. In that case, I'd probably have Dix come off the bench and go with this for starters:

Perkins
Sandfort
PMac
Nelson
Krikke

Gonna be interesting!
 


Rosters should be just about finalized other than a few possible late transfers (c'mon Grant Nelson).

Just my opinion, but I have the Big Ten looking like:

Tier 1 (Big Ten Title Contenders): Purdue, Michigan St.
Tier 2 (Safe NCAA): Illinois, Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio St.
Tier 3 (Bubble teams): Maryland, Northwestern, Iowa, Rutgers, Nebraska
Tier 4 (The Dregs): Michigan, Penn State, Minnesota

Thoughts?
 


Rosters should be just about finalized other than a few possible late transfers (c'mon Grant Nelson).

Just my opinion, but I have the Big Ten looking like:

Tier 1 (Big Ten Title Contenders): Purdue, Michigan St.
Tier 2 (Safe NCAA): Illinois, Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio St.
Tier 3 (Bubble teams): Maryland, Northwestern, Iowa, Rutgers, Nebraska
Tier 4 (The Dregs): Michigan, Penn State, Minnesota

Thoughts?

 
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this years team is in a better position than last years team.. the biggest difference is it is built to be a better rebounding team. there are at least 4 solid rebounders with Mulvey a ? at this point.
6'9 Krikke, 6'9 Dembele, 6'9 Brauns and 6'10 Freeman

the next 2 are
6'11 Mulvey
6'9 Patrick who dealt with medical problems. this season I can see him putting it all together like others in their SR season.
I don't expect 20 ppg type of season but more like White had as a SR 16.4 ppg and 7.3 rpg
even Marble only avg'd 17.0 ppg and 3.2 rpg

vs last season when these were the 2 bigs for rebounding
6'9 Rebraca 14.1 ppg and 7,5 rpg
6'8 Murray 20,2 ppg and 7,9 rpg

even Cook in his last season avg'd 14.5 ppg and 7.6 rpg.

this prove that none of the incoming players have to avg a dbl in rebounding, or has to be a major scorer 16-17 ppg will do the job just fine.
 
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Rosters should be just about finalized other than a few possible late transfers (c'mon Grant Nelson).

Just my opinion, but I have the Big Ten looking like:

Tier 1 (Big Ten Title Contenders): Purdue, Michigan St.
Tier 2 (Safe NCAA): Illinois, Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio St.
Tier 3 (Bubble teams): Maryland, Northwestern, Iowa, Rutgers, Nebraska
Tier 4 (The Dregs): Michigan, Penn State, Minnesota

Thoughts?
Maryland should be 3rd.
NW returns everybody.
IU loses trace-jackson...drop them.
OSU? Lost a great frosh but some nice talent.
Minny- gonna jump up.
 
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IA has only has finished below 6th 3 times
10-11 4-14 BT
11-12 8-10 BT
17-18 4-10 BT
an that's it.

they will 6th or better again for the 11th time in 14 seasons.
 
Maryland should be 3rd.
NW returns everybody.
IU loses trace-jackson...drop them.
OSU? Lost a great frosh but some nice talent.
Minny- gonna jump up.
I think NW losing Audige is a big big deal. I think the gap between another year of him vs the kid they brought in from Princeton is pretty large. Buie is fantastic, but he's going to be the focal point of defenses this year.
I'm also not a believer in Minnesota--Garcia is great, but his supporting cast is a ton of question marks.

Your other points are stuff I can see. The reasoning why I kept IU up was mostly because a 5th year PG makes their floor very high IMO. Them landing Mgbako made me jump them up a tier--but I will concede that their spacing is going to be a mess because they have no shooting outside of Galloway.
 
I thought audige was returning to NW? If not, big loss.
IU might be ok if big man is good.
Not sure bout Minny cept Garcia.
 
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