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Elite Sports Book: On Oct 1, IOWA Was Favored in 5 of the 8 games. Oct 1: +4.5 vs Wisconsin. Nov 23: +7.0. Dec 10: -1.0. Dec 11 & 12: +1.0

Franisdaman

Franisdaman

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DEC 10 UPDATE:

As of today, Dec 10, Iowa is a ONE point favorite vs Wisconsin.

I think most of us would have taken 6-2 at the beginning of the season.

And who knows, win game #9 and the bowl game, and KF is at 8 wins again. ;)

LINK: https://www.elitesportsbook.com/sports/ncaa-football-betting/home.sbk#search_iowa_wisconsin



NOV 23 UPDATE:

We may get to that 5-3 (or 6-2?) record yet!

Iowa is a 14 point favorite over Little Debbie

-10.5 over Illinois

7 point underdog to Wisky

LINK:

NOV 19 UPDATE:

We may get to that 5-3 record yet!

Iowa is a 3 point favorite over Penn State

-5.5 over Debbie
-10.5 over Illinois

7 point underdog to Wisky

LINK:

OCTOBER 1, ORIGINAL POST:

What games are you betting on? Does 5-3 sound about right?

I think we have a good shot at being 6-1 going into the game vs Wisconsin with the winner of Iowa/Wisconsin heading to the B1G Title game.

Are we looking at a 7-1 Iowa vs an 8-0 Ohio State with the winner advancing to the CFP? ;)

The current point spreads:

-8.5 Game 1 at Purdue (Oct 24)
-14.5 Game 2 vs N'western (Oct 31)
-4.0 Game 3 vs Michigan State (Nov 7)
+2.0 Game 4 at Minnesota (Nov 14)
+7.0 Game 5 at Penn State (Nov 21)
-3.0 Game 6 vs Nebraska (Nov 28)
-13.0 Game 7 at Illinois (Dec 5)
+4.5 Game 8 vs Wisconsin (Dec 12)

LINK: https://www.elitesportsbook.com/sports/ncaa-football-betting/iowa-season-long.sbk
 
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ScrewTheClowns said:
Idk why we wouldn’t be. Purdue has a good offense but not a great O-line or defense.
Click to expand...

I agree. -8.5 @ Purdue seems about right. Not sure I'd just all over the Hawks at that naumber, but wouldn't jump all over the Boilers either.

The one that's a head scratcher for me is -4 vs MSU. Sparty wasn't very good last year, and I look for them to struggle even more under a new coach with limited preparation time.
 
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Franisdaman said:
What games are you betting on? Does 5-3 sound about right?

I think we have a good shot at being 6-1 going into the game vs Wisconsin with the winner of Iowa/Wisconsin heading to the B1G Title game.

Are we looking at a 7-1 Iowa vs an 8-0 Ohio State with the winner advancing to the CFP? ;)

The current point spreads:

-8.5 Game 1 at Purdue (Oct 24)
-14.5 Game 2 vs N'western (Oct 31)
-4.0 Game 3 vs Michigan State (Nov 7)
+2.0 Game 4 at Minnesota (Nov 14)
+7.0 Game 5 at Penn State (Nov 21)
-3.0 Game 6 vs Nebraska (Nov 28)
-13.0 Game 7 at Illinois (Dec 5)
+4.5 Game 8 vs Wisconsin (Dec 12)

LINK: https://www.elitesportsbook.com/sports/ncaa-football-betting/iowa-season-long.sbk
Click to expand...

I've penciled in the Hawks at 6-2 this year. Winning in Happy Valley is just too big of a hill to climb. I expect we'll go 1-1 in our games against Bucky and the Rodents. Otherwise, run the table.
 
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5-3 seems accurate to me. History shows we will probably drop one of the first three that we are favored in. I never consider Purdue or Northwestern a guaranteed win. I think we will make up for that be beating Minnesota or Penn State. Nebraska has become a toss up the last couple years, and we've been lucky to escape with the win, but we should win that and the Illinois games. 5-3 or 4-4 seems reasonable. We have no idea what we will get out of the quarterback position, so that leaves a lot to the imagination. I'd love nothing more than to play Wisconsin for a trip to the championship, but the odds are usually pretty accurate.
 
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I can stomach losses to PSU and Wisky. Losing to Minnesota... yeesh.

Purdue is so scary if they have both Rondale Moore and David Bell... I am afraid it will look a lot like Mississippi State carving up LSU’s defense last week. I will be happy to get out of there with a win.
 
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Those first two games seemed high to me with a new QB. I'll stay away until I see us play a few games but when Iowa is giving a lot of points it usually is a good time to take the dog.
 
gojojo said:
Those first two games seemed high to me with a new QB. I'll stay away until I see us play a few games but when Iowa is giving a lot of points it usually is a good time to take the dog.
Click to expand...
I think people are really underestimating Petras. This is his third year in the program. It's not like he's a freshman coming into this. He's also been practicing with Linderbaum and ISM since Covid dropped.
 
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not_mantiteo said:
I think people are really underestimating Petras. This is his third year in the program. It's not like he's a freshman coming into this. He's also been practicing with Linderbaum and ISM since Covid dropped.
Click to expand...

I'm certainly not saying he won't be good, but we have no idea at this point. I hope he wins 3 Heismans
 
GlenEllynHawk said:
I agree. -8.5 @ Purdue seems about right. Not sure I'd just all over the Hawks at that naumber, but wouldn't jump all over the Boilers either.

The one that's a head scratcher for me is -4 vs MSU. Sparty wasn't very good last year, and I look for them to struggle even more under a new coach with limited preparation time.
Click to expand...

We Iowa fans tend to over-value Purdue based on how they have played against Iowa. Some teams are just good matchups with others. Purdue played Iowa very close last year, then turned around and lost 24-6 to Illinois the next week. It was in the rain, but still losing to Illinois by 18 is quite a feat.

The MSU number is interesting. They do have more talent, especially on defense, than people realize.
 
DodgerHawki said:
We Iowa fans tend to over-value Purdue based on how they have played against Iowa. Some teams are just good matchups with others. Purdue played Iowa very close last year, then turned around and lost 24-6 to Illinois the next week. It was in the rain, but still losing to Illinois by 18 is quite a feat.

The MSU number is interesting. They do have more talent, especially on defense, than people realize.
Click to expand...

Sparty has traditionally fielded solid defensive teams, but this year they only return 3 starters on that side of the ball. And no Spring practice means no time for a new staff to install new offensive or defensive schemes. Couple that with losing their starting QB, 2 starting receivers, and a pourous OL means they're unlikely to finsih above 5th in the B1G East.
 
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Home team advantage is negated with no crowds. Minnesota and Penn State are highly winnable. Wisconsin is thinner in a few spots than they have been in past years. A few key injuries and that game goes either way.
 
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BigDelHawk said:
Home team advantage is negated with no crowds. Minnesota and Penn State are highly winnable. Wisconsin is thinner in a few spots than they have been in past years. A few key injuries and that game goes either way.
Click to expand...
I think it all starts at the line of scrimmage. If the OL and DL perform well, everything else seems to fall in place.

The Iowa QB is one big unknown, obviously, but man, he has a stud RB, a stud TE and 4 very talented WRs to work with.
 
Iowa at Purdue without fans. Boilermakers head coach Jeff Brohm has been outspoken against "no fans" as he enters his fourth season. Will it be 0-4 in Year 4, after last year's loss at Nevada, when former Iowa Jay Norvell's team took down Purdue? In 2018, it was Northwestern in a B1G opener at home!

Purdue re-opened preseason practice with Its quarterback position in flux, with Jack Plummer, Aidan O'Connell and newcomer Austin Burton (UCLA transfer) competing for the job.

What do they say about teams without a QB starter?

Remember Iowa in 1987 at the Kickoff Classic. Iowa had their own three headed monster at QB.

This will be Kirk Ferentz's first season opener in the Big Ten. Iowa's last B1G season opener was also in Indiana, as Hayden Fry's 1980 team rolled into Bloomington and pulled out a 16-7 win over the Hoosier.

Iowa went 19 seasons was it, without a win over Purdue or without a winning season?

But, in 1981, Hayden Fry welcomed a new OL coach by the name of Kirk Ferentz and the Purdue series has greatly improved, with the 1985 game one of the most fortunate victories in Hawkeye history.

8-0 for third straight fourth year OC at Iowa?

You better win at Purdue. Against a Bob Diaco defense, as well.
 
Franisdaman said:
What games are you betting on? Does 5-3 sound about right?

I think we have a good shot at being 6-1 going into the game vs Wisconsin with the winner of Iowa/Wisconsin heading to the B1G Title game.

Are we looking at a 7-1 Iowa vs an 8-0 Ohio State with the winner advancing to the CFP? ;)

The current point spreads:

-8.5 Game 1 at Purdue (Oct 24)
-14.5 Game 2 vs N'western (Oct 31)
-4.0 Game 3 vs Michigan State (Nov 7)
+2.0 Game 4 at Minnesota (Nov 14)
+7.0 Game 5 at Penn State (Nov 21)
-3.0 Game 6 vs Nebraska (Nov 28)
-13.0 Game 7 at Illinois (Dec 5)
+4.5 Game 8 vs Wisconsin (Dec 12)

LINK: https://www.elitesportsbook.com/sports/ncaa-football-betting/iowa-season-long.sbk
Click to expand...

The current point spreads:

-7.5 Game 1 at Purdue (Oct 24)
-14.5 Game 2 vs N'western (Oct 31)
-4.5 Game 3 vs Michigan State (Nov 7)
+2.0 Game 4 at Minnesota (Nov 14)
+7.0 Game 5 at Penn State (Nov 21)
-3.0 Game 6 vs Nebraska (Nov 28)
-13.0 Game 7 at Illinois (Dec 5)
+4.5 Game 8 vs Wisconsin (Dec 12)

LINK: https://www.elitesportsbook.com/sports/ncaa-football-betting/iowa-season-long.sbk
 
I am not a gambling man, but only -4.5 vs MSU?? We get them at Kinnick and they have a whole new coaching staff... hmmm. I would be tempted to take some of that.
 
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Franisdaman said:
I am not a big gambler but i would assume you can bet on any game where there is a line
Click to expand...
Maybe I'm wrong but I'm guessing elitesportsbook isn't a big player in the betting markets. I'll be shocked if the final line is 7.5 and 8.5.
 
Betting before a single game has been played is always a terrible idea. This year it’s even worse.
Most years, we have to wait until 5-6 weeks into the season to really tell what kind of team Iowa is putting on the field. This year, I expect to see wild swings in how they play. I think we’re going to be bad early on and inconsistent later.
 
After watching 1/2 the first quarter of Michigan St vs Rutgers I logged on to Elite and put 110-100 on Iowa -5 in two weeks.
 
just for clarification, they are a 6.5 point favorite over which Michigan State sports team? Volleyball, swimming, or something completely different? Surely not the football team
 
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