ESPN Bracketology, Updated MARCH 13. IOWA is a 5 Seed in CHICAGO Regional. Bracket Matrix on MARCH 13 has IOWA a 5 Seed. #14 NET Ranking on March 13
- Thread starter Franisdaman
- Start date
Finally, a Quad 1 win!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 18, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 18, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
| 10 | 10 | Purdue | Big Ten | 23-4 | 5-3 | 4-0 | 14-1 | 8-4 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 7-0 |
| 14 | 14 | Illinois | Big Ten | 18-7 | 5-4 | 2-1 | 11-2 | 5-5 | 6-2 | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| 17 | 17 | Ohio St. | Big Ten | 16-6 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 11-0 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 20 | 19 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 20-5 | 7-2 | 3-0 | 10-3 | 8-4 | 4-1 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 21 | 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 17-8 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 0-6 | 5-2 | 4-0 | 8-0 |
| 27 | 27 | Michigan St. | Big Ten | 18-7 | 5-3 | 3-2 | 10-2 | 4-5 | 5-2 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| 31 | 31 | Michigan | Big Ten | 14-10 | 4-6 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 3-7 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 44 | 44 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-9 | 2-6 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3-0 | 8-0 |
| 65 | 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 11-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 1-10 | 3-0 | 2-2 | 5-0 |
| 75 | 74 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 16-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13-2 | 6-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| 80 | 80 | Penn St. | Big Ten | 11-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 9-4 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 4-0 |
| 92 | 100 | Maryland | Big Ten | 12-14 | 3-5 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-0 |
| 107 | 107 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 12-12 | 3-7 | 2-0 | 7-5 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| 186 | 171 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-19 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 2-1 | 5-1 |
Win the next 3 and Iowa is going to be top 40 in the six metrics the committee uses.
They wouldn’t be justified in leaving Iowa out on any basis.
Beat Sparty!
They wouldn’t be justified in leaving Iowa out on any basis.
Beat Sparty!
We'll still need the intensity we had today.
Chad gets it.
Iowa’s most complete game of the season. What was up with that swarming D? There was a period in the 2nd half where OSU could hardly get a shot up against Iowa.
I’m projecting that Iowa jumps to 17 in the NET ratings.
Iowa’s most complete game of the season. What was up with that swarming D? There was a period in the 2nd half where OSU could hardly get a shot up against Iowa.
I’m projecting that Iowa jumps to 17 in the NET ratings.
Need to keep piling up those wins against good opponents. Hawks have a few more chances. Michigan State as of right now is a Quad 1 win if Iowa were to win that game. But MSU could drop out of top 30 (they are 28) if Iowa were to beat MSU. Iowa picking up any wins among the remaining games against MSU, Michigan or Illinois would potentially be huge.
Yes, the computers like Iowa and that is great. But they will still need to show some more good wins to not get stuck in a 10 seed or as a 12 seed in a play in game. Teams to watch.
Virginia - currently 80 in NET. If UVA can keep winning, they could crack 75. Which would make that a Quad 1 win. Root for Cavaliers to beat Duke next week.
Utah State - they keep fading, down to 64 in NET. Doesn't look good for that getting back to a Quad 1 win.
Indiana - 44. Doesn't seem like any shot at them getting to 30 to make it a Quad 1 win.
On Monday I predicted we'd finish 21-10, 11-9. Granted, I thought we'd beat Michigan and lose to OSU.
Iowa now is 18-8, 8-7.
Every 3 days, until the end of the reg season, we will have a game.
The remaining 3 road games:
Fri Feb 25, 8 pm, Nebraska
Thur Mar 3, 8 pm, Michigan
Sun Mar 6, 6:30 pm, #13 Illinois
The remaining 2 home games:
Tues Feb 22, 6 pm, #17 Michigan State
Mon Feb 28, 8 pm, Northwestern
Iowa now is 18-8, 8-7.
Every 3 days, until the end of the reg season, we will have a game.
The remaining 3 road games:
Fri Feb 25, 8 pm, Nebraska
Thur Mar 3, 8 pm, Michigan
Sun Mar 6, 6:30 pm, #13 Illinois
The remaining 2 home games:
Tues Feb 22, 6 pm, #17 Michigan State
Mon Feb 28, 8 pm, Northwestern
Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated late last night, Feb 19, 2022, at 11:40 PM CT.
Shelby now has #9 IOWA (18-8) vs #8 Miami (19-8) with the winner playing the winner of #1 Gonzaga (23-2) vs #16 Norfolk State (18-5). @Hawksfor3
The 9 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Illinois
4 Wisconsin
5 Ohio State
6 Michigan State
9 IOWA
10 Rutgers.........@MrsScrew
10 Michigan
12 Indiana (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
Last 4 IN - BYU, Memphis, San Diego State, Indiana
First 4 OUT - Kansas State, North Carolina, Belmont, SMU
Next 4 OUT - Florida, VCU, Virginia, Dayton
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
bracketwag.com
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated late last night, Feb 19, 2022, at 11:40 PM CT.
Shelby now has #9 IOWA (18-8) vs #8 Miami (19-8) with the winner playing the winner of #1 Gonzaga (23-2) vs #16 Norfolk State (18-5). @Hawksfor3
The 9 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Illinois
4 Wisconsin
5 Ohio State
6 Michigan State
9 IOWA
10 Rutgers.........@MrsScrew
10 Michigan
12 Indiana (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
Last 4 IN - BYU, Memphis, San Diego State, Indiana
First 4 OUT - Kansas State, North Carolina, Belmont, SMU
Next 4 OUT - Florida, VCU, Virginia, Dayton
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
Shelby's Bracket WAG
Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 19, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
| 10 | 10 | Purdue | Big Ten | 23-4 | 5-3 | 4-0 | 14-1 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 7-0 |
| 14 | 14 | Illinois | Big Ten | 19-7 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 11-2 | 7-4 | 4-3 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 18 | 17 | Ohio St. | Big Ten | 16-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 11-1 | 4-6 | 4-1 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| 19 | 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 18-8 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 1-6 | 5-2 | 4-0 | 8-0 |
| 21 | 20 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 20-5 | 7-2 | 3-0 | 10-3 | 9-4 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 28 | 27 | Michigan St. | Big Ten | 18-8 | 5-3 | 3-2 | 10-3 | 5-5 | 4-3 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| 29 | 31 | Michigan | Big Ten | 14-10 | 4-6 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 3-6 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| 44 | 44 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-9 | 2-6 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 2-7 | 3-2 | 3-0 | 8-0 |
| 72 | 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 11-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 1-10 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 6-0 |
| 76 | 75 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 16-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13-2 | 7-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| 83 | 80 | Penn St. | Big Ten | 11-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 9-4 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| 95 | 92 | Maryland | Big Ten | 12-14 | 3-5 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| 100 | 107 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 13-12 | 3-7 | 2-0 | 8-5 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 5-0 |
| 184 | 186 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-19 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 0-10 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
Love playing golf around Palm Springs but #firelaquita
The Q1 column sure is a breath of fresh air.
Whatever Joe Lunardi is smoking, it can't be good for his health.
As of FEBRUARY 18, 6:00 am CT:
Iowa State & Rutgers get one of the LAST 4 BYES. @MrsScrew
Michigan is part of the LAST 4 IN (Play in game).
Joe Lunardi has #7 Iowa vs #10 TCU with the winner getting #2 Kentucky or #15 Colgate.
He now has these 9 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
4 Illinois
4 Wisconsin
5 Michigan State
5 Ohio State
7 IOWA
10 Indiana
11 Rutgers (LAST 4 BYES)
11 Michigan LAST 4 IN (Play in game)
Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 115 brackets, has IOWA as a 8 Seed.
Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
The Full ESPN Bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the Fighting Illini pulled off a surprise reboot
No one expected much from Illinois this year. But the Illini could have a shot at a No. 1 seed.www.espn.com
Joe Lunardi of ESPN still has the B1G with 9 teams in the NCAA Tournament.
As you can see, Indiana (last 4 byes) and Michigan (LAST TEAM IN) are squarely on the bubble.
His full bracket comes out tomorrow.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html
There are 3 updates from the BracketMatrix top 10 post Ohio St.
Two 9 seeds for Iowa and one 6 seed projection.
4 of the other 5 bracketologists in the top 10 who have released a bracket haven't updated yet. Two 11 seeds, two 10 seeds, and one 9 seed before the Ohio St game.
Once their updates come in, they will probably push Iowa into the 9 seed range.
There are 3 updates from the BracketMatrix top 10 post Ohio St.
Two 9 seeds for Iowa and one 6 seed projection.
4 of the other 5 bracketologists in the top 10 who have released a bracket haven't updated yet. Two 11 seeds, two 10 seeds, and one 9 seed before the Ohio St game.
Once their updates come in, they will probably push Iowa into the 9 seed range.
I'm going to get confused by Iona flashing up there on Selection Sunday, I just know it.
Hawks are now 7-8 in Quad 1 and Quad 2 games combined. Win tomorrow evens us up at 8-8 (I like to combine those two because the cutoffs are arbitrary anyways). Or maybe I'm just trying to lessen the impact of the bad Quad 1 column? In any case, would be a huge win tomorrow.
For sure a huge game. With a win, the only thing that could reasonably throw Iowa off is a loss to Nebraska because road games can get dicey. Especially at a place where Iowa hasn't won in a while.
I think Iowa has a little more leeway going 10-10 because their best win is a road win against a top 20 team. Not just a solid home win over an OK team like Michigan or Indiana.
Completely agree that the road win gives them more leeway. It's crazy how much more valuable winning @ OSU was than winning at home versus Michigan. I think when the committee sees (possibly) 4-6 on the road in the Big Ten, plus a road win at (possibly) tournament bound Virginia and neutral Utah St, that'll put the Hawks in a comfortable spot.
In your opinion, are we closer to a 6 or a 9 (or worse)? Unfortunately, I think 9 (or worse)....
As of FEBRUARY 22, 6:00 am CT:
Michigan & Indiana are the LAST 2 TEAMS IN (they are both in a Play in Game).
Joe Lunardi has #7 Iowa vs #10 Miami with the winner getting #2 Kentucky or #15 Jacksonville State.
He has these 9 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Illinois
3 Wisconsin
5 Ohio State
6 Michigan State
7 IOWA
10 Rutgers........... @MrsScrew
11 Michigan (LAST 2 TEAMS IN; in a Play in Game)
12 Indiana (LAST 2 TEAMS IN; in a Play in Game)
Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 131 brackets, has IOWA as an 8 Seed.
Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
Iowa's Feb 22 nonconference schedule rank (per KenPom): #329 out of 358 teams.
IOWA (#19 NET Ranking on Feb 22)
1-5: Quad 1
5-3: Quad 2
4-0: Quad 3
8-0: Quad 4
............................................
18-8 Overall Record
===================
Current Quad 1 Records:
6-3: Rutgers @MrsScrew
3-7: Michigan
2-6: Indiana
1-5: IOWA
The Full ESPN Bracket:
Michigan & Indiana are the LAST 2 TEAMS IN (they are both in a Play in Game).
Joe Lunardi has #7 Iowa vs #10 Miami with the winner getting #2 Kentucky or #15 Jacksonville State.
He has these 9 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Illinois
3 Wisconsin
5 Ohio State
6 Michigan State
7 IOWA
10 Rutgers........... @MrsScrew
11 Michigan (LAST 2 TEAMS IN; in a Play in Game)
12 Indiana (LAST 2 TEAMS IN; in a Play in Game)
Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 131 brackets, has IOWA as an 8 Seed.
Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
Iowa's Feb 22 nonconference schedule rank (per KenPom): #329 out of 358 teams.
IOWA (#19 NET Ranking on Feb 22)
1-5: Quad 1
5-3: Quad 2
4-0: Quad 3
8-0: Quad 4
............................................
18-8 Overall Record
===================
Current Quad 1 Records:
6-3: Rutgers @MrsScrew
3-7: Michigan
2-6: Indiana
1-5: IOWA
The Full ESPN Bracket:
Zach Edey returning to Purdue shakes up Bracketology in a big way
Kansas remains the clear preseason No. 1, but the Boilermakers have slipped in behind the Jayhawks as a probable repeat 1-seed with revenge on their minds.
www.espn.com
Yeah I think Iowa would be closer to a 9 if committee were selecting today. The computers like Iowa but best wins are Ohio State, Indiana, Utah State and Virginia. Still time to change that, of course. I do think getting to a 6 seed is largely a pipe dream unless Iowa goes on crazy run.
Big game tonight!
IOWA (#19 NET Ranking on Feb 22)
1-5: Quad 1
5-3: Quad 2
4-0: Quad 3
8-0: Quad 4
............................................
18-8 Overall Record
===================
Michigan State (#29 NET Ranking on Feb 22)
3-5: Quad 1
6-2: Quad 2
5-1: Quad 3
4-0: Quad 4
............................................
18-8 Overall Record
===================
Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 21, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
IOWA (#19 NET Ranking on Feb 22)
1-5: Quad 1
5-3: Quad 2
4-0: Quad 3
8-0: Quad 4
............................................
18-8 Overall Record
===================
Michigan State (#29 NET Ranking on Feb 22)
3-5: Quad 1
6-2: Quad 2
5-1: Quad 3
4-0: Quad 4
............................................
18-8 Overall Record
===================
Here are the Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 21, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
| 10 | 9 | Purdue | Big Ten | 24-4 | 5-3 | 4-0 | 15-1 | 7-3 | 4-1 | 6-0 | 7-0 |
| 14 | 14 | Illinois | Big Ten | 19-7 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 11-2 | 5-4 | 5-3 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| 18 | 18 | Ohio St. | Big Ten | 17-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 12-1 | 4-6 | 4-1 | 6-0 | 3-0 |
| 19 | 19 | Iowa | Big Ten | 18-8 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 1-5 | 5-3 | 4-0 | 8-0 |
| 20 | 20 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 21-5 | 7-2 | 3-0 | 11-3 | 7-4 | 6-0 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 29 | 28 | Michigan St. | Big Ten | 18-8 | 5-3 | 3-2 | 10-3 | 3-5 | 6-2 | 5-1 | 4-0 |
| 34 | 34 | Michigan | Big Ten | 14-11 | 4-7 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 43 | 43 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-10 | 2-7 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3-0 | 8-0 |
| 77 | 76 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 11-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 1-10 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 6-0 |
| 80 | 80 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 16-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 13-2 | 6-3 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| 84 | 83 | Penn St. | Big Ten | 11-13 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 9-4 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| 93 | 95 | Maryland | Big Ten | 13-14 | 3-5 | 2-1 | 8-8 | 2-8 | 4-2 | 3-4 | 4-0 |
| 100 | 101 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 13-12 | 3-7 | 2-0 | 8-5 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 5-0 |
| 188 | 187 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-19 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 0-9 | 0-6 | 1-3 | 6-1 |
Of the teams you mentioned....
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
| 82 | 81 | Virginia | ACC | 17-10 | 5-6 | 2-0 | 10-4 | 3-5 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 6-0 |
| 64 | 64 | Utah St. | Mountain West | 14-13 | 3-7 | 4-1 | 7-5 | 1-9 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 5-2 |
| 43 | 43 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-10 | 2-7 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3-0 | 8-0 |
| 18 | 18 | Ohio St. | Big Ten | 17-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 12-1 | 4-6 | 4-1 | 6-0 | 3-0 |
Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated late last night, Feb 21, 2022, at 11:01 PM CT.
Shelby continues to have Iowa as a 9 seed. He has #9 IOWA (18-8) vs #8 Miami (19-8) with the winner playing the winner of #1 Gonzaga (23-2) vs #16 Norfolk State (18-6). @Hawksfor3
The 9 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Illinois
4 Wisconsin
5 Ohio State
6 Michigan State
9 IOWA
11 Rutgers.........@MrsScrew
12 Michigan (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
12 Indiana (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
Last 4 IN - SMU, Michigan, San Diego State, Indiana
First 4 OUT - North Carolina, Memphis, Kansas State, Belmont
Next 4 OUT - Florida, VCU, Virginia, Dayton
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
bracketwag.com
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated late last night, Feb 21, 2022, at 11:01 PM CT.
Shelby continues to have Iowa as a 9 seed. He has #9 IOWA (18-8) vs #8 Miami (19-8) with the winner playing the winner of #1 Gonzaga (23-2) vs #16 Norfolk State (18-6). @Hawksfor3
The 9 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
3 Illinois
4 Wisconsin
5 Ohio State
6 Michigan State
9 IOWA
11 Rutgers.........@MrsScrew
12 Michigan (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
12 Indiana (Last 4 In/Play in Game)
Last 4 IN - SMU, Michigan, San Diego State, Indiana
First 4 OUT - North Carolina, Memphis, Kansas State, Belmont
Next 4 OUT - Florida, VCU, Virginia, Dayton
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
Shelby's Bracket WAG
I just don't get how a top 20 team in the NET matrix that the committee is using would drop them all the way down to a 9 seed. If you seeded the teams to the NET ranking Iowa would be a 5 seed. I get the quad 1 losses and the lack of big wins but Iowa has no bad losses and other teams ranked below them obviously have their flaws as well. The lack of Q1 wins I can see dropping a few seedings but all the way down to 9?
Look at Michigan State's NET team sheet for example. MSU has a 29 NET ranking and they are forecasted to be a 6 seed (which is better than their NET ranking). Granted MSU has 2 more wins over Q1 opponents but they are neutral sites against Loyola Chicago and UConn with 1 impressive win at Wisconsin (who they also lost at home too). MSU also has a Q3 loss, which Iowa does not have, when they lost at home against Northwestern. I don't see how that puts them all that much better than Iowa to justify putting them at a 6 and Iowa at a 9. Granted Iowa can beat them tonight but I pretty sure even if Iowa wins tonight MSU will still have a better seed by these predictors.
Probably the Izzo factor I guess, just the way it is. But it will still piss me off. lol
Look at Michigan State's NET team sheet for example. MSU has a 29 NET ranking and they are forecasted to be a 6 seed (which is better than their NET ranking). Granted MSU has 2 more wins over Q1 opponents but they are neutral sites against Loyola Chicago and UConn with 1 impressive win at Wisconsin (who they also lost at home too). MSU also has a Q3 loss, which Iowa does not have, when they lost at home against Northwestern. I don't see how that puts them all that much better than Iowa to justify putting them at a 6 and Iowa at a 9. Granted Iowa can beat them tonight but I pretty sure even if Iowa wins tonight MSU will still have a better seed by these predictors.
Probably the Izzo factor I guess, just the way it is. But it will still piss me off. lol
http://crazysportsdude.com/debut-bracketology-2022/
The first 2022 bracket released from the #1 guy on bracketmatrix.
Iowa is an 8 seed and 31st overall.
The first 2022 bracket released from the #1 guy on bracketmatrix.
Iowa is an 8 seed and 31st overall.
