Those top seeds are weak, IMO. Just need Jbo to get hot for two games! God, I'm an optimist.
ESPN Bracketology, Updated MARCH 13. IOWA is a 5 Seed in CHICAGO Regional. Bracket Matrix on MARCH 13 has IOWA a 5 Seed. #14 NET Ranking on March 13
- Thread starter Franisdaman
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Those top seeds are weak, IMO. Just need Jbo to get hot for two games! God, I'm an optimist.
When we have the best player on the court in almost all the games, we have a chance!
Or not play bohannon at all. Maybe someone like toussaint, who is better by every metric this year.
Well, we know that ain’t happening so let’s just pray Jbo returns to form.
20 or 21 wins. Most would have taken that preseason.
Will the OSU game get made up?
Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated this morning, Feb 9, 2022, 7:54 AM CT.
The same 7 B1G teams continue to show up. Note that he has Iowa at the 10 seed that @TheTruthTheWholeTruth is hoping for.
The 7 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
1 Purdue
2 Wisconsin
4 Michigan State
4 Illinois
5 Ohio State
10 IOWA
10 Indiana
Last 4 IN - West Virginia, Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Creighton
First 4 OUT - San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia, Florida
Next 4 OUT - SMU, Mississippi State, Santa Clara, Washington State
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
bracketwag.com
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated this morning, Feb 9, 2022, 7:54 AM CT.
The same 7 B1G teams continue to show up. Note that he has Iowa at the 10 seed that @TheTruthTheWholeTruth is hoping for.
The 7 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
1 Purdue
2 Wisconsin
4 Michigan State
4 Illinois
5 Ohio State
10 IOWA
10 Indiana
Last 4 IN - West Virginia, Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Creighton
First 4 OUT - San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia, Florida
Next 4 OUT - SMU, Mississippi State, Santa Clara, Washington State
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
Shelby's Bracket WAG
At what point do we need to start worrying about Rutgers, who have the head to head vs Iowa? They have these quality wins:
Purdue
Michigan State
Ohio State
Iowa
And remember, had we played at OSU, we might be at 7 conference losses and 8 losses overall.
UPDATED Current Records:
14-9, 8-5.....Rutgers @MrsScrew !!!
15-7, 5-6......Iowa
Last edited:
2 Q3 and 1 Q4 loss pretty much offset those good wins. They are still in the need to do more category.
Rutgers NET almost 100 but probably before last night's win. Yeah, any Q3 or Q4 losses need to be overridden by road ranked wins most likely and probably several.
Yesterday's win moved our NET from 99 to 91. We're making progress there and if we manage to get four more wins, I think it will be high enough. We would probably have seven Q1 wins, and the committee could say Baker missed the UMass game and the last eight minutes of Lafayette to excuse some of that stink. If we stall out at three wins, that is a harder sell. If we only get two or less, there's nothing to discuss.
Iowa is going to be favored in almost all of their remaining games except for at Michigan, at Illinois and at OSU if they play that game. That would be 6-3. Even if they drop one they aren't supposed to that is 5-4 and they finish .500. They will be in. Seeding might not be great although their metrics are good. So just stay out of the 8-9 game. Problem is that I don't trust the defense still so it is hard to count on games being a win even. See at PSU.
Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 9, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
| 4 | 4 | Purdue | Big Ten | 21-3 | 4-2 | 4-0 | 13-1 | 7-2 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 7-0 |
| 12 | 13 | Illinois | Big Ten | 17-6 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 10-2 | 5-4 | 4-2 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| 18 | 17 | Ohio St. | Big Ten | 14-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10-0 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| 19 | 19 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 19-4 | 6-2 | 3-0 | 10-2 | 8-4 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 20 | 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 15-7 | 2-5 | 1-0 | 12-2 | 1-5 | 3-2 | 4-0 | 7-0 |
| 27 | 26 | Michigan St. | Big Ten | 17-6 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 9-2 | 4-4 | 5-2 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 35 | 34 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-7 | 2-5 | 1-0 | 13-2 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 8-0 |
| 47 | 47 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12-9 | 3-6 | 2-1 | 7-2 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 66 | 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 11-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 7-5 | 1-8 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 6-0 |
| 89 | 89 | Penn St. | Big Ten | 9-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 4-0 |
| 91 | 99 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 14-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 12-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| 100 | 101 | Maryland | Big Ten | 11-12 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 7-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| 102 | 91 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 11-10 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 6-5 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| 182 | 198 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
Our defense seems to have stepped up a bit, but our offense seems to be taking a step back. Unless we can achieve some equilibrium, I don't see us making the NCAA Tournament at all. Might be a NIT year.
Would you believe Iowa ranks better on D than Purdue (per KenPom)?
IOWA
#10: Adjusted offense ranking
#93: Adjusted defense ranking
PURDUE
#1: Adjusted offense ranking
#105: Adjusted defense ranking
Doesn’t Rutgers winning only help us make the NCAAs at this point? Makes our loss look more tenable.
I disagree but understand your logic. Iowa is solidly in the field as of now and some of the brackets even project out for the remainder of our games. Schedule is very favorable and even 5-4 punches a Dance ticket.
Bubble is very weak IMO and as I've been saying, Last 4 In/First 4 Out have very average resumes at best so it would probably take 2-3 BAD losses to knock out Iowa and those teams to catch fire too.
It actually benefits the conference to not have Iowa risk a loss and push them closer to the Bubble. Just a thought.
Can't believe we're still #10 on offense. We're bad a three pointers, terrible with offensive rebounds, have a difficult time getting in the lane. Oftentimes, our offense just looks pretty clunky.
i was just pondering IF iowa would lose some of these road games while Rutgers continues winning impressively
Not surprising, Iowa back up to 4 on Offense on KenPom
That was a great offensive performance
That was a great offensive performance
As of FEBRUARY 11, 6:00 am CT:
Michigan is part of the NEXT 4 OUT.
Joe Lunardi continues to have these 7 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Seed/Team:
1 Purdue
3 Illinois
3 Wisconsin
5 Michigan State
6 Ohio State
7 IOWA
9 Indiana
Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 112 brackets, has IOWA as a 8 Seed.
Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
The Full ESPN Bracket:
Michigan is part of the NEXT 4 OUT.
Joe Lunardi continues to have these 7 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Seed/Team:
1 Purdue
3 Illinois
3 Wisconsin
5 Michigan State
6 Ohio State
7 IOWA
9 Indiana
Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 112 brackets, has IOWA as a 8 Seed.
Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
The Full ESPN Bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the Fighting Illini pulled off a surprise reboot
No one expected much from Illinois this year. But the Illini could have a shot at a No. 1 seed.
www.espn.com
Figuring out Michigan is hard. Just demolished Purdue. Smashed them. Also won big at Indiana. But then they have a double digit loss to Minnesota, at Ann Arbor. Also double digit loss to UCF and got boat-raced by North Carolina.As of FEBRUARY 11, 6:00 am CT:
Michigan is part of the NEXT 4 OUT.
Joe Lunardi continues to have these 7 B1G teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Seed/Team:
1 Purdue
3 Illinois
3 Wisconsin
5 Michigan State
6 Ohio State
7 IOWA
9 Indiana
Bracket Matrix, which currently combines the results of 112 brackets, has IOWA as a 8 Seed.
Link: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
The Full ESPN Bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the Fighting Illini pulled off a surprise reboot
No one expected much from Illinois this year. But the Illini could have a shot at a No. 1 seed.www.espn.com
Need to hope they are in an inconsistent spell when they come to CHA. Iowa trying to defend Dickinson gives me chills. He hit 4 3's against Purdue, is over 40% on the year from 3.
I noted above that on Nov 9 Michigan was regarded as a #1 seed.
Can you or anyone else give a refresher on what went wrong and what got better between then and now?
Thanks in advance.
Current NET Rankings, Through Feb 10, 2022 Games:
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4
| 9 | 4 | Purdue | Big Ten | 21-4 | 4-3 | 4-0 | 13-1 | 8-3 | 3-1 | 3-0 | 7-0 |
| 12 | 12 | Illinois | Big Ten | 17-6 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 10-2 | 6-4 | 3-2 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| 18 | 18 | Ohio St. | Big Ten | 14-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10-0 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| 19 | 20 | Iowa | Big Ten | 16-7 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 12-2 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 4-0 | 7-0 |
| 20 | 19 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 19-4 | 6-2 | 3-0 | 10-2 | 8-4 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 26 | 27 | Michigan St. | Big Ten | 17-6 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 9-2 | 5-4 | 4-2 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| 30 | 47 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13-9 | 3-6 | 2-1 | 8-2 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 37 | 35 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-7 | 2-5 | 1-0 | 13-2 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4-0 | 8-0 |
| 66 | 66 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 11-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 7-5 | 1-8 | 2-0 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| 88 | 89 | Penn St. | Big Ten | 9-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 4-0 |
| 92 | 91 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 14-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 12-2 | 5-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| 100 | 102 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 11-10 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 6-5 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| 104 | 100 | Maryland | Big Ten | 11-13 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| 177 | 182 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
Updates from the top 2 ranked bracketologists (that have posted a bracket so far) on bracketmatrix.
Delphi - 9 Seed
https://delphibracketology.com/bracketology
HeatCheck CBB - 9 Seed
https://heatcheckcbb.com/heat-check-cbb-march-madness-bracketology/
The bracket from HeatCheck is particularly notable because he's been the most negative with Iowa's resume amongst the guys ranked high on bracketmatrix that I've looked at. A couple of days ago, he had Iowa as an 11 seed. If he has us as a 9 seed, then that is currently Iowa's floor. A good sign.
Delphi - 9 Seed
https://delphibracketology.com/bracketology
HeatCheck CBB - 9 Seed
https://heatcheckcbb.com/heat-check-cbb-march-madness-bracketology/
The bracket from HeatCheck is particularly notable because he's been the most negative with Iowa's resume amongst the guys ranked high on bracketmatrix that I've looked at. A couple of days ago, he had Iowa as an 11 seed. If he has us as a 9 seed, then that is currently Iowa's floor. A good sign.
Where are you pulling this NET ranking from? The NET rankings on NCAA.com has Iowa at 1-5 in Quad 1 games, so which is correct? The overall ranking is the same.
Yep, poses some of the same matchup problems as Garza did. Hits 3's, runs the floor, posts up, blocks shots, etc. Maybe you put Keegan on him and wear him down with transition and fast breaks.
Columns are probably off and/or margins. Only 1 Quad win, yes, although Indiana and Virginia are trending toward Quad 1, which would be nice. We have a few more Q1 opportunities ahead.
Mike DeCourcy is a Sporting News college hoops columnist and a Big Ten Network studio analyst.
He does a Bracket Forecast for Fox Sports.
He has the same 7 B1G teams in the Tournament as Joe Lunardi of ESPN.
NOTE that Michigan is part of his FIRST 4 OUT.
The 7 B1G teams he has in the NCAA Tournament:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
2 Wisconsin
4 Illinois
5 Michigan State
6 Ohio State
9 IOWA
10 Indiana
His Full Bracket:
He does a Bracket Forecast for Fox Sports.
He has the same 7 B1G teams in the Tournament as Joe Lunardi of ESPN.
NOTE that Michigan is part of his FIRST 4 OUT.
The 7 B1G teams he has in the NCAA Tournament:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue
2 Wisconsin
4 Illinois
5 Michigan State
6 Ohio State
9 IOWA
10 Indiana
His Full Bracket:
Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated this morning, Feb 11, 2022, 12:04 AM CT.
The same 7 B1G teams continue to show up. Michigan, as you can see below, is lurking on the bubble (part of the NEXT 4 OUT).
The 7 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue...................a 2 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 1 per Lunardi/ESPN
2 Wisconsin.............a 2 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 3 per Lunardi/ESPN
4 Illinois....................a 4 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 3 per Lunardi/ESPN
4 Michigan State....a 5 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 5 per Lunardi/ESPN
5 Ohio State............a 6 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 6 per Lunardi/ESPN
9 IOWA..................a 9 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 7 per Lunardi/ESPN
10 Indiana................a 10 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 9 per Lunardi/ESPN
Last 4 IN - Belmont, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Creighton
First 4 OUT - SMU, San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia
Next 4 OUT - Florida, Michigan, Santa Clara, St Louis
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
bracketwag.com
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
His bracket was last updated this morning, Feb 11, 2022, 12:04 AM CT.
The same 7 B1G teams continue to show up. Michigan, as you can see below, is lurking on the bubble (part of the NEXT 4 OUT).
The 7 B1G teams that he has in:
Seed/Team:
2 Purdue...................a 2 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 1 per Lunardi/ESPN
2 Wisconsin.............a 2 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 3 per Lunardi/ESPN
4 Illinois....................a 4 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 3 per Lunardi/ESPN
4 Michigan State....a 5 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 5 per Lunardi/ESPN
5 Ohio State............a 6 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 6 per Lunardi/ESPN
9 IOWA..................a 9 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 7 per Lunardi/ESPN
10 Indiana................a 10 per DeCourcy/FOX, a 9 per Lunardi/ESPN
Last 4 IN - Belmont, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Creighton
First 4 OUT - SMU, San Diego State, Oregon, Virginia
Next 4 OUT - Florida, Michigan, Santa Clara, St Louis
His Full Bracket & Analysis:
Shelby's Bracket WAG
The NET information I posted above is from ncaa.com & has Iowa:
1-5: Q1 (which is correct)
4-2: Q2
4-0: Q3
7-0: Q4
...................................
16-7 Overall Record
#19 NET Ranking
the dreaded 8/9 line.....hopefully we can move up to a 7 or better
30 days until Selection Sunday!
