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Hawkeye Women's BBall Season 2022-2023

Wonder just how big of a loss that will be for KSU. Is that more like the difference between a 5-6 seed and 8-9 seed, or are they maybe not a tourney team anymore?
 
Wonder just how big of a loss that will be for KSU. Is that more like the difference between a 5-6 seed and 8-9 seed, or are they maybe not a tourney team anymore?
Remains to be seen but I'd say they're in the 10-11 seed range. Even with her, they were just a 9-seed last year, but had been very competitive with the top of the Big 12 and were positioned to take a step up this year. The top of the Big 12 will likely be strong enough to get the conference 5-6 bids again and I'd guess KSU still finishes within that range.
 
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Remains to be seen but I'd say they're in the 10-11 seed range. Even with her, they were just a 9-seed last year, but had been very competitive with the top of the Big 12 and were positioned to take a step up this year. The top of the Big 12 will likely be strong enough to get the conference 5-6 bids again and I'd guess KSU still finishes within that range.
Rough! Bummer for them. Thanks for the info. Do they return any other notable players?
 
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Wonder just how big of a loss that will be for KSU. Is that more like the difference between a 5-6 seed and 8-9 seed, or are they maybe not a tourney team anymore?
I thought Kansas State had a shot at being ranked going into the Iowa matchup. If I remember right they bring back four starters and brought in a transfer from Oklahoma.
 
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Rough! Bummer for them. Thanks for the info. Do they return any other notable players?
Piggybacking off what Huesmann said, their most important returnee at this point is probably 6'1'' PG Serena Sundell who will be a sophomore. She was already their second best player as a freshman last year (unanimous All-Freshman Big 12 team). Would expect her to make a sophomore leap as do most players...
 
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I think we dodged a bullet by having Wisconsin on December 4 instead of one of the top teams in the conference. That could've been a tougher stretch than the team has faced in years.
Maybe it's just a coincidence, but I wonder if the league made an effort to avoid high profile conferences games in early December. Here are the top 6 teams from last year and who their conference opponents are that first week of December:

Iowa: Wisconsin and Minnesota
Indiana: Illinois and Penn State
Ohio State: Rutgers and Michigan State
Maryland: Nebraska and Purude
Nebraska: Maryland and Wisconsin
Michigan: Northwestern

The only "notable" matchup is Maryland/Nebraska.
 
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Maybe it's just a coincidence, but I wonder if the league made an effort to avoid high profile conferences games in early December. Here are the top 6 teams from last year and who their conference opponents are that first week of December:

Iowa: Wisconsin and Minnesota
Indiana: Illinois and Penn State
Ohio State: Rutgers and Michigan State
Maryland: Nebraska and Purude
Nebraska: Maryland and Wisconsin
Michigan: Northwestern

The only "notable" matchup is Maryland/Nebraska.
Doesn't every coach hate these early B1G games? Why do they keep getting scheduled?
 
Doesn't every coach hate these early B1G games? Why do they keep getting scheduled?
They have done one before but never three. I presume the reason was to better space out games in January and February. Since the league went to 18 conference games, the schedule got really compacted before. There used to be two bye weeks built in, but last year there were none. This year there will be one.

I also noticed the addition of many Saturday games. Coach Bluder has long complained about not getting enough Sunday home games. So this year they have five weekend home games.
 
Maybe it's just a coincidence, but I wonder if the league made an effort to avoid high profile conferences games in early December. Here are the top 6 teams from last year and who their conference opponents are that first week of December:

Iowa: Wisconsin and Minnesota
Indiana: Illinois and Penn State
Ohio State: Rutgers and Michigan State
Maryland: Nebraska and Purude
Nebraska: Maryland and Wisconsin
Michigan: Northwestern

The only "notable" matchup is Maryland/Nebraska.
It might be something the league does intentionally. I kind of like having a couple early conference games, but I really don't want to see the top teams play that early, especially if they are also playing marquee non-conference games at the same time.

The worst possible schedule for Iowa would've been something like:

Nov. 27- neutral vs. UConn
Dec. 1- vs. NC State
Dec. 4- at Top Big Ten team
Dec. 7 vs. Iowa State
Dec. 10 vs. Top Big Ten team.

That would've been as difficult of a two week stretch as you could get. It also could've set Iowa up to take a couple losses it otherwise might not. With weaker opponents Dec. 4 and Dec. 10, Iowa now has a decent chance of going 4-1 or better in that stretch.
 
listened yesterday….. great listen…. thanks for sharing….. Caitlyn is an incredible representative for Iowa….and such a great role model for young athletes……boys and girls…. her parents did an amazing job with her
 


This is a fun interview in general, but I'm sharing specifically because there is a tidbit at the end (2:35-end) that makes me think multiple of our seniors (Warnock, Marshall, Martin) will not be returning for supersenior/COVID years.

"Q. What can we expect from Iowa this season?

"A. I think you can expect a lot of people who've know the game really well, have great team chemistry, and who are just willing to put it all on the line. This is a lot of our last years doing this, and we're all so excited. There's so much energy and personality. I think it's going to be fun to watch us."

Obviously I'm just speculating, but I feel like Monika wouldn't have phrased it that way if she knew some of them might be coming back next year. On the the other hand, I suppose it's possible the coaches haven't made any official COVID offers yet, in which case Monika might just be operating under the assumption that this might be it for the class below her. Any thoughts?
 
First it’s got me pumped for the season. Second you are right in thinking not all will come back. If Taylor and Molly develop as we hope along with Stuelke, they have the chance to replace with less experience but maybe more talent. With the probability of Ava not likely ready to play next year, I would like Warnock to come back. But she maybe ready to move on. I think the options to offer will be made by Lisa at season end
 
"I think you can expect a lot of people who've know the game really well, have great team chemistry, and who are just willing to put it all on the line. This is a lot of our last years doing this, and we're all so excited. There's so much energy and personality. I think it's going to be fun to watch us."

Obviously I'm just speculating, but I feel like Monika wouldn't have phrased it that way if she knew some of them might be coming back next year. On the the other hand, I suppose it's possible the coaches haven't made any official COVID offers yet, in which case Monika might just be operating under the assumption that this might be it for the class below her. Any thoughts?
Last year, it seemed that the de facto way to talk about seniors was to assume they're graduating -- until they say otherwise (even when it's obvious they'll return, like Czinano, Joens, Berger). I found it weird, but I would guess that coaches know how much almost every player would take them up on another shot, so they tread lightly and neither promise nor hint at anything for anyone until the deal is done. My thoughts on our current situation:
  • Bluder will offer Davis a COVID year because we will still need a backup PG. Davis will likely take it considering she moved 3 states for this opportunity and will want a shot at a starting spot. Johnson-Etienne will not be ready to assume that role as a freshman. The only thing that would change this calculus would be if Davis doesn’t like Iowa / Bluder finds an even better PG with more eligibility in the portal. Could happen, but I think Davis and Bluder would prefer to stay the path.
  • Unless we sign Jasmine Brown or Bluder is contacted by an additional major transfer prosepect, there's one roster spot left. Of the other 3 seniors, I think the only one LB would be wise to offer a COVID year to is Warnock -- for the same reason LB offered it to Czinano this year: Warnock will be the second best scoring option on the roster. Except this year that will matter even more, because otherwise we will have to replace 4 starters…that kind of turnover will result in some bumps. It'd be a shame to start Clark's senior year like that, when we have the talent to keep competing at a high level.
  • IMO the ceiling of the next starting lineup (likely McCabe/Feuerbach/Stuelke/O'Grady) is higher than that of the current lineup...but I think it worth it to ease the transition by keeping Warnock in there.
  • Unfortunately it seems Warnock is the least likely to want a 5th year, since she has no plans for pro ball and instead plans for dental school. Maybe she would be interested in a certificate or minor that won't slow down her career progress, but up her competitiveness for dental apps. Win/win for everyone.
  • If Marshall or Martin were to return, I'd cheer them on and be happy to see them stay. But if I'm being honest, I don't know that it's worth a year of benching the next women up. It'd be a shame to not give these excellent recruiting classes their fair shot at shining. Marshall and Martin probably understand this.
  • A 5th yr for Warnock will put a lid on Edigar and Gyamfi's minutes, right when we should expect both to be ready to see meaningful time, even if not starting.
 
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Last year, it seemed that the de facto way to talk about seniors was to assume they're graduating -- until they say otherwise (even when it's obvious they'll return, like Czinano or Ashley Joens). I found it weird that everyone spoke so confidently (I was also standing by for Berger, Mikesell, etc to announce their return, and wasn't surprised at all when they did), but I would guess that coaches know how much almost every player would take them up on another shot, so they really want to tread lightly. My thoughts on our current situation:
  • Bluder will offer Davis a COVID year because we will still need a backup PG. I'm sure Davis will take it considering she moved 3 states for this opportunity and will want a shot at a starting spot. Johnson-Etienne will not be ready to assume that role as a freshman. Only the possibility of a major inbound transfer would change this calculus, IMO.
  • Unless we sign Jasmine Brown or Bluder is contacted by an additional major transfer prosepect, there's one roster spot left. Of the other 3 seniors, I think the only one LB would be wise to offer a COVID year to is Warnock -- for the same reason LB offered it to Czinano this year: Warnock will be the second best scoring option on the roster. Except this year that will matter even more, because otherwise we will have to replace 4 starters. It doesn't matter how good your replacements are, that kind of turnover will result in some bumps. It'd be a shame to start Clark's senior year like that, when we have the talent to keep competing at a high level.
  • I think the ceiling of the next starting lineup (likely Clark/McCabe/Feuerbach/Stuelke/O'Grady) is higher than that of the current lineup...but I think it worth it to ease the transition and keep Warnock in there.
  • Unfortunately it seems Warnock is the least likely to want that 5th year, since she has no plans for pro ball and instead plans for dental school. Maybe she would be interested in a certificate or minor that won't slow down her career progress, but make her an even more competitive candidate for dental schools. Win/win for her and the program.
  • If Marshall or Martin were to return, I'd cheer them on and be happy to see them stay. But if I'm being honest, I don't know that it's worth a year of benching the next women up. It'd be a shame to not give these excellent recruiting classes their fair shot at shining.
  • The downside to giving Warnock another year is that it will put a tight lid on Edigar and Gyamfi's minutes, right when we should expect both to be ready to see meaningful time, even if not starting.
Your assumption is Edigar at the 4, and OGrady at the 5. Lisa mentioned at the end of summer camp that 3centers would allow her to play OGrady at her preferred spot, the 4. There was some frustration last year when Warnock was out that OGrady never got a look there, rather we went with an undersized Martin. Not sure how this pans out as Ediger seems undersized at 5, and showed range in high school as well.
 
Your assumption is Edigar at the 4, and OGrady at the 5. Lisa mentioned at the end of summer camp that 3centers would allow her to play OGrady at her preferred spot, the 4. There was some frustration last year when Warnock was out that OGrady never got a look there, rather we went with an undersized Martin. Not sure how this pans out as Ediger seems undersized at 5, and showed range in high school as well.
I’m not really sure where I see Edigar fitting in seeing as how I feel like I barely saw her last year (may be due to her injury more than anything else).

I am just guessing that she is less likely to start than Stuelke or Ogrady next year, considering what we’ve seen from AO and heard of HS.

But hey, I could very well be wrong, AE wasn’t ranked much farther below HS (AE was at 55 or so, I think, compared to HS at like 45?). I hope Edigar fights for some minutes THIS year and earns that spot! :)
 
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One thing I didn’t mention that you guys are discussing a bit. I would really like to see Czinano and O’Grady on the court at the same time. Addison has to be more comfortable playing out on the perimeter for that to work. Will be interesting to see if that is an option this year.
 


Really curious to see what Molly Davis can do. Iowa lacks quality ball handlers outside of Caitlin. Both on the floor together with shooters and Monika could be lethal offensively. Molly seems to have a tough mean edge too. Iowa could use that especially defensively.


Other random thoughts... Hoping one or two of the freshman can break through. If it's McCabe it'll be for her shooting. Gyamfi and Stuelke for defense? Wetering and Affolter have opportunities for more minutes with Feuerbach out.
 
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