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Here We Go Again - winter storms #2 and #3 Wed-Fri 1/10 thru 1/12

I'd say there's a good chance I have another off day from school Friday. You take that the road crews are still out there today trying to clean up yesterday's mess, add in tonight's dusting - then throw Thursday's overnight initial round in - then, yeah - I'd say schools off today are already lining up conference calls to talk to one another about Friday.


Quite the week we potentially could be having...
Killing my business, been slow all week, 9 inches overnight Monday, plus what’s coming. Should have flown south
 
It honestly really depends on your contracts. If you are on a per time/per inch basis, it was a great event financially. We do have incremental pricing for some of our contracts which helps. However, money aside, the moisture is paramount in the bigger picture. I can assure you, however, thar working 18 hrs in a 24 hour span sucks massive peen.
Jelly most contractor I have are 50% annual contract 50% event based. The contracts give you protection if low season, the the event based billing covers higher snow totals.
 
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Channel 13 estimating 8-9 inches for Des Moines Thursday night/Friday.

We Are Doomed Reaction GIF
 
Channel 13 estimating 8-9 inches for Des Moines Thursday night/Friday.

We Are Doomed Reaction GIF
And the ESE counties - bordering the river - are forecast to get hit the hardest with this one, right?


****ity ****. One big storm a week is more than enough, thank you.
 
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And the ESE counties - bordering the river - are forecast to get hit the hardest with this one, right?


****ity ****. One big storm a week is more than enough, thank you.

winter is coming white walkers GIF


I mean it was just like 58 degree on Christmas in SE Iowa, so we can't complain too much.....and I truly don't mind snow, even kind of enjoy it, BUT this super wet slushy 12+ bullsh*t is not good.
 
Jelly most contractor I have are 50% annual contract 50% event based. The contracts give you protection if low season, the the event based billing covers higher snow totals.
I hear you. Unfortunately two of our biggest contracts are/were malls which obviously are a dying breed. We used to get bonus money from them over a certain threshold for snow. The fact that they can pay their utility bill let alone us is a minor miracle.
 
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Yep...we should get the latest narrative shortly. But they have dropped the above graphic and also issued a winter storm watch.

I'm ready for today's bummer ;)
 
Again moving more north and west from earlier predictions.

That's been what most of the winter systems have been doing so far this season - they mentioned it in the morning narrative in the OP. That's why I place my faith in the QC NWS guys ore than any other source.

They know our area better than anybody else.

That being said (shrugs shoulders knowing "not this shit again" might very well occur)...


Frustrated Parks And Recreation GIF
 
Another weather warning. Current Estimates 5-10. Saw another model 12 to 16 oofta. I am fine with 3-6 LOL. Should be the fluffier stuff. Every bottom and pond should get filled with snow if we get closer to that 10 range. My blower was having trouble on the side already with the 2 1/2 foot drifts. Not looking forward to that.
 
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Another weather warning. Current Estimates 5-10. Saw another model 12 to 16 oofta. I am fine with 3-6 LOL. Should be the fluffier stuff. Every bottom and pond should get filled with snow if we get closer to that 10 range. My blower was having trouble on the side already with the 2 1/2 foot drifts. Not looking forward to that.
Definitely fluffier stuff, but it'll be accompanied with 40mph winds it sounds like. That'll be a bitch.
 
Snowmobilers paradise LOL. Nice 12 inches of good compacted snow. Another 5-10 of the fluffy stuff.

This will be a big win for friends with snowmobiles to be able to actually use the damn things.
 
I really hope this crap misses us. Please be wrong.

The afternoon narrative...tonight first.

Snow totals of 2 to 3 inches are possible north and west of a
Vinton to Cedar Rapids to Dubuque line with 1 to 2 inches to the
south and east. Along and south of Interstate 80 less than a half an
inch of snow is expected. Snow will quickly end by 3 AM with clouds

thinning across the area through 6 AM.

By itself, not bad. But when you tack on Thursday night and Friday to it...CRAP.



Now, Friday...sigh. One thing - the heaviest, widest band they're talking about is northern Illinois into southern Wisconsin. The Iowa heavy band they're talking about is roughly the PDC WI area down to just north of the QC, narrowing down a strip west to the DM area roughly from I80 in the south with the northern edge roughly PDC down to Waterloo then down to a bit north of DM metro.

And we're 24 or so hours from the beginning so subject to change obviously. And again, these storms have been shifting west, so chances are if this follows that trend (BIG if) this funnel shaped target area most likely would shift west too.


Timing:
The first round of moderate to heavy snow and mixed
precipitation is expected to move in quickly from the southwest
Thursday night mostly after 8 PM in the southwest, reaching the
northeast counties after midnight. Then there could be a dry
slot that works into the southern half or so of the area later
Friday morning into the midday period before the precipitation
redevelops, becoming widespread during the afternoon/evening.
The snow will continue through Friday night gradually becoming
lighter after 9 PM to midnight, with occasional light snow
lasting into Saturday morning.

Snowfall:
Our latest model blended snowfall forecast has a widespread 4"
to 8" of snow across the area, heaviest north of I-80. WPC`s 60
member ensemble has 70-90% chances for 6" or more along/north of
I-80, highest NE of the Quad Cities with 30% in the far south.
For 8", the probabilities range from less than 30% in the south
to 70% northeast of the Quad Cities. Amounts over 8" are
possible across the northeast but will let later shifts
reassess before ramping up the forecast amounts.

Winds/Blowing Snow:
Due to the colder air mass advecting in Friday/Friday night,
SLRs which may start fairly low Thursday night (at or below
10:1) will trend much higher into the evening and nighttime
period to 15:1 - 17:1. For this reason, we are concerned about
significant blowing and drifting in open and rural areas as the
dry snow blows across the old/hard snowpack. The tight surface
pressure gradient between the surface low to our east in the
970s and arctic high pressure building into the Northern Plains
will result in strong NW winds sustained 20-25 mph with gusts of
40+ mph at times from Friday afternoon into Saturday AM.
 
This will be a big win for friends with snowmobiles to be able to actually use the damn things.
I was planning on going to Snowstar after work tonight to take advantage of the new snowfall.

Went to check hours and got this message:

Snowstarbs.jpg



What the ACTUAL F!?

It's been in the 20s and 30s all week and we just got 12 INCHES OF F----ING SNOW.

You had one job, dipshits. :mad:
 
I was planning on going to Snowstar after work tonight to take advantage of the new snowfall.

Went to check hours and got this message:

Snowstarbs.jpg



What the ACTUAL F!?

It's been in the 20s and 30s all week and we just got 12 INCHES OF F----ING SNOW.

You had one job, dipshits. :mad:
Guess fun isn't IN SEASON in FREAKING JANUARY AT A SKI RESORT.

I am irrationally angry at this, lol.
 
Son is supposed to have basketball game on Saturday morning in a small community north of Albia. If we get 5 plus inches with blowing snow I would say chances are slim they will play the games.
 
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