Agree with most of that - although his Covid response should have been more effective. I don't think anyone could have predicted the amount of resistance to the vaccine.
It was the most successful and fastest uptake of a vaccine in history. The rate of vaccine acceptance was widely known through polling long before it was actually available, and acceptance steadily grew throughout vaccination period.
Zero actual health policy professionals expected a higher vaccine acceptance in the first year than what we had. If Biden's COVID policy was based on 90-100% vaccination, that's a ridiculous and amazing self-inflicted error that comes from taking COVID direction from Twitter rather any sensible professional.
That said, I don't really agree that the administration did base COVID policy on that and then got screwed by people not getting vaccinated enough. But I think they got a bad break with the idea of herd immunity not coming to pass as advertised. And that wasn't because people didn't vaccinate enough, that was because the vaccine did not prevent Delta and Omicron infections in the manner that many professionals predicted, while still being amazingly successful at preventing serious illness and death. That's not Biden's fault.
The Biden administration however did a very, very bad job on adjusting around that, with all kinds of reversals, conflicting CDC messaging, focusing on the wrong things, etc. They were weeks and sometimes months behind the obvious. They were still talking about beating COVID well after it was clear that it would become endemic. The success of the vaccines at preventing illness, the improved treatments, and the mildness of Omicron should have led to a much clearer shift away from obsessing over case counts.
But I don't think Biden did a "bad job" (or good job) with COVID if you're talking about actual disease metrics, spread, vaccination, etc. The disease did what it was going to do. He did a poor job with it politically, which has been a hallmark of this administration, they are very very bad at politics.