Minny dual predictions
- Thread starter edquinn06
- Start date
I think it would be a huge advantage to Iowa to start the dual at Hwt.
If PK wrestles I expect a very pissed off PK to get at least a MD.
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Only if the Pope is in the stands. Love BK but he's going to need serious help from above to beat Gable. LOL!
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Carter was a true freshman in 2020- COVID cancelled year. He has competed in the 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024 NCAAs (and God willing, the 2025 NCAAs)
It’s still insane to me that he’s allowed to compete this year given the fact that he was a redshirt the year that Covid cancelled the NCAA’s. He lost no time. The ncaa is so toothless and scared of being sued. It’s beyond crazy to me.
I don’t think it had anything to do with getting sued. NCAA wanted to ensure there was adequate participation and enrollment with no guarantee of a season being completed in 20-21. Therefore they just made it a blanket not counting season for everyone.
Your mistake is not understanding, or at least forgetting, the purpose of the free year. It had nothing to do with lost time and everything to do with removing any concern about sports being cancelled again during the 2020-2021 school year. It took all be risk out for the athletes. It was 100% the right decision and done to benefit the athletes. A rare moment for the NCAA.
Agree but it gave nothing to the seniors that missed nattys that year.
Cruz W would not shock me
I think we are underestimating Wells. the guys is tough and a legit AA contender. Drake by Dec
141 Major for Vombaur
149 Major Parco he's going to turn this guy
157 Minny listed Millard in the probable I think he goes and I think he is better than Askey. Teemer in a close one
165 Sparks wrestled Cali tough at SS but I think Cali gets the Major this time around
174: I think Brands in a Dec as well
184. I would love to say Gabe, but McEnelly is the real deal and I think he can push PK and Carter
197 SB by Dec
Gable with a major. BK needs to watch watch the Feldman/ Gable match and see how Feldman was able to go the distance. maybe he can get GS tried like Feldman did and catch him in a cradle third period on top.
20-11 or 17-14 if Cruz cant get the win
God willing he quits on the spot, takes up dog training and becomes a 10 time champ of the Westminster Dog Championships or whatever the hell they call it.
I agree on BK vs. Gable. I don't think Gable trains very hard and gets by on his talent and athleticism. Make him go the distance and hope to gas him in the 3rd could be a good strategy against him.
125 Cruz by decision . Flynn has been dinged up and not wrestling well, Cruz is peaking.
3-0
133 Drake by decision. 6-0
141 Minny by major. Could be a tech if Vombaur pours it on late.
6-4
149 Parco by decision. Have not been impressed with Parco’s offensive output this year and minny will try to keep it close.
9-4
157 Minny by decision. I think a TD late steals it, haven’t seen enough from Teemer this year to know if the gas tank is ready for 7 minutes
9-7
165 Caliendo has four career wins over Sparks by a COMBINED 7 points. Plan for a decision here
12-7
174 depends on who goes. PK probably gets a major, Nelson would be a toss up. I’ll give it to the Hawks by dec
15-7
184 Minny by decision
15-10
197 Buchanan by major
19-10
285 Minny by TF
19-15
3-0
133 Drake by decision. 6-0
141 Minny by major. Could be a tech if Vombaur pours it on late.
6-4
149 Parco by decision. Have not been impressed with Parco’s offensive output this year and minny will try to keep it close.
9-4
157 Minny by decision. I think a TD late steals it, haven’t seen enough from Teemer this year to know if the gas tank is ready for 7 minutes
9-7
165 Caliendo has four career wins over Sparks by a COMBINED 7 points. Plan for a decision here
12-7
174 depends on who goes. PK probably gets a major, Nelson would be a toss up. I’ll give it to the Hawks by dec
15-7
184 Minny by decision
15-10
197 Buchanan by major
19-10
285 Minny by TF
19-15
they should have allowed Lugo and Cenzo and Hall (and Pletcher?) and those guys to come back for that year they missed
Starocci and Kerk are both 6th year guys. Teemer, Brands, and Steveson are all in their 7th year.
Theoretically, a gassing strategy could be a good idea. But how to do it? BK most certainly needs to avoid being under Steveson. One could make Steveson expend energy by having a fierce ride of their own and/or launching a continuous assault in neutral that requires Steveson to constantly engage in a scrambling defense.
But with the mass difference, I just don’t see BK riding very long or putting Steveson on constant defense in neutral without exhausting himself first. Steveson is not an easy guy to move around the mat, and it just isn’t happening if you are at a mass disadvantage.
Speed and technique are really the only path for BK . . . though Steveson has gotten pretty good in those departments, too, over the years.
Which kind of narrows the options down to a spiked drink, ala Diggstown.
So, yeah, I guess that would be a “gassing” strategy after all.
I don't think "drawing for the starting weight" is how it works coach. If the coaches do not agree to start at a given weight, they will flip a coin, and the winner of the coin toss chooses the starting weight.
Everyone knows I like to ridicule Gopher wrestling/Eggs, but I have to admit I didn't expect Minnesota to be competitive this season.
Props to them.
Props to them.
Time for someone to go into Concussion Protocol.
I don't think wrestler development has been the problem under Eggum's tenure but rather recruiting and retaining athletes. The gopher staff is solid and developing their wrestlers and honestly they have a really good coaching staff- Eggum, Becker, Sanders and Kemerer.
Interesting, I always thought if they didn't agree on 125 that it was a random draw for the starting weight. So if they don't agree, flip a coin, and Iowa wins they just pick 125 and nobody ever knows any different? I never knew this.
That was a rule change from random to coin flip a few years ago. If you show up to weigh ins and nobody says a word 125 will be the start weight. If one coach doesn't want to start at 125 they say I want to flip and the winner picks the weight. In some instances if the dual features a big match the coaches will agree to end with that match.
I agree 100%. Minny does an excellent job with development.
It used to be that way. This year nobody has made us flip. Likely due to most teams being favored on paper at 2 of the first 3 weights. I'm guessing we'll be flipping some next year with Deluca, or another year of growth from Cruz.
Love Ted Lasso series...a lot of good lessons learned and very wise fatherly advice/input. And of course it's funny as f**k!
Would love to see Kem come back to Iowa at some point and help us develop our future NCAA champs...
I will be absolutely floored if Teemer loses to Askey. No fricking chance. I'm thinking he learned his lesson against Kasak and that we'll see a couple TDs from Teemer in the first 5 mins...and that he'll be up by at least 4 points going into the 3rd. Teemer knows what he needs to do to ensure a good B10 seed.
This is what I predict. This won't be easy for Iowa, although I do expect that they will win.
125: Flynn dec Cruz (0-3)
133: Ayala MD Wells (4-3)
141: Vombaur TF Schriever (4-8)
149: Parco MD Roberts (8-8)
157: Teemer dec Askey (11-8) <- This match is probably the decider. Askey beats Estrada (or Teemer if not 100%).
165: Caliendo dec Sparks (14-8)
174: Kennedy dec Whiting (17-8)
184: McEnelly dec Arnold (17-11)
197: Buchanan dec Salazar (20-11)
HWT: Steveson TF Kueter (20-16)
If you flip 157, Minny wins 19-17. Vombaur and Steveson should ensure that Minny has more bonus points, so Iowa needs the 6th match. Caliendo-Sparks and Kennedy-Whiting are also matches that could be upsets on a bad day, but I don't expect that for either one. Minny has a solid team this year.
125: Flynn dec Cruz (0-3)
133: Ayala MD Wells (4-3)
141: Vombaur TF Schriever (4-8)
149: Parco MD Roberts (8-8)
157: Teemer dec Askey (11-8) <- This match is probably the decider. Askey beats Estrada (or Teemer if not 100%).
165: Caliendo dec Sparks (14-8)
174: Kennedy dec Whiting (17-8)
184: McEnelly dec Arnold (17-11)
197: Buchanan dec Salazar (20-11)
HWT: Steveson TF Kueter (20-16)
If you flip 157, Minny wins 19-17. Vombaur and Steveson should ensure that Minny has more bonus points, so Iowa needs the 6th match. Caliendo-Sparks and Kennedy-Whiting are also matches that could be upsets on a bad day, but I don't expect that for either one. Minny has a solid team this year.
This seems to be the consensus, and I agree with everything you said.
Unfortunately (for me) I think the most likely upset of the night is Cruz over Flynn at 125. Flynn is dealing with two separate but substantial injuries right now, and has not been wrestling nearly as well as he did at the beginning of the season. Cruz seems to be on the opposite trajectory.
I hope the dual starts at 125, so if he loses I can just accept rather quickly that winning the dual is not possible.
Most concerning is this staff really miscalculated what they had at 125/141 this season.
i saw morvari and millard in the probable. it makes sense to me that we could see either or both - what do you think?
If we start at 125, the goal is to win the dual, so I think Flynn goes, although Morvari beat Cruz last year I wouldn’t expect him to repeat that. If the dual is still within reach at 157 we will see Askey imo. Millard might actually be better right now, but I think Askey is more trustworthy in the big spot at this point.
If the dual starts at a different weight and the score is out of reach at the point of either 125 or 157 I think we will see the freshmen. I am really excited about Millard.
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