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Tariff policy is working

Canada and Mexico are blocking narcotics and detaining illegals to avoid tariffs. So far there is cooperation.
snl season 44 GIF by Saturday Night Live


Pretty funny to see people eat a shit sandwich and call it chocolate cake, lol.
 
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This is incorrect…simple Google searches tell me that 98% of fentanyl comes into this country via Mexico. Furthermore, those articles tell me that it comes in via several sources including foreign cartels, mis-labeling, containers, etc. No where did I see that American mules are a significant transporter of this drug.
Google search ??????

Alphabet​

Total contribution: $21 million
Top recipients: Joe Biden, Democrat super PACs


Google’s parent company Alphabet is one of the largest corporate donors during the 2020 election cycle. The company’s employees and PACs have contributed a total of $21 million to presidential and congressional candidates since 2019.

Nearly 80 percent of the funds went to Democrats, while just 7 percent went to Republicans.



 
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We need more posts like this. Pure objective reality. Between 1945-1970, the USA was in a position to be generous, but we were never in a position to "save the world" by writing checks to everyone with their hand out. When WW2 ended we told 2 nations they couldn't rebuild their military, so we would blanket them with ours. Those 2 turned into 100 over time. This paradigm was a cold war reality. It wasn't sustainable over a vast time period, as the ever-growing spending and trade deficits testified.
When the USSR collapsed over 30 years ago our foreign policy changed from "contain communism" to "save the world from itself".
1) No single nation will ever have that type of wealth or power
2) No single nation should have that type of wealth or power
Almost every nation on earth looks out for its own interests. The USA stopped doing that many decades ago. One of the glaring examples of that was when the Clinton administration decided to save NORTH Korea from starvation. Clinton probably thought they would be grateful, instead they viewed the USA as chumps and channeled their efforts into creating nuclear weapons to bully us. That anecdote helps prove Hexum correct. We don't have allies, we have dependents. This is the history of empires.

Weak men? Trump is weak. He's a bully. Bullies are insecure and weak.
 
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How Trump is trying to play this was spelled out very well in the Bulwark today.

Likely can be somewhat effective short-term. Absolutely disastrous and dumb long-term:

  1. Trump declares some emergency.
  2. Trump proposes a dangerous “solution” to said emergency.
  3. Everyone freaks out.
  4. At the last minute Trump announces that his powerful negotiating skills have solved the emergency and won a great victory for America without needing to impose the dangerous solution.
  5. The status quo remains stable.
  6. Repeat.

There is some question about whether or not, over time, this mode of operation creates deleterious economic effects. Yesterday on the pod Scott Lincicome argued that it will: If we keep shaking down your allies over nonsense, then eventually they’re going to put some economic distance between themselves and America. Which create inefficiency, which leads to less dynamism.

I agree that this is how things should work.

But what if they don’t? What if markets aren’t fundamentally rational? Or rather, what if markets are so rational that they are capable of pricing in systemic irrationality?

I know how that sounds. So take a walk with me.


2. Trump Being Trump

In a rational world, markets would see Trump’s mode of operation and deduce that, in the long run, it will hurt economic growth.

But markets don’t really care about the long run. They care about today and, to a lesser extent, tomorrow. “Next quarter” is about as far as they can see into the future.

Which means that if Lincicome is right that, in the long term, our allies will pull back and this results in slower growth, then the economic reality may downshift. But that sort of change is boiling-frog-in-pot stuff. The markets won’t “see” it because it happens on too long a time horizon.

So that’s the “markets aren’t fundamentally rational” view. There is a real thing happening in the world that is bad for economic growth, but it’s on a frequency the financial markets don’t respond to on a daily basis.

But maybe the markets are so rational that they’re actually factoring in Trump’s irrationality?
Whatever guys like Musk and Zuckerberg say today, the markets thought the Biden administration was fantastic. Historic levels of growth. Everyone on Wall Street got fat and happy from 2021 to 2024. Good times.

But what would have happened if, on January 30, 2023, Biden had wandered out to a podium and declared that in three days he was going to put a 25 percent tariff on everything from Canada and Mexico?

I suspect the markets would have crashed. It would have been a crazy thing for Biden to say. No one would know what was going on. Maybe Biden was really going to do the tariffs? Maybe Biden had lost his mind and we were headed for the Twenty-fifth Amendment?

But when Trump does the same thing the markets yawn. Because they believe he isn’t serious. They have priced in Trump’s systemic irrationality.


At this point I raise a practical question:

What if Trump’s mode of irrational operation is the optimal strategy for this era of American politics?
As we saw yesterday, the markets don’t mind it.

Our allies don’t seem to mind it, either. After all, if Mexico or Canada really objected to be used as kayfabe punching bags, then they’d refuse to play along.

But they don’t refuse. They “negotiate” and then pretend that they gave away something that was already happening. They help Trump save face and claim victory. I’m sure they’d prefer not to deal with Trump’s nonsense. But not enough to call his bluff.

Perhaps that’s because they know that the markets in their countries have also priced in Trump’s systemic irrationality and won’t punish them for pretending to have bowed to American economic interests.
But most importantly, American voters don’t mind. If anything, they seem to be getting a taste for this sort of thing. They like Trump’s “strength.”

It makes a certain kind of sense, though. Fixing real problems is hard. It’s a long, complicated process. It needs the buy-in of opposing stakeholders. It requires compromise. Sometimes, at the end of the process, the deal falls apart.

When the problems are imaginary, the president can just “solve” them. Like magic.

Which seems to be precisely what Americans want right now.
 
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Google search ??????

Alphabet​

Total contribution: $21 million
Top recipients: Joe Biden, Democrat super PACs


Google’s parent company Alphabet is one of the largest corporate donors during the 2020 election cycle. The company’s employees and PACs have contributed a total of $21 million to presidential and congressional candidates since 2019.

Nearly 80 percent of the funds went to Democrats, while just 7 percent went to Republicans.


tar

How do you say you know about AI without saying it? Generative AI has flaws as humans create the language models. It must stink to be so dumb that you read that article and thought it proved biased. In short, you're a ****tard,
 
How do you say you know about AI without saying it? Generative AI has flaws as humans create the language models. It must stink to be so dumb that you read that article and thought it proved biased. In short, you're a ****tard,
200.gif


He didn't even see the word alphabet and read what came next.
 
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These were both true prior to these agreements. Opioid deaths have declined in the past 2 years. I suppose that doesn't prove that use is down but serves as a meaningful proxy. Migrant crossings are at a 4 year low. Mexico implemented the El Carrusel policy which has been their most aggressive migrant policy in recent years. They have been apprehended migrants and shipping them back to the southern border.
The red hats refuse to accept this because their god tells them differently.
 
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Tariffs were the start of negotiations,.. Catch up.

Okay, I guess I'll have to spell it out,.. Trump declares a national emergency, so that he can legitimately threaten tariffs, so that he can kickstart trade negotiations,.. Next move is to see what Rubio and team can get out of this by playing good cop..
No, we get what you’re trying to say…what we’re arguing is that that we could have STARTED with negotiations…especially with Canada who is a longtime friend and ally. Going straight to tariffs seemed heavy handed at best.

Not for nothing, cuz I think we’ve all said it over the past few years….its WAY too easy for POTUS, regardless of party,to declare something a national emergency because doing so gives them additional powers they don’t otherwise have normally.
 
What happened those first 3 years? It's amazing what even Democrats will do in an election year. Look how many times Kamala changed her mind on policies from 2020 to look like more of a centrist when everyone knows she's as left they come.
unsober knows the truth ... Obiden's agencies were reporting a false reality and the media was his wingman.
All you have to do is remember that both Biden and Kameltoe said the border was secure every time they were asked about it.
That was a lie and even their own media admitted it AFTER THEY LOST THE ELECTION.
 
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What happened those first 3 years? It's amazing what even Democrats will do in an election year. Look how many times Kamala changed her mind on policies from 2020 to look like more of a centrist when everyone knows she's as left they come.
Show me where I defended their overall stances on immigration. I am pointing out that over the past year, we did see a substantial decline there…which is already being credited to Trump by some here.
 
No, we get what you’re trying to say…what we’re arguing is that that we could have STARTED with negotiations…especially with Canada who is a longtime friend and ally. Going straight to tariffs seemed heavy handed at best.

Not for nothing, cuz I think we’ve all said it over the past few years….its WAY too easy for POTUS, regardless of party,to declare something a national emergency because doing so gives them additional powers they don’t otherwise have normally.
As someone who negotiates for a living, You are spot on.

I am often amused by customers who think messing with me will work out in their favor. The best deals are gained by those who work together. When it's two long-time friends you've messed with you're just making them distrust you.
 
trump got played.

He didn't get anything that wasn't already being provided. Mexico sent 10,000 troops to the border in 2021. They're not sending 10,000 more. All the promises by Canada were currently in place as well.

We don't have a drug smuggling problem. We have drug consumption problem. Until we address that, fentanyl will continue to flow into our cities.
Absolutely. And where I live, it’s a meth problem that is being ignored. The red Southern states need to rid us of the redneck meth addicts, as well as well the heroin addicts.

But desantis and Ivey are two of the biggest deflectors. They don’t even acknowledge the meth labs in their own states.
 
Personally I'd start with negotiation and if that didn't work I'd use tariffs or other measures to encourage cooperation. I wouldn't start imposing punishment unless we couldn't come to an agreement.
That's ridiculous.

Think of it the same way you would child-rearing.

Random, unannounced beatings until behavior improves!
 
Okay, I guess I'll have to spell it out,.. Trump declares a national emergency, so that he can legitimately threaten tariffs, so that he can kickstart trade negotiations,.. Next move is to see what Rubio and team can get out of this by playing good cop..
What if there was no need for the "bad cop" and all that was achieved by the aggressiveness is less trust from our allies?
 
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Anyone else notice that after November 5th no one on this board admitted to voting for Biden/Harris?
This thread deserves a million bumps, knowing it pains the slavery party and its devotees.
 
Anyone else notice that after November 5th no one on this board admitted to voting for Biden/Harris?
This thread deserves a million bumps, knowing it pains the slavery party and its devotees.
I'm willing to bet everyone that voted for Clinton/Biden/Harris gets prouder everyday especially with this current shit show! I know I am.
 
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from what i've learned tariffs against mx and ca are as much (if not more) about trade concessions as about fentanyl and human trafficking. alluding to trade and economics as the main reason however would've made the tariff imposition subject to congress approval and basically sloweddown/neutered tariff's utility as a negotiating tool. so trump's applied the exact same emergency terminology (drugs and human trafficking) to both mx and ca and retained ability to use economic power as a negotiating tool.

now both mx and ca are guilty on the drugs/migration categories but to vastly varying degrees. from that standpoint if mx significantly interrupts drugs and illegals flow, it is a solid win for us and trump will probably be happy. otoh canada could deploy their entire military to the border and trump will likely keep the screws tight until canada offers something to balance out the trade deficit. i've seen trump mention that american banks are banned from operating in canada, maybe that's a concession he's waiting for. trump's got both ca and mx by the balls. crude and certainly not classy but i hope that even if/when trump gets concessions this ends with everyone saving face

imo here's a decent and balanced take
This 100%. Trump himself pointed out the trade issue with Canada and he wanted it resolved. I am glad he is addressing it...because it is Bullsh!t.

Canada Tariffs on US Ag.

  • Dairy, Poultry, and Eggs: Canada has supply management policies that impose high tariffs on U.S. dairy, poultry, and eggs to protect domestic producers. For example, tariffs on U.S. dairy can exceed 200% in some cases.
 
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The BEAUTY.
Reagan had to undue the damage of CommieCarter. It was difficult. Lot's of painful medicine. The first 2 years were hell. But after that, success in 84 and 88.
Trump is on track to boost the republicans to victory in 2028 and 2032.
Now if that means Vance wins in those cycles, the normals and patriots will have undone much of the destruction from the Deathocrats.
Of course it would take 100 years at least to undue all their damage ... but it's a start.
 
from what i've learned tariffs against mx and ca are as much (if not more) about trade concessions as about fentanyl and human trafficking. alluding to trade and economics as the main reason however would've made the tariff imposition subject to congress approval and basically sloweddown/neutered tariff's utility as a negotiating tool. so trump's applied the exact same emergency terminology (drugs and human trafficking) to both mx and ca and retained ability to use economic power as a negotiating tool.

now both mx and ca are guilty on the drugs/migration categories but to vastly varying degrees. from that standpoint if mx significantly interrupts drugs and illegals flow, it is a solid win for us and trump will probably be happy. otoh canada could deploy their entire military to the border and trump will likely keep the screws tight until canada offers something to balance out the trade deficit. i've seen trump mention that american banks are banned from operating in canada, maybe that's a concession he's waiting for. trump's got both ca and mx by the balls. crude and certainly not classy but i hope that even if/when trump gets concessions this ends with everyone saving face

imo here's a decent and balanced take
This is the first acceptable post from you since I was on Jon Miller's website.
Did something happen recently in your life??
 
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