Why did russia invade Ukraine 🇺🇦?
🔵 Much depends on how we answer this seemingly obvious question... if we can get to the root of russia's rot, we'll learn to stop worrying about Ukraine's victory & accelerate the return of a lasting peace to Europe.
🔴 Was the decision to invade a miscalculation by putin or a historical inevitability?
🔴 Should we blame the tyrannical kleptocracy motivated by money & power or the tacit acquiescence of the russians?
🔴 Is this a revanchist regime led by an autocrat whose worldview is shaped by the "humiliating collapse of the USSR," or is this a manifestation of russia's imperial DNA stretching back centuries
🔵 for me, the deeper you dig, the more obvious it becomes that at the root of it all is one phenomenon: russian elites in Moscow generate wealth & power by extracting it from faraway lands (e.g. Siberia)...
🔵 what's the connection, you might ask? Well, bear with me for a second. Moscow rules over its colonies with an iron fist. The governance model is known as a "power vertical," and it's been this way for centuries, no matter what the polity was called: the grand duchy of moscow, the russian empire, USSR, or the Rashist Federation.
🔵 this wealth-extractive (or colonial) structure has to be justified to the russian elites & the subjugated population alike. In other words, Moscovia has to explain to itself & the world why it exists, why it gets to control the riches of Chechnia or Siberia, & why the "strong center" & "stability" are in the interest of the Peoples of the Russian Empire/Federation & the world.
🔵 russia - branded as the Soviet Union at the time - attempted genocide of the Ukrainians in the 1930s. What's happening today is what russia does. It is not an aberration. The Rashist Federation just can't help it.
🔵 Whether consciously aware or not, the russian elites understand that the russian national idea is conquest and subjugation. They viscerally sense that an independent, democratic, & prosperous Ukraine will expose the root of russia's rot, and #RussianColonialism will have to end, making them less rich/powerful and more pathetic/irrelevant...