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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

I've mentioned this before, but my Google Earth satellite porn view time is through the roof. I spent an hour last night looking at former Soviet bases in the southern ring of NATO. We've got access to some really big, sturdy looking airfields in Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria. The ones the Poles have are nice, too. Even from the view provided you can see general decline, and there is plenty of stuff on line about how NATO (The US), is dropping money into rehabbing the bases, but it's nice to have something work with. Building big airbases from scratch is hard. I assume as long as there is a solid runway with good aprons and revetments you just need to upgrade defenses and living quarters. Plus, the articles have plenty of comments from locals welcoming the NATO presence. I couldn't find good numbers, but on line you can find stuff about which bases have a permanent NATO presence. 3 C-17s here, a few there. A few fighters here, a few there. So many bases within 300-500 miles or less of Russian and Russian controlled areas.
CSB
 
I've mentioned this before, but my Google Earth satellite porn view time is through the roof. I spent an hour last night looking at former Soviet bases in the southern ring of NATO. We've got access to some really big, sturdy looking airfields in Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria. The ones the Poles have are nice, too. Even from the view provided you can see general decline, and there is plenty of stuff on line about how NATO (The US), is dropping money into rehabbing the bases, but it's nice to have something work with. Building big airbases from scratch is hard. I assume as long as there is a solid runway with good aprons and revetments you just need to upgrade defenses and living quarters. Plus, the articles have plenty of comments from locals welcoming the NATO presence. I couldn't find good numbers, but on line you can find stuff about which bases have a permanent NATO presence. 3 C-17s here, a few there. A few fighters here, a few there. So many bases within 300-500 miles or less of Russian and Russian controlled areas.
CSB
Hungary = Orban = Russian stooge.
 
Plus, the articles have plenty of comments from locals welcoming the [US dollars].
Since we run our empire for the benefit of the MIC and not Rome, we spend tax money in other countries instead of making them pay for the privilege.
 
Over the past week, the Russians lost two new combat aircraft in a "non-combat" situation: October 17 - Su-34 near Yeysk, which fell into a residential building, and from today, 23 Su-30SM in Irkutsk. - How severe is the loss of 2 new combat aircraft, show the such numbers. In 2021, the Russian military-industrial complex produced a total of 21 combat aircraft for the army of the Russian Federation - 6 Su-34 aircraft, 5 Su-35S aircraft, 4 Su-30SM2 aircraft, 2 Su-57 type aircraft, 2 MiG-35 fighters and 2 training-combat aircraft Yak -130.

But for 9 months of 2022, the Russian aviation industry delivered only 7 combat aircraft - 4 Su-34M and 3 Su-35S, and this was the "tail" of deliveries that were to be made back in 2021. (Well, and for the sake of justice, the Aviastar plant in Ulyanovsk handed over 3 Il-76MD-90A transport aircraft, which were supposed to be delivered to the Russian army last year). And that's all.

At this pace, the Russians will have at least 20 years to restore the losses of their Luftwaffe received over the last 8 months of the war against Ukraine. Against such a background, even 2 combat aircraft for rashists are literally worth their weight in gold. Therefore, let them continue to “destroy” their aircraft at the same pace in a non-combat situation.

The Russians do not yet have their own mobilization "analogue" of the T-62 in aviation. Therefore, they will have to use ersatz.

For example, in early October, the enemy removed up to 30 MiG-29 and MiG-29SMT aircraft from mothballing, but this is only enough for an air regiment. Before the war, the Russians had about a hundred combat training Yak-130s, and perhaps this “palliative” of the Russian army will have to be put into battle.

At the beginning of April 2022, Belarus had in storage up to 20 Su-27 and Su-24 units, decommissioned back in 2012. And there is every reason to believe that soon these planes will also become the property of the Russians.

The Russians can literally squeeze all the juice out of themselves in order to return to service the maximum possible number of reactivated aircraft. But they have nowhere to squeeze out the qualifications of pilots.

Yes, Russia near the front line has "on paper" 800 aircraft and helicopters of all types and purposes - combat, transport, auxiliary and others. But in fact, this is 80% of all military aviation that the Russians have, the remaining 20% are “smeared” over other territory.

The maximum that managed to show the Russian aviation grouping on the borders with Ukraine is about 290 demonstration sorties per day on August 24, 2022, and even then without entering the zone of our air defense. And so that it’s not a day - it’s a downed rashist. So it goes.
 
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Good. Put more guys into Kherson. That will up the daily body count. I think it's probably false, but if the Russians are putting more resources into Kherson while feigning a withdrawal it's most likely poorly trained/equipped soldiers going in.
If the Russians are serious about it urban fighting in built up area's is costly for the attacking force. See Mariupol for the Russians...

Not convinced the Russian troops have the resolve to do it but they could make taking Kherson costly to take back.
 
I've mentioned this before, but my Google Earth satellite porn view time is through the roof. I spent an hour last night looking at former Soviet bases in the southern ring of NATO. We've got access to some really big, sturdy looking airfields in Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria. The ones the Poles have are nice, too. Even from the view provided you can see general decline, and there is plenty of stuff on line about how NATO (The US), is dropping money into rehabbing the bases, but it's nice to have something work with. Building big airbases from scratch is hard. I assume as long as there is a solid runway with good aprons and revetments you just need to upgrade defenses and living quarters. Plus, the articles have plenty of comments from locals welcoming the NATO presence. I couldn't find good numbers, but on line you can find stuff about which bases have a permanent NATO presence. 3 C-17s here, a few there. A few fighters here, a few there. So many bases within 300-500 miles or less of Russian and Russian controlled areas.
CSB
My experience with ex-Warsaw pact era bases is decidedly old (20 years ago)

Went on a training deployment to a base outside Bratislava Slovakia....originally it was supposed to be F-16's and A-10's. After a sight survey we just brought A-10's. The concrete on the runways and taxiways was so bad (lots of area's broken up because of the poor quality of the concrete) that the F-16's were cancelled. Too big a risk of FOD (foreign object damage). All the facilities were extremely poor.

Even with the A-10's we had to change tires much more rapidly because the poor surface ate them up...FOD isn't as big a problem for them because of the engines are located much higher up (F-16 suck up any and all debris) and they're designed to operate from poor quality airfields...

Anyway, heard the same thing about the Polish bases...but this is old info.

Bottom line is those bases required a lot of upgrades.

I'm sure that's been addressed in the last 20 years but it's the main reason we haven't seen US aircraft stationed farther east since the end of the cold war and NATO expansion east.

Those bases needed a LOT of work.
 
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If the Russians are serious about it urban fighting in built up area's is costly for the attacking force. See Mariupol for the Russians...

Not convinced the Russian troops have the resolve to do it but they could make taking Kherson costly to take back.
Not a good comparison:

The Azovstal plant became one of the most emblematic points of the Siege of Mariupol during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. The plant had tunnels and bunkers capable of withstanding a nuclear attack, making it an extremely defensible position.
 
If the Russians are serious about it urban fighting in built up area's is costly for the attacking force. See Mariupol for the Russians...

Not convinced the Russian troops have the resolve to do it but they could make taking Kherson costly to take back.

You have to have the support of the local population to make this costly for the "invading army".

Conscripting locals and pushing them to the front, torturing civilians, ransacking/stealing are not things any occupying force does to endear the locals to their cause...
 
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