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True or False: The polls are wrong and Kamala is going to win in a landslide

Yes, you are right...people love to bet on a candidate just to lose money so they can create momentum on social media sites...NOT....

Betting markets reflect the current state of polling pure and simple....polling can be right or wrong....we will all find out..

That and it also gives the morons something to point to when Trump says he was cheated AGAIN
 
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Yes, you are right...people love to bet on a candidate just to lose money so they can create momentum on social media sites...NOT....

Betting markets reflect the current state of polling pure and simple....polling can be right or wrong....we will all find out..
How much have you put on Trump?
 
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No one really knows.

Trump will win the majority of states.
Harris will win the west coast, NY, IL, MN

Trump supporters aren't going anywhere.
Harris will lose more votes the more she talks like a crazy or drunk person (which she does sound like at times)
A good portion of Christians won't vote for either.

Pop vote will be no doubt Harris

The electoral college will be a mess with lots of challenges and maybe chaos.

We may not have a clear winner for a while.

But who really knows.

Will be glad when it's over either way. So much hate and it's not all MAGA.
You’re right about one thing it’s not all maga it’s all left wingers.
 
Florida has a real chance
Based on what?

538:

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Yes, you are right...people love to bet on a candidate just to lose money so they can create momentum on social media sites...NOT....

Betting markets reflect the current state of polling pure and simple....polling can be right or wrong....we will all find out..
I’m just saying that one very wealthy person placed a few massive bets that moved the market. I’m sure whoever that is thinks Trump is going to win. But that is not the wisdom of the crowds. That is one person who may or may not be right. And there is a distinct possibility that same person is trying to create a narrative that the election was stolen from Trump in the event he loses. That might easily be worth millions to the right billionaire.
 
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I don't know if I trust the sudden wave of polls showing Trump leading. There hasn't been any big moments to switch the momentum, hell Trump got "shot" and didn't get this much of a bump in the polls.

However there are a lot of racists / people okay with racism in this country for me to feel overly secure in a Kamala Electoral college victory
 
I’m just saying that one very wealthy person placed a few massive bets that moved the market. I’m sure whoever that is thinks Trump is going to win. But that is not the wisdom of the crowds. That is one person who may or may not be right. And there is a distinct possibility that same person is trying to create a narrative that the election was stolen from Trump in the event he loses. That might easily be worth millions to the right billionaire.

Didn't Elon promise 49 million a month and then backed out, I wouldn't put it past him to come back up with this as a way to support Trump, spend some money, and make more money and on the off chance Trump did win have the president owe him some favors. Why didn't Trump get pissed when he backed out? Maybe because he knows... Trump's went at jugulars for less, but if anything Trump is likes him more
 
Trump only won by three points and with marijuana and abortion rights on the ballot it's going to be even closer...who gives a fvck about polls? You think Trump has gained votes?
He's showing better net favorability than he did in 2016 and 2020, and he's polling larger shares of both the Hispanic and Black voters.
I do think based on that there is a possibility he gets more votes than last time.
Last I checked, voter registration is still below 2022, but he could get a bigger chunk of it.
Votes on amendment 3 or 4 don't require a specific vote for President. I'm voting yes on 3, even though it's still polling <60%.

I'd offer an avatar wager on your thought that Florida might turn blue this Presidential election, but yours is too perfect to mess with.
 
I don't know if I trust the sudden wave of polls showing Trump leading. There hasn't been any big moments to switch the momentum, hell Trump got "shot" and didn't get this much of a bump in the polls.

However there are a lot of racists / people okay with racism in this country for me to feel overly secure in a Kamala Electoral college victory

It's not the racists or the dumb that worry me.....it's those that are completely detached from reality and are obviously easily brainwashed, because a complete piece of shit moron was able to not only do that, but do it while not doing anything for them or giving a shit about (even when telling them that he doesn't).
 
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Would like to revisit this thread after the election. Go on record.

Personally, I believe the polls have it close but can’t account for voter turnout and enthusiasm (something that happened in 2016). I will go on record saying Kamala wins a nail biter because of women turning out due to the abortion issue.




Michael Moore was right in 2016. Will he be right again?


I think the polls have not been right for a while now. I mean who answers their phone to take time to reply??

Think they are just not good at predicting anything.
 
He's showing better net favorability than he did in 2016 and 2020, and he's polling larger shares of both the Hispanic and Black voters.
I do think based on that there is a possibility he gets more votes than last time.
Last I checked, voter registration is still below 2022, but he could get a bigger chunk of it.
Votes on amendment 3 or 4 don't require a specific vote for President. I'm voting yes on 3, even though it's still polling <60%.

I'd offer an avatar wager on your thought that Florida might turn blue this Presidential election, but yours is too perfect to mess with.

I'll wager he doesn't get more votes in the State than he did last time... instead of Avatar how about a quote in the other's signature and I'll give you 3-1 odds with you picking the duration meaning if you say 6 months then if I lose I'll keep it for 18.
 
Would like to revisit this thread after the election. Go on record.

Personally, I believe the polls have it close but can’t account for voter turnout and enthusiasm (something that happened in 2016). I will go on record saying Kamala wins a nail biter because of women turning out due to the abortion issue.




Michael Moore was right in 2016. Will he be right again?


Kind of sad that a single issue (abortion) and those single issue voters may decide this election when there are just so many more bigger/critical issues than abortion.
 
Kind of sad that a single issue (abortion) and those single issue voters may decide this election when there are just so many more bigger/critical issues than abortion.

It wouldn't have happened had Trump not ran.... women see him bragging about it, getting even further right with project 2025and Harris being a woman negated if Haley had been chosen
 
Trump is talking about Arnold Palmer's dick size. No joke. This guy is running to command the world's greatest military. Let that sink in.

I'm petty sure many of our magats are latent homosexuals and inherently frustrated. Gotta be tough living a lie.
 
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