True or False: The polls are wrong and Kamala is going to win in a landslide
- Thread starter RagnarLothbrok
- Start date
A sitting President and Bernie campaigning in New Hampshire yesterday can't be a good sign for Kamala.
Kamala taking the day off yesterday 2 weeks before election day, can't be a good sign for Kamala either.
On the other hand, Kamala has performed better from her basement, than on the campaign trail. Possibly, we might see more of this over the next two weeks.
On the other hand, Kamala has performed better from her basement, than on the campaign trail. Possibly, we might see more of this over the next two weeks.
New Hampshire is a competitive state. And Trump was in the hurricane area. I don't recall the hurricane hitting New Hampshire.
No, I'm not worried.
I'm just surprised that when someone runs a $1 billion campaign, they don't have their act together. I'd be curious to know who is calling the shots. The Kamala campaign has made many mistakes down the stretch.
The large DNC donors at this point must be thinking, WTF?
538 has Kamala up 6. Were you dropped on your head as a child?
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hawkeyetraveler
HB Heisman
Well if you can’t believe a Twitter handle named “bad hombre” who can you believe?
Thank God this random dude on X has the inside scoop on the relationship between Gwen and Kamala.
InteractivePolls has Trump +2 in North Carolina.
Somebody should tell Kamala NC is competitive.
No I really want to know what you think is competitive if you think New Hampshire is close? 8 points . . . Less than 10 points?
You must be looking at old data. The average poll had Trump up by 1% as of yesterday.
North Carolina : President: general election : 2024 Polls
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
Apparently, the Kamala campaign doesn't believe it's competitive.
How else you explain the sitting President and Bernie campaigning in NH yesterday.
That's not much for a competitive state that just had a hurricane.
She's very low energy and you can tell thos campaign is wearing her down. Trump is going to break the internet with Rogan on Friday as well. Kamala has been offered the same thing, smart money would bet that she doesn't have the spine to do it.
I'm sure they're both exhausted, and understandably so. Trump seems to have the better makeup people to conceal it, but blabbering more (which is saying something given that blabbering is sort of his baseline communication style). Don't take this the wrong way folks, because I'll be the first to acknowledge that it's irrelevant, but the campaign trail seems to be giving out a beating to her physical appearance the last few days in a way that usually shows up only after a couple of years of being president. I don't envy either of them over the next two weeks.
Many years ago a former partner who had worked at a high level on a presidential campaign told a story about how absolutely exhausting the last few days of a campaign was, not only because of the hours but because of the isolation and high pressure environment. Funny part was at some point a beautiful relative of the candidate came into the room, all done up, and he said people just literally stopped what they were doing and stared at her in a trance because she was (i) not the same ten people they'd been interacting with for months and (ii) unlike the staffers, beautiful rather than frumpy.
You're going to be sad when the broken old down rapist loses.
And just look how well it's going for the dems in Nevada and Minnesota lmfao
I don’t know that much can be read one way or the other from that.
One thing I do wonder though, is whether this will have a tendency to delay network race calls in some places, which are typically based on a combination of actual voting data and exit polls. I’d assume early or absentee voters aren’t really pollable, and so if they represent a higher share of votes which might lean different than same day voters, some may be ore cautious.
Hughey keeps watching CNN and MSNBC, and they aren't showing the polls.
He's in for a surprise.
This thing will be called by election night. Harris will win NC and everything will collapse on Trump. She'll take the lions share of indies, and probably take 10+% of the Rs too. I know, I know, just my opinion. But this makes way more sense than Trump somehow sweeping everything by massive numbers. That strains everything we know about this election.
My daughter in law’s family in Western Minnesota have said that outside of the Twin Cities the State is much more conservative and that Walz is not very popular.
I think the stories trending on early voting aren’t very reliable. Late surges and final tallies will be all that counts at the end.
Huey, while I have my doubts strong doubts as to your predicted timing, I will note one thing I've seen that is vaguely consistent with your thinking. The 538 probability simulation distribution graph is fascinating in that, while in the aggregate it's basically 50/50, the trump simulation scenarios are clustered such that the margins of victory are somewhat closer to 270 (ie, a relatively steep/narrow curve), while the Harris simulations are reflected in a flatter, wider curve such that there are more "big win" scenarios. I have no idea what a statistician would say a candidate "should" prefer (ie, more outliers or greater concentration toward the mean), but interesting nonetheless.
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Who is she blowing...or a shorter list might be who is she not?! Bro, you should check and see if you can get in to see Chis's shrink....on 2nd though, better find your own, his doesn't seem that good.....
What in the fresh hell mess is this? Have you been sniffing lab disinfectant again?
Incorrect, Trump will be in Georgia tonight,.. Melania's schedule however, is unavailable for public scrutiny so I can't really comment on what the Hitler Youth might be up to.
He was doing one of the stiffs last night and got stuck so his blood sugar is low after a cold night like that.
