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True or False: The polls are wrong and Kamala is going to win in a landslide

Magats, Kamala bamala mamala going for the death blow on cnn town hall tonight.

Trump going to be at mara lardo farting and shitting in his pants as Melanie bangs another 20 something Hitler youth.

The mass culling of magats will begin.....
I bet she has a better playlist if a dance party breaks out instead.
 
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538 has Kamala up 6. Were you dropped on your head as a child?
Link?

I'm not saying you're lying, I just don't see that on their website.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

I see this:

GopKAmy.png
 
My daughter in law’s family in Western Minnesota have said that outside of the Twin Cities the State is much more conservative and that Walz is not very popular.

I think the stories trending on early voting aren’t very reliable. Late surges and final tallies will be all that counts at the end.
I think more conservatives are voting early too so election day turn out may (or may not be) affected. The stories out of Arizona in 22 may have shifted some people's thoughts on waiting till election day to vote.
 
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I think more conservatives are voting early too so election day turn out may (or may not be) affected. The stories out of Arizona in 22 may have shifted some people's thoughts on waiting till election day to vote.
Scruffy you're the most tolerable of the magats. I need fries buddy. For the town hall. Maybe some hamberders too. Fresh and hot, no E. Coli.
 
No, but I've been amused by your shit posts.
Okay. If this is how you react to doubtful outcomes in your research I wonder about your ability as a scientist.
This election is a toss up no matter what the blathering on this site is saying.
Calm your ass down and stop making posts that don’t do you any favors.
 
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Okay. If this is how you react to doubtful outcomes in your research I wonder about your ability as a scientist.
This election is a toss up no matter what the blathering on this site is saying.
Calm your ass down and stop making posts that don’t do you any favors.
I know this might come across as a surprise to you but I honestly don't care what you think. I do pray Trump loses and is rightfully incarcerated. As far as my posting goes, that is none of your business. I'm not your house boy.
 
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Magats, Kamala bamala mamala going for the death blow on cnn town hall tonight.

Trump going to be at mara lardo farting and shitting in his pants as Melanie bangs another 20 something Hitler youth.

The mass culling of magats will begin.....
Bro is off the rails lmfao gohox, for real take a breath of fresh air man. I know everything looks bad atm, and it is (for you). But just remember, you could have had joe biden as your guy. He may have been the stronger candidate after all despite the dementia 😉
 
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Bro is off the rails lmfao gohox, for real take a breath of fresh air man. I know everything looks bad atm, and it is (for you). But just remember, you could have had joe biden as your guy. He may have been the stronger candidate after all despite the dementia 😉
You amuse me man. If those are all your alt ids, props to all of your multiple personalities.
 
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I know this might come across as a surprise to you but I honestly don't care what you think. I do pray Trump loses and is rightfully incarcerated. As far as my posting goes, that is none of your business. I'm not your house
Honestly…I'm not sure any of us who post here are supposed to care what others think.
I don’t have a “house boy” and I’m not sure where that remark even comes from…but you are definitely overwrought. I always thought you were much smarter than many people but you seem to be more emotional about this.
It’s a nail biter for sure. I think most of us agree, but it will be what it will be.
 
Is this new from you? I thought you were full MAGA in the past. Good on you not supporting that loon any longer.

The problem with this board is that if a person doesn't agree 100% with the D's or the R's on every issue you get a label.

I have been saying for a LONG time that:

* Trump is unfit for the office.

* The Republicans are idiots for not nominating someone who could potentially be President for the next 8 years.
 
False, based on the current state of the race. Too many indicators are actually pointing toward a Trump win, not a Harris landslide. Those include:

* the polls (given Trump's growing lead in battlegrounds per RCP, Harris's dwindling lead in RCP popular vote, and Trump's history of outperforming polls, it's a facior to consider),

*multiple betting markets (excluding polymarket) with Trump leading by 16 points,

* Democrat Senate candidates in tight races embracing Trump,

*polls showing people liked life under Trump better than life under Biden (eg recent Gallup poll),

*the actions of the campaigns (specifically the Harris reversal on giving iinterviews) that suggest internal polling is not going well for her, and

*the fact that Musk is focused and working on gotv in PA.

Any one of the above factors is not dispositive in itself, but as an aggregate these things are a fairly strong predictor, imo. Absent a huge event that changes the current momentum, I think Trump pulls this one out.

I think more Trump October surprises are coming....
 
I do sort of love ol' Lazlo's story about confirming the security of the box. Now, if I'm a representative of a party, I'm not going near a drop box to check on its security without either a neutral/governmental, or better yet, the other side's, observer with me.
 
I do sort of love ol' Lazlo's story about confirming the security of the box. Now, if I'm a representative of a party, I'm not going near a drop box to check on its security without either a neutral/governmental, or better yet, the other side's, observer with me.
Or just make these offenses capital crimes......
 
The problem with this board is that if a person doesn't agree 100% with the D's or the R's on every issue you get a label.

I have been saying for a LONG time that:

* Trump is unfit for the office.

* The Republicans are idiots for not nominating someone who could potentially be President for the next 8 years.
That what I'm more curious to see, when Trump is finally out of Republicans future. Will the Rs of now go back to the conservative values of old or fully continue to embrace the Extremism that Palin brought in and Trump escalated?

I think they'll side with whatever has the most power. We'll see soon what it'll be.
 
That what I'm more curious to see, when Trump is finally out of Republicans future. Will the Rs of now go back to the conservative values of old or fully continue to embrace the Extremism that Palin brought in and Trump escalated?

I think they'll side with whatever has the most power. We'll see soon what it'll be.

I honestly think the leaders of the R party are going to have to do an "autopsy" and figure out a way forward.

I think most Americans are tired of the extreme left and extreme right.

Most people are in the middle and looking for some common sense solutions to the problems.
 
The early voting results in PA seem favorable for Harris. Not so much in NV.

I think Harris wins 270-268 by holding the blue wall. Michigan will be a razor thin margin, and Trump and his cronies will spend the two months after the election flinging poop all over the walls with lies about election fraud.
 
The early voting results in PA seem favorable for Harris. Not so much in NV.

I think Harris wins 270-268 by holding the blue wall. Michigan will be a razor thin margin, and Trump and his cronies will spend the two months after the election flinging poop all over the walls with lies about election fraud.

Blue wall? Trump is leading Ohio by 6-7%. Trump is leading PA and Michigan by 2-3%.

The betting odds are up again for Trump today.
 
I don't think you can take early voting as serious as the numbers from 2020. Everyone was voting early because of Covid. I expect huge turnouts on election day. That said, I need to friggin' vote early.
 
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Which state are you looking at, I am talking about New Hampshire. He said New Hampshire was close. New Hampshire won't be close and she is up by 6% points. As to the election, effectively coinflip but I would say it should be between 52 to 55 Harris is my guess.
Gotcha, I was looking at the overall.
 
1984.

Minnesota was the only state Reagan lost because Mondale was from Minnesota.

The good news for Kamala is it won't be as bad as it was for Mondale in 2024. Here are a few states that she will win:

California, New York, Illinois, Maryland, Minnesota, Washington D.C., etc. She will win these states by an average win of about 30%.

The problem for her, is she will lose 40+ states by an average loss of about 3-5%.
 
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