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Nancy Mace demonstrates how easy it is to fear-monger on crime

You don’t need to click the video that Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) posted to X (formerly Twitter) on Saturday to be misinformed. The text accompanying the video summarized its premise — “Since Joe Biden took office, crime has skyrocketed across our country.” — and that, by itself, is false.

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But the video goes further, including exaggerations and debunked allegations to cast the past few years as unusually harrowing and dangerous ones for Americans. This is an ad, after all, one promoting Mace’s reelection to Congress before South Carolina’s Republican primary. And ads are meant to sell something, not necessarily to accurately inform people.

Which Mace’s doesn’t. Consider what she says about crime:

“You’re seeing, since Joe Biden took office, crime skyrocket all around the country.”
It is an ongoing frustration that reliable data about crime are compiled only belatedly. We looked at this in September 2022, as right-wing outlets like Fox News were gearing up their coverage of crime before the midterm elections. Fox and its allies insisted that crime was surging, often pointing to anecdotal incidents or cherry-picked numbers from specific cities.

The reality, revealed only once the FBI released its national estimate more than a year later, was that violent crime and homicide rates were lower in 2022 than in 2020, the last year of Donald Trump’s presidency. The property crime rate was about the same as in 2020, even after rising from 2021 to 2022.

The violent crime rate and property crime rates in 2022 were lower than every year of Donald Trump’s presidency. Only homicides increased, an increase that started during the year the coronavirus pandemic emerged. Partial data from 2023 indicates that violent crime (and homicide) continued to drop last year.
Other measures of crime offer a slightly different picture. The Bureau of Justice Statistics surveys Americans to gauge the frequency that people are victims of crime, regardless of whether they report it to the police. That data shows an uptick in 2022 — though the numbers were generally similar to those in 2018.

But this isn’t what Mace is claiming. In fact, it’s a good demonstration of how all of this works. She doesn’t need to make a specific claim about crime any more than Fox News did in September 2022. She just needs to wave her hand and declare that Biden is overseeing a surge in crime and she can rely on the baseline set by Fox News and other right-wing outlets for her target audience — Republican voters and donors — to get agitated. Introducing nuance allows her and her allies to cherry-pick ways they can argue that their vibes are valid.



Consider what Mace says next in the video:
“Especially in big cities, you see illegal immigrants coming in, beating up our cops and being taken out without, without bail, let out of jail without bail, giving the middle finger to America and our men and — men and women in blue and in uniform.”
This, again, is just Mace amplifying right-wing rhetoric. Trump and Fox News are pushing this politically potent idea. The video snippet included in Mace’s video showing a man displaying his middle finger to reporters — a snippet plucked from Fox News with on-screen text reading “MIGRANT IN NYPD ATTACK GIVES MIDDLE FINGER” — doesn’t show what she suggests. That incident that unfolded in Times Square was in heavy rotation on Fox earlier this year, offered up in the way Mace described it. But the dispute between police and the immigrants turned physical when an officer reacted to an insult one man had made. As for the guy with the middle finger? He wasn’t there at all. The district attorney exonerated him after his arrest.
Mace then turns to the border:



“You’re seeing crime skyrocket. You’re seeing fentanyl cases skyrocket. We’re letting China — we’re literally allowing China to import deadly drugs like fentanyl into this country, and it’s killing our children and killing our citizens. We are allowing Joe Biden to — to have the cartel sneak drugs into the country, smuggle people into the country illegally. Like, it’s just okay to do that under Joe Biden.”
It is not “okay,” of course. One of the ways we know that fentanyl is being smuggled into the country is that so much of it is stopped at the border — because it is not okay. Much of that smuggling, incidentally, is done by U.S. citizens who are better able to get into the country. Nearly all of the seizures occur at border checkpoints.
The number of deaths from fentanyl increased in recent years, including in 2023. That increase (like the increase in fentanyl seizures at the border) began in 2020.
Again, though, you see the political utility: Mace loops in China, the border, drugs and Biden in a dishonest way as part of her political pitch. (China is a central source for chemicals used in fentanyl production, but the actual drug is not being “imported” by China as Mace claims, much less with the government’s approval.)



There’s no real corrective that will work here. Fox News certainly isn’t going to hold Mace’s feet to the fire. There was, for a while, a “community note” on Mace’s post on X, the social media platform’s means of allowing users to add context or corrections to claims being made. It pointed out that the data don’t support Mace’s claim, but that note no longer appears.
So the ad remains there, making an indefensible claim and encouraging people to visit her campaign website.

Baseball Polls & RPI (4/8)

Link: D1Baseball

1. Arkansas (27-3)
2. Clemson (28-3)
3. Texas A&M (28-4)
4. Tennessee (26-6)
5. Oregon State (26-4)
6. Vanderbilt (25-7)
7. Duke (24-8)
8. Kentucky (27-4)
9. East Carolina (23-7)
10. Florida State (26-5)
11. Virginia (25-7)
12. UC-Irvine (24-4)
13. North Carolina (26-6)
14. Wake Forest (21-10)
15. Dallas Baptist (25-6)
16. Virginia Tech (21-8)
17. Central Florida (21-8)
18. Oregon (22-8)
19. Louisiana-Lafayette (24-8)
20. Coastal Carolina (22-9)
21. Oklahoma State (21-11)
22. Mississippi State (21-12)
23. Nebraska (22-7)
24. Florida (17-14)
25. Alabama (22-10)

Dropped Out
LSU (#18), North Carolina State (#19), South Carolina (#22)

==================================

Link: Perfect Game

1. Arkansas (27-3)
2. Clemson (28-3)
3. Texas A&M (28-4)
4. Oregon State (26-4)
5. Tennessee (26-6)
6. Vanderbilt (25-7)
7. Duke (24-8)
8. Florida State (26-5)
9. Kentucky (27-4)
10. Virginia (25-7)
11. Dallas Baptist (25-6)
12. North Carolina (26-6)
13. East Carolina (23-7)
14. UC-Irvine (24-4)
15. Wake Forest (22-10)
16. Florida (17-14)
17. Central Florida (21-8)
18. Indiana State (23-7)
19. Virginia Tech (21-8)
20. Oklahoma State (21-11)
21. Louisiana-Lafayette (24-8)
22. Coastal Carolina (22-9)
23. Mississippi State (21-12)
24. Alabama (22-10)
25. Nebraska (22-7)

==================================

Link: Baseball America

1. Arkansas (27-3)
2. Clemson (28-3)
3. Texas A&M (28-4)
4. Tennessee (26-6)
5. Vanderbilt (25-7)
6. Duke (24-8)
7. Florida State (26-5)
8. Oregon State (26-4)
9. Virginia (25-7)
10. Kentucky (27-4)
11. UC-Irvine (24-4)
12. East Carolina (24-6)
13. Dallas Baptist (25-6)
14. North Carolina (26-6)
15. Mississippi State (21-12)
16. Alabama (22-10)
17. Oregon (22-8)
18. Wake Forest (21-10)
19. Central Florida (21-8)
20. Virginia Tech (21-8)
21. Nebraska (22-7)
22. Coastal Carolina (22-9)
23. Oklahoma State (21-11)
24. Louisiana-Lafayette (24-8)
25. South Carolina (22-10)

==================================

Link: USA Today Coaches Poll (4/8)

1. Arkansas (31) (27-3)
2. Clemson (28-3)
3. Texas A&M (28-4)
4. Tennessee (26-6)
5. Oregon State (26-4)
6. Vanderbilt (25-7)
7. Duke (24-8)
8. Kentucky (27-4)
9. Florida State (26-5)
10. Virginia (25-7)
11. East Carolina (23-7)
12. North Carolina (26-6)
13. Dallas Baptist (25-6)
14. UC-Irvine (24-4)
15. Wake Forest (21-10)
16. Virginia Tech (21-8)
17. Alabama (22-10)
18. Florida (17-14)
19. Central Florida (21-8)
20. Coastal Carolina (22-9)
21. Nebraska (22-7)
22. Oregon (22-8)
23. Mississippi State (21-12)
24. Louisiana-Lafayette (24-8)
25. Oklahoma State (21-11)

Others Receiving Votes
South Carolina, Indiana State, LSU, Georgia, Texas Tech, Creighton, Northeastern, TCU, North Carolina State, Lamar, Campbell, West Virginia, St. John's, Mississippi, Kansas State, Oklahoma, UC-Santa Barbara, Southern Mississippi, Louisiana Tech, Utah

Dropped Out
LSU (#18), South Carolina (#19), North Carolina State (#20), Georgia (#24), TCU (#25)

==================================

Link: NCBWA

1. Arkansas (27-3)
2. Clemson (28-3)
3. Texas A&M (28-4)
4. Tennessee (26-6)
5. Oregon State (26-4)
6. Vanderbilt (25-7)
7. Duke (24-8)
8. Kentucky (27-4)
9. Virginia (25-7)
10. East Carolina (23-7)
11. Florida State (26-5)
12. Dallas Baptist (25-6)
13. North Carolina (26-6)
14. UC-Irvine (24-4)
15. Wake Forest (21-10)
16. Central Florida (21-8)
17. Coastal Carolina (22-9)
18. Virginia Tech (21-8)
19. Oregon (22-8)
20. Nebraska (22-7)
21. Louisiana-Lafayette (24-8)
22. Alabama (22-10)
23. Mississippi State (21-10)
24. Florida (17-14)
25. LSU (21-12)

Others Receiving Votes (listed alphabetically)
Cal Poly, Campbell, Creighton, Fresno State, Georgetown, Georgia, Indiana State, Jackson State, James Madison, Kansas State, Lamar, Louisiana Tech, Louisville, Maryland, North Carolina State, Northeastern, Oklahoma State, Purdue, San Diego, St. John's, Samford, South Carolina, Southern Mississippi, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech, UC-Santa Barbara, Utah, West Virginia, Western Kentucky, William & Mary

Dropped Out
North Carolina State (#19), South Carolina (#20), TCU (#24), Indiana State (#25)

==================================

Link: NCAA RPI (4/8)

1. Clemson
2. Arkansas
3. Florida State
4. North Carolina
5. Kentucky
6. Texas A&M
7. Central Florida
8. East Carolina
9. Georgia
10. Oregon State
11. Tennessee
12. Indiana State
13. Virginia
14. Wake Forest
15. Vanderbilt
16. Duke
17. Nebraska
18. UC-Irvine
19. South Carolina
20. Dallas Baptist
21. Alabama
22. Coastal Carolina
23. UC-Santa Barbara
24. Oklahoma
25 James Madison
---------------------------------
30. Maryland
47. Ohio State
56. Indiana
57. Rutgers
68. Illinois
72. Purdue
81. Michigan
96. Northwestern
99. Michigan State
131. Iowa
163. Minnesota
174. Penn State

Is ALL of Ukraine Committed to the War Against Russia?

Every time there's a war, there are always people fighting, dying and suffering.

Often there are also many who either go on more-or-less as normal. And of course, there are plenty who line up to profit or otherwise take advantage.

The war in eastern and southern Ukraine seems pretty brutal. Not as brutal as the war in Gaza on a per capita basis - which may be why Ukraine has taken a back seat for several months - but still pretty brutal.

But what about western Ukraine? Lviv, say? What's life like there?

That thought came to mind when I read about how much trouble Zelensky is having finding people willing to fight. He just now signed a law lowering the draft age to 25. 25? WTF? He had been pushing for 18 - like the US, but ran into too much opposition. And there are fears even this token lowering (from the previous 27) will cause a big backlash.

Do Ukrianians really want to fight for their nation?


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Edwin Cooper to compete in The Ultimate Fighter 32







It is great to be an Iowa Wrestling fan.

Go Hawks!

At least 7 shot, all under age 17, in mass shooting near Indianapolis mall

At least 7 shot, all under age 17, in mass shooting near Indianapolis mall
Doha Madani
Updated Sun, March 31, 2024 at 6:18 PM CDT·2 min read


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At least 7 shot, all under age 17, in mass shooting near Indianapolis mall
Seven children were injured in a shooting outside a mall in downtown Indianapolis on Saturday night, police said.

Indianapolis police officers were on patrol when they heard gunshots just after 11:30 p.m. and arrived on a block outside Circle Centre Mall. According to police, officers saw six people injured with gunshot wounds.

All of the victims were ages 12 to 17, police said.

Emergency medical services took the children to hospitals, and a seventh person, also under 18, arrived at a hospital on their own. One victim was in critical condition, and the six others were stable.

Tanya Terry, the police department's deputy chief of operations, described the shooting as "deeply concerning."

"Once again, we have a situation where young people are resolving conflict with firearms, and it has to stop," Terry said.

Terry told reporters that officers have noticed a pattern of young people leaving the mall after it closes at 7 p.m. and circulating in the nearby downtown area for hours. She said that if parents don't know where their 12-year-olds are at 11:30 p.m. before Easter, that should "be a priority."

"I think everybody sees the messages in the evening at 10 o'clock, 'Parents, do you know where your children are?'" Terry said, referring to an old public service announcement. "And we would ask for our parents to get involved in what their children are out doing, especially at these hours of the evening."

Police have made no arrests and provided no information about a potential suspect. Detectives have begun an aggravated assault investigation, police said.

It is the third shooting in three weekends in Indianapolis, according to NBC affiliate WTHR.

Last Sunday, five people, including an officer, were killed in a shooting in the east side of the city, the station reported. An officer shot and killed the suspect in that case.

And one person was killed and five other people were injured in a shooting at a bar on March 16, according to The Indianapolis Star. A suspect was arrested and charged after police were able to identify a suspect using security video from inside the bar, the newspaper reported.

18.7 million viewers for Iowa-SC final

Ratings for the women’s NCAA tournament continued to soar with Sunday’s championship game.

The matchup between Iowa and South Carolina brought in 18.7 million viewers across ABC and ESPN, according to Nielsen fast national data, becoming the second most-watched non-Olympic women’s sporting event ever on U.S. television, behind only the 2015 Women’s World Cup Final.

“With a record-setting audience of 18.7 million viewers, Sunday’s Iowa-South Carolina title game was a fitting finale to the most-viewed ever NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament,” ESPN Chairman Jimmy Pitaro said. “These exceptional athletes, coaches and teams captured our attention in unprecedented ways and it’s incumbent on all of us to keep the incredible momentum going. I’m also very proud of our talented and committed employees for how they presented this historic event.”

Iowa-South Carolina sets TV viewership records

The question was not if the showdown between Iowa and South Carolina in the national championship game on Sunday would set a new TV viewership record for women's basketball, but rather how big the viewership numbers would be. The answer? Very, very, very big.

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The game smashed existing viewership record, with a currently reported total of 18.7 million viewers (the number is likely to tick up as final ratings information comes in). The game peaked with an astonishing 24 million viewers.

MORE HERE:

Sierra Ferrell is a fantastic country n western artist.

Not so many years ago this gal was hopping trains and singing for chump change on the streets of New Orleans and Asheville. Now she’s played the Grand Ole Opry and is selling out everywhere she goes. People always complain that they don’t make country n western music like they used to, well here she is.

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Trump's net worth surges to $6.4 BILLION to make him one of the world's 500 richest people!

Trump's net worth surges to $6.4 BILLION to make him one of the world's 500 richest people for the first time after he completed his social media company's.​


  • e value of his stake in Digital World Acquisition has jumped
  • 'I have a lot of cash,' Trump told reporters Monday
Donald Trump's net worth is shooting up even as he is forced to assemble piles of cash to pay court judgments – now climbing onto at least one coveted billionaire's list.

The former president's net worth has climbed to $6.4 billion following last week's announcement that Digital World Acquisition shareholders voted the special purpose acquisition company to merge with the Trump firm that owns his Truth Social platform.

After a jump in its stock price, Trump's net worth jumped by an astonishing $4 billion – which comes on top of his golf, real estate, and branding empire.

The timing couldn't be better for Trump, says he has almost $500 million in cash and has 10 days to come up with $175 million after a New York appeals court slashed a $454 court judgment against him.

Trump already has an empire that includes golf properties in Florida and Scotland, plus buildings including Trump Tower and 40 Wall Street, where Trump on Monday held a wild press conference where he said he would use cash, securities, or a bond to pay the $175 million amount.

Even with that outlay, Bloomberg added Trump to its list of the world's 500 richest people.

The main driver was the stock price of the merged company, which will be publicly traded on the NASDAQ starting Tuesday.

Shares in DWAC were trading at nearly $50 a share Monday, a jump of 190 per cent since the year began, which put Trump's 58 per cent stake at about $3.9 billion.

Unless he gets a waiver from a board stacked with Trump loyalists, Trump would be prohibited from selling his shares until the end of a six-month period, so he can't rely on the funds to pay his court judgment.

Trump has long vied to get on and stay on the Forbes 400 list, and his New York fraud trial featured testimony that he inflated valuations to get preferable treatment.

Forbes on Monday put Trump's net worth of $2.6 billion, relying on a September 2023 estimate of his social media and branding business at $160 million.

'I have a lot of cash,' Trump told reporters Monday. 'You know I do because you have looked at my statement.'


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