- Sep 13, 2002
- 95,748
- 195,780
- 113
New polls out this morning from UMASS-Amherst:
We’re now halfway through those four weeks, and Harris is winning the race to define. She and her campaign have over-performed in almost every respect while Donald Trump and JD Vance have gotten in their own way—or simply reminded us who they really are.
And Harris has gained ground. The polling team at UMass Amherst is releasing their latest national presidential survey this morning. It has Harris leading Trump nationally by three points, 46 percent to 43 percent—compared to a four point lead for Trump over Biden in their January poll. Not surprisingly, Harris does better on who would handle traditional Democratic issues like reproductive rights and health care, while Trump prevails on more traditional Republican issues. But Trump has only small margins on those issues—53 percent to 47 percent in handling both crime and immigration, for example. The Trump campaign would certainly wish those margins to be much higher.
Similarly, Harris leads Trump on personal characteristics like honesty and likability, but keeps the contest closer than one might have expected on traits that might have been thought big winners for Trump, like strength (only 54 percent to 46 percent) and patriotism (only 52 percent to 48 percent). And by 57 percent to 43 percent, voters think that Harris is more moderate than Trump, an indicator that the effort to define Harris as radical isn’t working—so far.
www.thebulwark.com
We’re now halfway through those four weeks, and Harris is winning the race to define. She and her campaign have over-performed in almost every respect while Donald Trump and JD Vance have gotten in their own way—or simply reminded us who they really are.
And Harris has gained ground. The polling team at UMass Amherst is releasing their latest national presidential survey this morning. It has Harris leading Trump nationally by three points, 46 percent to 43 percent—compared to a four point lead for Trump over Biden in their January poll. Not surprisingly, Harris does better on who would handle traditional Democratic issues like reproductive rights and health care, while Trump prevails on more traditional Republican issues. But Trump has only small margins on those issues—53 percent to 47 percent in handling both crime and immigration, for example. The Trump campaign would certainly wish those margins to be much higher.
Similarly, Harris leads Trump on personal characteristics like honesty and likability, but keeps the contest closer than one might have expected on traits that might have been thought big winners for Trump, like strength (only 54 percent to 46 percent) and patriotism (only 52 percent to 48 percent). And by 57 percent to 43 percent, voters think that Harris is more moderate than Trump, an indicator that the effort to define Harris as radical isn’t working—so far.
We’re Not Tired of Winning. Pick Shapiro.
Plus: RFK Jr.'s insane story about staging the death of a bear cub.
www.thebulwark.com
