Kamala’s lead keeps dwindling. JFC this is pitiful.

[DFSNOLE]

It's-110 to -110 on draft kings. Fwiw

Topline Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over former President Donald Trump in the election betting markets narrowed to a single point, amid a surge in bets favoring the Republican candidate as polling numbers continued to show a tight race in nearly all key swing states.

According to the Election Betting Odds tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from five major markets, bookmakers give Harris a 50.1% chance of winning in November, one point higher than Trump’s 49.1%.

Bettors on PredictIt, the market where Harris has consistently led Trump over the past month, now give the vice president 54 cents per share (roughly equating to a 54% chance) compared to Trump’s 50 cents per share.

On Kalshi—which recently won a federal court ruling to continue accepting bets on the election—bookmakers also give Harris a slight edge at 51% compared to 49% for Trump.

On the British betting site Smarkets, bookmakers predict Harris now has a 50.5% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 48%.

This marks a major shift from last week, when odds favoring Harris were 3.5 points higher than Trump’s.

The biggest boost for Trump’s odds has come from bookmakers on the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket, who now predict the former president is a slight favorite with a 50.8% chance of winning, compared to Harris’ 48.2%.



On the British betting site Smarkets, bookmakers predict Harris now has a 50.5% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 48%.

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[Tiny Hands Trump]

Topline Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over former President Donald Trump in the election betting markets narrowed to a single point, amid a surge in bets favoring the Republican candidate as polling numbers continued to show a tight race in nearly all key swing states.

According to the Election Betting Odds tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from five major markets, bookmakers give Harris a 50.1% chance of winning in November, one point higher than Trump’s 49.1%.

Bettors on PredictIt, the market where Harris has consistently led Trump over the past month, now give the vice president 54 cents per share (roughly equating to a 54% chance) compared to Trump’s 50 cents per share.

On Kalshi—which recently won a federal court ruling to continue accepting bets on the election—bookmakers also give Harris a slight edge at 51% compared to 49% for Trump.

On the British betting site Smarkets, bookmakers predict Harris now has a 50.5% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 48%.

This marks a major shift from last week, when odds favoring Harris were 3.5 points higher than Trump’s.

The biggest boost for Trump’s odds has come from bookmakers on the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket, who now predict the former president is a slight favorite with a 50.8% chance of winning, compared to Harris’ 48.2%.



On the British betting site Smarkets, bookmakers predict Harris now has a 50.5% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 48%.

Crytobros, also known as men who haven't seen a vagina.

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

8 years old...... This one should be torched in his cell! Thanks, jo and cumala!! >

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[pjhawk]

Polymarket? You're really reaching old sport.

LOL. Those guys are posting betting markets bullshit because the actual polls show Harris ahead.

 

[fsu1jreed]

LOL. You guys are posting betting markets bullshit because the actual polls show Harris ahead.

Yea, not knowing they just want equal bets on both sides so that no matter who wins the election, they win money

 

[Tiny Hands Trump]

Remember the 2020 betting markets? Heavy swing to Trump, then heavy swing to Biden as night went. You know, because gamblers know! People wouldn't bet money on something based on personal feelings or biases! Oh wait, it is gambling, that's exactly what people do.

 

[Hoosierhawkeye]

Remember the 2020 betting markets? Heavy swing to Trump, then heavy swing to Biden as night went. You know, because gamblers know! People wouldn't bet money on something based on personal feelings or biases! Oh wait, it is gambling, that's exactly what people do.

Makes me sort of wonder if there is a political affiliation that is more associated with gambling.

 

[sober_teacher]

Remember the 2020 betting markets? Heavy swing to Trump, then heavy swing to Biden as night went. You know, because gamblers know! People wouldn't bet money on something based on personal feelings or biases! Oh wait, it is gambling, that's exactly what people do.

It’s interesting to see the betting lines swing, largely on account of new polls that come out, as well, as any other October surprises that might come out.

Post-election, I’m very curious to see how accurate the polls turn out in the end, after 3 cycles involving Trump and the repeated attempts to accurately gauge his support/influence.

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[Joes Place]

157 million for .........Lebanon...

20 billion for South Carolina..

Fixed

 

[MuscoHawk]

The Trump double standard is absolutely maddening…

 

[Joes Place]

Topline Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over former President Donald Trump in the election betting markets narrowed to a single point, amid a surge in bets favoring the Republican candidate as polling numbers continued to show a tight race in nearly all key swing states.

According to the Election Betting Odds tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from five major markets, bookmakers give Harris a 50.1% chance of winning in November, one point higher than Trump’s 49.1%.

Bettors on PredictIt, the market where Harris has consistently led Trump over the past month, now give the vice president 54 cents per share (roughly equating to a 54% chance) compared to Trump’s 50 cents per share.

On Kalshi—which recently won a federal court ruling to continue accepting bets on the election—bookmakers also give Harris a slight edge at 51% compared to 49% for Trump.

On the British betting site Smarkets, bookmakers predict Harris now has a 50.5% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 48%.

This marks a major shift from last week, when odds favoring Harris were 3.5 points higher than Trump’s.

The biggest boost for Trump’s odds has come from bookmakers on the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket, who now predict the former president is a slight favorite with a 50.8% chance of winning, compared to Harris’ 48.2%.



On the British betting site Smarkets, bookmakers predict Harris now has a 50.5% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 48%.

Iowa Electronic Markets have been more accurate than most polls.
They show none of these "numbers" right now.

 

[Scruddy]

 

[MitchLL]

We're starting to see what I consider a dangerous possibility as some of these battleground States are showing a very close race.
The key will ALWAYS be voter turnout.

So when Harris wins some of these States by 5-7%, Trump supporters will claim the election was stolen because pre election polling showed a 1-2% tight race.
The weeks following the election will be very chaotic as the Radical Right will scream RIGGED in every battleground State.

 

[torbee]

Decent polling news today for non-deplorables:

WAIT, A NYT/SIENA POLL NOT CAUSING LIBERAL PANIC?: You can put away the Xanax. A new New York Times/Siena College poll found [checks notes] good numbers for Kamala Harris. She’s up 49-46 over Donald Trump among likely voters, with the paper noting that “Voters are now more likely to credit” her “with representing change and caring about people like them.”
The Times/Siena poll has tended to be a real bummer for Democrats. But this one is bound to give them a reprieve from their feeling of impending doom. As for whom is to credit for a brightening of Harris’s fortunes, the poll suggests that credit goes to Republicans. Nine percent of self-identified GOPers said they planned to support Harris, up slightly from five percent last month.

 

[Whiskeydeltadeltatango]

Decent polling news today for non-deplorables:

WAIT, A NYT/SIENA POLL NOT CAUSING LIBERAL PANIC?: You can put away the Xanax. A new New York Times/Siena College poll found [checks notes] good numbers for Kamala Harris. She’s up 49-46 over Donald Trump among likely voters, with the paper noting that “Voters are now more likely to credit” her “with representing change and caring about people like them.”
The Times/Siena poll has tended to be a real bummer for Democrats. But this one is bound to give them a reprieve from their feeling of impending doom. As for whom is to credit for a brightening of Harris’s fortunes, the poll suggests that credit goes to Republicans. Nine percent of self-identified GOPers said they planned to support Harris, up slightly from five percent last month.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/politics/harris-trump-poll-national.html

Assuming you are talking about this one, it has data going back to the 29th of last month in it with 3300 participants.

 

[mattymoknows]

Decent polling news today for non-deplorables:

WAIT, A NYT/SIENA POLL NOT CAUSING LIBERAL PANIC?: You can put away the Xanax. A new New York Times/Siena College poll found [checks notes] good numbers for Kamala Harris. She’s up 49-46 over Donald Trump among likely voters, with the paper noting that “Voters are now more likely to credit” her “with representing change and caring about people like them.”
The Times/Siena poll has tended to be a real bummer for Democrats. But this one is bound to give them a reprieve from their feeling of impending doom. As for whom is to credit for a brightening of Harris’s fortunes, the poll suggests that credit goes to Republicans. Nine percent of self-identified GOPers said they planned to support Harris, up slightly from five percent last month.

But...but Scruddy's info is always so reliable and accurate. If I can't trust him and his resources, who can I trust? 🙄

 

[Whiskeydeltadeltatango]

Trump -120 @caesars.

 

[Joes Place]

For starters, the Abraham Accords, low inflation, no major conflicts around the world, more secure border,

This is all fairy-tales, Cletus.

 

[Joes Place]

There’s so much pork in that bill

Read it as many times as you need, until it sinks in:

THERE WAS NO TRUMP INFRASTRUCTURE BILL.

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[Huey Grey]

The Trump double standard is absolutely maddening…

View embedded media

People are still losing their collective shit over fracking. Not that she was involved in it in any way. Just that she changed her views on it.

 

[torbee]

People are still losing their collective shit over fracking. Not that she was involved in it in any way. Just that she changed her views on it.

If there's one thing I will not abide, it's a public servant changing their position on an issue after learning more facts about it.

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

Just imagine if this entity had the resources and contacts to report on every jurisdiction in the country! Maybe then some of you dunces would get it!! >

 

[Scruddy]

This administration clearly doesn't communicate lol

Also:

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

Teamsters union President Sean O'Brien torches Democratic Party: 'They have f---ed us over'

Teamsters President Sean O'Brien condemned the Democratic Party in a recent interview, saying the party "needs to look in the mirror" as it loses support from the union's members.

www.foxbusiness.com

 

[Scruddy]

Teamsters union President Sean O'Brien torches Democratic Party: 'They have f---ed us over'

Teamsters President Sean O'Brien condemned the Democratic Party in a recent interview, saying the party "needs to look in the mirror" as it loses support from the union's members.

www.foxbusiness.com

Asking npc's to look in the mirror is a bold strategy lol he is right of course, but obv the dems won't listen.

 

[MuscoHawk]

If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll only have herself to blame.

Shapiro was right there for VP. He was the pick. He would have guaranteed the state, which honestly would be the most consequential thing a VP has ever done, ever.

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi, 27, obtained firearms and ammunition to conduct a violent attack on U.S. soil, as well as taking a number of steps to prepare for the plot, authorities said. He entered the United States on Sept. 9, 2021, on a special immigrant visa. >

Afghan man in Oklahoma plotted Election Day terror attack in US on behalf of ISIS, Justice Department says

Suspect allegedly liquidated his family’s assets, resettled family members overseas, in preparation for attack

www.foxnews.com

 

[Here_4_a_Day]

 

[GOHOX69]

The race is breaking.... for Harris....

 

[Huey Grey]

If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll only have herself to blame.

Shapiro was right there for VP. He was the pick. He would have guaranteed the state, which honestly would be the most consequential thing a VP has ever done, ever.

She's already amassing a huge lead there in early voting. Looks like Trump is the one struggling in Penn.

 

[fsu1jreed]

Read it as many times as you need, until it sinks in:

THERE WAS NO TRUMP INFRASTRUCTURE BILL.

It's amazing, it's like they live in an alternative reality

 

[Hawkman34]

If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll only have herself to blame.

Shapiro was right there for VP. He was the pick. He would have guaranteed the state, which honestly would be the most consequential thing a VP has ever done, ever.

This is actually spot on. I still don't understand why she did what she did.

 

[littlez]

But...but Scruddy's info is always so reliable and accurate. If I can't trust him and his resources, who can I trust? 🙄

Plus he’s in Vegas. And a Harvard grad. Not.

 

[binsfeldcyhawk2]

2.5% national lead has been pretty locked in for about a month now for Harris...according to the 538 composite.

National : President: general election : 2024 Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com