Polls are garbage. Only thing that matters are votes. And so far I'm like what I see with early voting data.2.5% national lead has been pretty locked in for about a month now for Harris...according to the 538 composite.
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.projects.fivethirtyeight.com
I think the "get out the vote" ground game for the D's makes all the difference in this election.
Completely agree. Democrats have to be PERFECT or we get "both sides" BS from the right. Republicans can act like fools and not lose a single member of their base, and they know it.
Trump has changed his views on abortion a dozen times and that's totally okay though.
Everything I've read says that Trumps ground game downright sucks. Dems will run up a big lead with early votes. I just don't know if Trump can make it up on election day.
Hard to invest in a ground game when you're stealing campaign funds for your criminal defense cases.
I’m curious if we’ll ever see a breakdown on how much of trumps fundraising efforts went to pay his legal fees vs going into his campaign. Reportedly he’s raised quite a bit of money over the past year, obviously not matching what Harris raised once she took over the campaign.
Don't know or care what that is. Simple fact, there aren't enough stupid people to get Trump elected. There's too many to be sure, but not enough to fall for the con.
Poly is pretty transparent. Just one of the users is responsible for over a million dollars of those bets. And it's rumored that user is Elon. I wouldn't put any stock in Poly.
The problem is they both keep making dumb mistakes. She gets asked a question that she had to know is coming and fails to provide a logical response. You hesitate, think about it, and then say you wouldn't do ANYTHING differently from what the administration did? She's given a golden opportunity for her to distance herself from an unpopular policy and says no, she wouldn't change a thing. That's just ****ing stupid. Even you if you have to lie about it. Come up with a story that works. You're campaigning against a guy who is completely shameless about lying about anything and everything to get elected. If you want to win then ****ing play to win and start giving some answers that you know people would want to hear.
The Iowa Electronics Market (run through the business analytics dept at Tippie College of Business) currently has Harris at 53.4% likely to win:
www.pollyvote.com
What about Obamacare, now says supports it unless he can think of a better solution. Says he has been thinking on it for the last 8 years.
Election is over scruffy. Done did it.
they are skewed because trump voters are way more likely to respond because they have no life
Oooh... big man....Kamala is favored in Michigan so he wants to bet even up.....let's bet on Iowa, you name the stakes....
If California, Illinois, and New York Repubs are willing to die in the hill Trump might win the popular vote. He will lose those states but there are a ton of votes there.
Dude thinks it will get him attention. It probably will. But it's also an admission that he's having trouble competing with the amount of attention she's getting.
Who cares about the popular vote? You looking for moral victories?
