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*****Official Cubs 2023 thread*****

1. Going injury
2. They insisted he start throwing the vaunted sweeper pitch.

I'm not sure that what's wrong with him couldn't be corrected by dropping the sweeper, and just being healthier. His fastball seems unaffected.
@hawkifann probably has some numbers somewhere on this, but I have heard he's throwing his fastball less this year. He was successful in multiple stops before Chicago. Go back to what was working.
Lefties are killing him. That sweeper is ending up right in their sweet zone.
 
We still got jet lag? Probably. The crew last night was commenting how they were still gassed and adjusting to the time changes.

The London games were cool but will probably cost us a few wins.
 
1. Going injury
2. They insisted he start throwing the vaunted sweeper pitch.

I'm not sure that what's wrong with him couldn't be corrected by dropping the sweeper, and just being healthier. His fastball seems unaffected.
@hawkifann probably has some numbers somewhere on this, but I have heard he's throwing his fastball less this year. He was successful in multiple stops before Chicago. Go back to what was working.
He is, but not that much less, really. A couple things of note looking at his Statcast data (at baseballsavant.com), he’s thrown no sweepers/sliders to lefties and no changeups to righties, so those pitches that move back to the hitter haven’t been in play for him.

Overall, he’s throwing his 4-seam fastball 31.6% of the time compared to 35.6% last year, so down, but not dramatically down. What stands out to me is that his cutter is getting hammered by everyone - lefties have a .394 average and a .667 slug against it and righties are .357/.571. Lefties are also crushing the 4-seamer - .310/.762.

Also, when you look at the “luck” (deviation between BA and xBA and SLG and xSLG), there‘s not much on the lefty side, he’s getting hit and the peripherals say he should be getting hit. On the righty side, though, is where the BABIP luck is coming from. He’s throwing 29.6% sweepers to right handers and they’re hitting .290/.477, but the expected BA/SLG is .190/.303. He’s getting a bunch of weak contact hits off that pitch. On the flip side, Taillon has been lucky with the 4-seamer against righties - they’re hitting .176/.235 vs an expected .235/.601.

I’d argue he needs to throw the 4-seamer less (or at least locate it better, way too much middle-middle on that pitch, which is probably the issue). He should keep throwing the sweeper against righties (it’s already his most-thrown pitch) and fewer cutters. Against lefties, he could increase the change, but they’re not throwing that pitch much in spite of good results, so I wonder if it’s not one he ever throws well in the pen.

Despite giving up the HRs and the 5 runs, I actually thought Taillon was more good than bad against Philly if you really look at the stuff, the locations and the flow. A couple guys (including one of Marsh’s HRs) hit pitches that were actually good and well-placed. Sometimes the hitter is a guy who gets paid to play baseball too.
 
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Lefties are killing him. That sweeper is ending up right in their sweet zone.
Lefties are killing him, but he actually hasn’t thrown a single sweeper to a lefty this year (per Statcast). He’s getting hit hard across the board, but especially the cutter and 4-seamer.
 
We still got jet lag? Probably. The crew last night was commenting how they were still gassed and adjusting to the time changes.

The London games were cool but will probably cost us a few wins.
The London thing was fun, but it wasn’t helpful for the season. One idea I heard on a pod today somewhere was that MLB should do the London trip as a 4-game series. Do what they did and play 2 games in London and then come back with the day off and play a 2-gamer at one of those team’s places. In this situation, it would have been 2 in London, then come back and play 2 in STL. At least at that point, both teams are in the same boat with the long travel and you’d get Thursday off again before playing Friday. If you’re not right by Friday, that’s a you problem.
 
We still got jet lag? Probably. The crew last night was commenting how they were still gassed and adjusting to the time changes.

The London games were cool but will probably cost us a few wins.
Probably a little jet lag, and also a little bit of playing a good Phillies team.
 
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Well, that optimism faded fast.

Who predicted that our lead off hitter, Hoerner, would lead the team in RBIs at the mid-point of the season?

I see the guy who replaced Swanson at SS for the Braves this season will be the NL starter in the All Star game.

Just some random thoughts on a Friday morning.
 
Cubs to call him up once they trade Bellinger?
If that happens I doubt it. They’d give Velasquez and Tauchman the time. PCA isn’t on the 40 man, either. They might have roster space, but there are guys they need to evaluate before PCA’s clock starts.
 
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Well, that optimism faded fast.

Who predicted that our lead off hitter, Hoerner, would lead the team in RBIs at the mid-point of the season?

I see the guy who replaced Swanson at SS for the Braves this season will be the NL starter in the All Star game.

Just some random thoughts on a Friday morning.
Not saying Arcia isn’t deserving, but a lot of online Braves fans have been doing anything possible to slam Dansby this season and they definitely stuffed the fan voting for Arcia.
 
Cubs to call him up once they trade Bellinger?
I raised this on my podcast this morning, but what do you think the trade market is for Bellinger? Unless he really starts hitting soon, I’m not sure it’s even going to be worth trading him at the deadline.
 
I raised this on my podcast this morning, but what do you think the trade market is for Bellinger? Unless he really starts hitting soon, I’m not sure it’s even going to be worth trading him at the deadline.
The only thing I have read is that the Yankees might be interested.
 
Today's game has its start time pushed back

The Chicago Cubs have announced that their Sunday series finale against the Cleveland Guardians will start later than scheduled due to forecasted inclement weather.

According to the team, the game will now start at 4:05 p.m., rather than the original 1:20 p.m. start time at Wrigley Field.


Weather forecasts are calling for showers and thunderstorms, as well as some patchy fog, through most of the morning and into the early afternoon.

The team says that gates to the ballpark will open approximately 90 minutes before first pitch.

The two teams have split the first two games of the series, with the Cubs taking a 10-1 blowout victory in the first game and the Guardians responding with a 6-0 victory in the second game on Saturday night.

The Cubs are five games below the .500 mark at the exact halfway point of their season, with a 38-43 record. They are five games back of the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds in the National League Central.

Jameson Taillon is scheduled to face Aaron Civale in the series finale at Wrigley on Sunday.

https://sports.yahoo.com/start-time-guardians-cubs-game-131411776.html
 
Cubs have 3 All Stars: Steele, Stroman, and Swanson. I had hoped that Hoerner would have been named as a reserve. He is having the best season as a positional player, IMO.
 
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Cubs need to be sellers. This division is crap and nobody is going anywhere in the playoffs for it.
Now more than ever, it's not about how many wins you have during the regular season but who's hot at the right time.

87-win Phillies went to the Series last year and had a 2-1 lead against HOU before finally running out of steam.

Cubs have played well against some of the AL's top teams this year (TEX, BAL, TB), so you know they can play with the big boys when they're playing well.

Not saying they should trade the future to get a little better this year, but playing in a weak division gives them more reason to stay in the race, not less.

One thing that I think should definitely be done is pushing back the non-waiver trade deadline at least a few weeks. It makes absolutely no sense to have had the same deadline ~July 31st ever since there were only 4 postseason teams. Makes more sense to me to move it to Aug 31st (with post-season roster deadline). Having a 1-month period where players can be claimed off waivers but not traded is silly.
 
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