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The race is breaking

Good find man! That's what happens when you let your uninformed brother use your account.
There’s a lot more where that came from. You were about as anti-trump as anyone.

Perusing a search right now with your handle and “Trump”. You called him an extremist, you called him disgraceful, you called him despicable. You called him a national embarrassment.

WTF changed? Is it honestly RFK’s endorsement? Or do you think Trump is somehow not all the things you thought he was through 2020?
 
There’s a lot more where that came from. You were about as anti-trump as anyone.

Perusing a search right now with your handle and “Trump”. You called him an extremist, you called him disgraceful, you called him despicable. You called him a national embarrassment.

WTF changed? Is it honestly RFK’s endorsement? Or do you think Trump is somehow not all the things you thought he was through 2020?
Um, yeah, that was my brother. He posted quite a bit under the political threads.
 
Um, yeah, that was my brother. He posted quite a bit under the political threads.

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Who shares an avatar and why - when it is free to set up an account? We usually have the opposite problem.

On the very slight chance that is true, how does it feel to be the dumb one among your siblings?
 
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Who shares an avatar and why - when it is free to set up an account? We usually have the opposite problem.

On the very slight chance that is true, how does it feel to be the dumb one among your siblings?
I'm sure my bro's gonna get a kick out of this. Thx.

If you're my brother, why set up another account when you have a paid account that can see the premium content? I think he set up another account when I told him he couldn't post under my account.

My sister is with me on vaccines, btw. And I'm not sure my brother is pro-vax all the way, but he did get vaxxed for COVID because his job more or less forced him to. Very sad. At least he does seem to understand that pharma is corrupt.

He still hates Trump, I can assure you.
 
I'm sure my bro's gonna get a kick out of this. Thx.

If you're my brother, why set up another account when you have a paid account that can see the premium content? I think he set up another account when I told him he couldn't post under my account.

My sister is with me on vaccines, btw. And I'm not sure my brother is pro-vax all the way, but he did get vaxxed for COVID because his job more or less forced him to. Very sad. At least he does seem to understand that pharma is corrupt.

He still hates Trump, I can assure you.
Trump supporter. Antivax. Can we add flat Earther to make it the holy trinity of stupid? Maybe young Earth believer?
 
You do not appear to understand the issues here.

it is run by adversarial foreign powers, trying to influence our election, and trying to give Trump and his followers justification to make false claims if he loses.

That's actually a very very big deal.
That's certainly a basis for being critical of them. But not a basis for keeping Americans from betting on them.
 
I'm sure my bro's gonna get a kick out of this. Thx.

If you're my brother, why set up another account when you have a paid account that can see the premium content? I think he set up another account when I told him he couldn't post under my account.

My sister is with me on vaccines, btw. And I'm not sure my brother is pro-vax all the way, but he did get vaxxed for COVID because his job more or less forced him to. Very sad. At least he does seem to understand that pharma is corrupt.

He still hates Trump, I can assure you.
But you don’t have a premium account.

At this point I’m thinking you are one or more of the following
  • A troll farm employee
  • A hypocrite who is too ashamed to own it
  • A victim of very serious head trauma
I hope it was one of the first two and if it is the third I’m sorry for schooling you in this thread. I wish you a speedy recovery.
 
In what universe did I say anything of the sort? Literally when did I say such a thing? I'm not Trump or MAGA fan. They are doing what they always do.

I'm just handicapping the race which I think is back to a coin flip. I'm reading the tea leaves with what Harris and surrogates are saying, and guessing what that means they are seeing/thinking - that they hit their ceiling basically, and they will need to win on the margins with turnout of their own base.

Trump has had a ceiling for a long time, that's news to nobody. He's basically been in that mode forever, and it seems to be working for him, R enthusiasm looks pretty high so far, and he's won some of the few skeptical Rs remaining.

It's probably the right move for Kamala as well, since she's (like Trump) a horrible candidate, and the idea she was ever going to win over center-right independents or moderate-ish Republicans was probably wishful thinking. They both have a very hard ceiling which is going to prevent either from winning comfortably unless they can out turn-out the other.

There are so so many bad fundamentals that she has to overcome. But she still might do it, because of Trump.
Yep. And Trump still might do it, because of Kamala.

It’s the ultimate in a ‘plug your nose and choose’ election.

What a freaking country 🤢
 
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My sister is with me on vaccines, btw. And I'm not sure my brother is pro-vax all the way, but he did get vaxxed for COVID because his job more or less forced him to. Very sad. At least he does seem to understand that pharma is corrupt.

He still hates Trump, I can assure you.
T’s and P’s. Hopefully the funeral was a celebration of life.
 
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I read Simon Rosenberg’s report daily and he is very optimistic when it comes to early voting results.

Taking a step back, right now Dems are matching our 2020 results in the battlegrounds despite the battleground electorate being older, whiter, more male and more rural than at this point in 2020. This is really good. Additionally, we are starting to see large Harris leads in polls of those who have voted early, 20+ points. So we are 20+ points in an electorate that is only currently +2.5 Dem, and 7 points more R than 2020. It’s all very encouraging for us, and suggests there has been a meaningful surge of Republicans and independents voting for Harris in the early vote so far.
He is tied in with the team at Target Early.

 
Seeing some good blue wall state polls out today from independent pollsters. I think we’re going to see movement toward Harris this week. CNN is showing it.

While I tend to think the polls are continuing to do more 'wobbling' than 'moving,' I think your read here is a fair one if i had to pick a direction.

As a separate potential indicator, the 538 probability has shifted about 3 points the last few days. Still a total tossup, and still a very strange difference in the distribution of probable margin simulation outcomes of the two candidates, but a movement nonetheless.
 
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Bitcoin the market all pulling back a bit as well. I think ran up thinking Trump was going to win. Just another tell that things are changing a bit. I purchased a few puts for Friday, stock also reports tonight, overall think those will pay off.
 
Do you research anything before posting this crap? Early voting in NJ can be done in person or by mail. What you have shared is early voting in person. Add in early mail votes and you see this:

Democrat535,77651.4 %
Republican279,95026.8 %
None/Minor226,97421.8 %
TOTAL1,042,700100 %

You do see the sites that he gets his info from, correct? I know he's a Harvard man (not) but you'd think even he could do better than that.
 
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Do you research anything before posting this crap? Early voting in NJ can be done in person or by mail. What you have shared is early voting in person. Add in early mail votes and you see this:

Democrat535,77651.4 %
Republican279,95026.8 %
None/Minor226,97421.8 %
TOTAL1,042,700100 %

It very clearly states that I'm the tweet.. I know littlez can't read but are you also incapable?

 
So we are 20+ points in an electorate that is only currently +2.5 Dem, and 7 points more R than 2020. It’s all very encouraging for us, and suggests there has been a meaningful surge of Republicans and independents voting for Harris in the early vote so far.

This seems almost impossible to believe based on all other data about how Republicans are voting. If this is true, it's blowout territory for Harris already. That number of 20+ just seems way too big. If he'd said up 6 on a +2.5 Dem count, that would be celebration time, if it's a 20pt lead on a +2.5 Dem electorate, that's a wipeout.
 
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Republicans outpacing dems in portland!?

There are so many grifter accounts on so many platforms running with nonsense stories.

I did see something interesting today...someone made the point that the closeness of polling doesn't guarantee the closeness of the race. A total blowout in favor of EITHER candidate is well within the statistical error of the polls.

I've seen other say that statistically, it's more likely that one candidate sweeps all the battlegrounds than it is that they split the battlegrounds evenly. I don't know the numbers behind that but I guess that's what the probabilities are.
 
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