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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

Question: why do the armed forces of Ukraine announce their plans of an upcoming offensive? Why wouldn’t you just keep it quiet and then surprise the enemy?
Why did we want the Germans to look for D-Day to happen at Calais? The Ukrainians have been pretty good at keeping stuff quiet, and dishing out misinformation.
 
Why did we want the Germans to look for D-Day to happen at Calais? The Ukrainians have been pretty good at keeping stuff quiet, and dishing out misinformation.
It seems while the Russians can't do anything without the Ukrainians knowing because of western intel and their own assets. The Russians intel on the Ukrainians isn't near as good....which is somewhat surprising.
 

"Ukrainian Air Force can recruit foreigners after receiving new NATO fighter jets as pilots or employees of the aviation engineering staff."

turk-took.gif
 
There are several similar posts today. Some mention the aircraft turned off their transponders.
Maybe already SOP but escort provided for manned surveillance aircraft.



 
It seems while the Russians can't do anything without the Ukrainians knowing because of western intel and their own assets. The Russians intel on the Ukrainians isn't near as good....which is somewhat surprising.
Name one thing Russia has done well military on a large scale in the last year. Executing civilians and bombing apartment buildings doesn’t count. None of their weapons systems, their logistics, their command and control, or their Intel have been effective. The Russians thought they’d have a few firefights, and have a parade in Kyiv by D+3.
 
Name one thing Russia has done well military on a large scale in the last year. Executing civilians and bombing apartment buildings doesn’t count. None of their weapons systems, their logistics, their command and control, or their Intel have been effective. The Russians thought they’d have a few firefights, and have a parade in Kyiv by D+3.
In due deference, the Russians are getting the D up their A on a daily basis.
 
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Yeeaah buddy! Get the Russians out of the left bank area and they are on their heels...

 
"The Swedish parliament approved an additional military aid package for Ukraine worth 6.2 billion kronor (about $600 million) on March 23.

The new package proposed by the country's government includes Leopard 2 tanks, Archer self-propelled artillery systems, Robotsystem 97 missile systems as well as ammunition.

The Swedish parliament also approved sending 14 Archer systems to the U.K. to replace the older AS-90 self-propelled artillery systems it had donated to Ukraine.

Earlier, the Swedish government decided to provide Ukraine with eight Archer systems and up to ten German-made Leopard main battle tanks.

Archer is one of the world's most advanced artillery systems, capable of firing projectiles at a distance of up to 50 kilometers.

Sweden joins several other European nations, including Germany, Poland, Norway, Spain, the Netherlands, and Finland, which have pledged Leopard tanks to Ukraine. The U.K. and U.S. have also promised to transfer tanks from their arsenals. "

https://kyivindependent.com/news-fe...proves-600-million-in-military-aid-to-ukraine
 
Name one thing Russia has done well military on a large scale in the last year. Executing civilians and bombing apartment buildings doesn’t count. None of their weapons systems, their logistics, their command and control, or their Intel have been effective. The Russians thought they’d have a few firefights, and have a parade in Kyiv by D+3.
I have a hard time coming up with one....

Kinds crazy because you'd think at least militarily they would have learned a few lessons. Seems they've settled on attrition tactics....and their exchange rate isn't exactly a winning one.

We'll definitely see what condition they've left themselves in with the expected Ukrainian offensive,,,,
 
Ukraine leadership must have done a good job of ferreting out spies and those with questionable loyalty.
Absolutely...I thought Russia would at the very least have some human intel sources but if they do they aren't getting a whole lot out of them. Wouldn't be surprised if some of those "assets" have turned and are feeding them BS.
 
Ukraine leadership must have done a good job of ferreting out spies and those with questionable loyalty.
As mentioned several times in this mega thread, he's sh** canned quite a few people, and acted aggressively against corruption. Bad time to be a corrupt mayor/officer in Ukraine. Russian leaning people, especially in the Donbas are harder to figure out
 
Talking about intel. Maybe it's a case of Russia's intelligence services kind of sucking.

By that I mean they have intelligence assets...satellites, whatever human intel, signals intel and the like. Maybe they really suck at compiling it for actionable intel. Maybe it's a timeliness issue....can't get it to forward units quick enough.

There's also the fact that their leadership probably doesn't want "bad news" so they paint a rosier picture...



Very strange. That and their vaunted cyber capabilities have minimal impact.
 
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I have a hard time coming up with one....

Kinds crazy because you'd think at least militarily they would have learned a few lessons. Seems they've settled on attrition tactics....and their exchange rate isn't exactly a winning one.

We'll definitely see what condition they've left themselves in with the expected Ukrainian offensive,,,,
Don’t forget pulling Korean and Vietnamese Nam era equipment out of storage and using it as coffins. Very good at that!
 
I have a hard time coming up with one....

The only thing I can think of is ridding the prison system of a bunch of bad people (probably some decent people, as well). They (Wagner/Russia army) also made sure that they would not make it back to regular society. That's kind of a win.....depending on your thoughts on the value of human life, as it pertains to violent offenders and/or felons with long sentences.
 
The only thing I can think of is ridding the prison system of a bunch of bad people (probably some decent people, as well). They (Wagner/Russia army) also made sure that they would not make it back to regular society. That's kind of a win.....depending on your thoughts on the value of human life, as it pertains to violent offenders and/or felons with long sentences.
It was win-win-win from the Krelim: kill off dangerous felons who are costly to imprison + use them as bait so Russians could identify where Ukrainian positions were firing upon the felons + make Ukraine use up weapons/resources in annihilating the felons.
 
The only thing I can think of is ridding the prison system of a bunch of bad people (probably some decent people, as well). They (Wagner/Russia army) also made sure that they would not make it back to regular society. That's kind of a win.....depending on your thoughts on the value of human life, as it pertains to violent offenders and/or felons with long sentences.
They were free manual labor. Now they’re food for crows.
 
FTA -- this really drives home the absolute lack of morality/ethics in Russian society:


RFE/RL: When you say that the public expects change, what is this public demand for change motivated by? Do they want something changed in order to win this war, or do they want to see the war end? What exactly does the Russian public want?

Gallyamov:
If he manages to win the war, great. The public wants to [return] to the prewar state when everything was relatively peaceful. The rules of the game were relatively clear: no sanctions; [and] you could earn money here, and if you are sharing this money with Putin's elites, you’ll have no problem.

You are earning this money, you transfer it to the Western world, somewhere to France, to England, to America…. And then when you [take your] pension, you will spend the rest of your life somewhere in Florida or in some other nice places in the West. So this strategy was really clear. Now it came to an end. People don't understand why, because nobody believes in all this stuff about NATO, or Ukrainian fascists. Everybody understands that this was something which could easily have been avoided.

RFE/RL: So it's not morality that is at play here?

Gallyamov:
No, no, no, no.

RFE/RL: So it's not "We don't want war because it's wrong." It's the material aspect of it: “We don’t want war because it's bad for business, bad for our standard of living.” Is that what drives the public?

Gallyamov:
The main thing is [it's] not just bad for business, [but] because it threatens the regime with collapse. People really feel that if he doesn't change something, if he doesn't stop what he's doing now, it will ultimately lead to a revolution. And the whole system would collapse. And all of the elites, of course, they don't want this. They want stability.

And so, of course, it's not about morals and ethics. Russian elites are absolutely immoral; they're very practically minded. So if you could win the war and tighten the screws and make everything like it was before, great, but you can't win the war. And if you insist, [then] you will lead us to revolution. No, look, stop: You can't win the war. Let us do something else. Let us negotiate. Let's stop the war. Let’s end sanctions, let’s normalize the situation in the country. We don't want this [Kremlin-connected businessmen] Yevgeny Prigozhin with his hammer running around and threatening us. So this is the general feeling -- the situation has become absolutely abnormal. It's heading towards some kind of collapse. Nobody understands [what] this collapse would look [like]. But everybody feels that it's coming.
 
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