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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

There are more Nazis/white power groups in Russia than all of the former republics combined. Ukrainians actively the Soviets before, during and after WW2, which made it easy for the Russian dominated USSR to label the Ukrainians as Nazi collaborators.
Link

The nationalist racists with a penchant for Nazi symbology are a real thing in Ukraine.
Articles like the one I just linked are being forgotten about to make it easier to sell a good guy / bad guy picture to the audience.

This year [2018], though, the $1.3 trillion omnibus spending bill signed into law last week stipulates that "none of the funds made available by this act may be used to provide arms, training or other assistance to the Azov Battalion." "White supremacy and neo-Nazism are unacceptable and have no place in our world," Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.), an outspoken critic of providing lethal aid to Ukraine, said in a statement to The Hill on Tuesday. "I am very pleased that the recently passed omnibus prevents the U.S. from providing arms and training assistance to the neo-Nazi Azov Battalion fighting in Ukraine."
The United States has been aiding and training Ukrainian forces in their fight against Russian-backed separatists since 2014, and recently expanded that aid to include arms. The omnibus includes about $620.7 million in aid for Ukraine, including $420.7 million in State Department and foreign operations funds and $200 million in Pentagon funds.
The Azov Battalion was founded in 2014, and its first commander was Andriy Biletsky, who previously headed the neo-Nazi group Patriot of Ukraine. Several members of the militia, which has been integrated into the Ukrainian National Guard, are self-avowed neo-Nazis.
 
It requires Putin, Shoygu, Gerasimov, and the multiple people doing the actual launching from a sub, silo, plane, etc. Oh, and anyone around them with a gun to not shoot anyone of them to stop an insane end of the world moment. So a bunch would be involved.

Here are some links if you are interested. Also note that the crippling sanctions are far closer to a red line in their doctrine (attack that threatens the viability of the Russian state) than a conventional attack on Ukrainian soil.

Actual Russia policy

Short Reuters article

Wikipedia article on the Russian briefcase
So basically 3 people, of which Putin is one and the other two hand picked by him. If they're on board, or 2/3 of them and the other's family is held at gunpoint, etc., all they have to do is convince those actual service members to do it. Service members who likely have no idea what the real situation is (our leader informed us the American's have launched a first strike! Fire now comrade!!!).

Not sounding great Bob.
 
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I'm counting on Putin not actually holding control over the military guys who would be tasked with launching nukes.

Akin to the cluster**** you're currently witnessing on the Russian military hierarchy.

Putin cannot rush into a single room to push "the button". And if he doesn't have the support of his military commanders (which it clearly appears he does not), then he's got no nukes.
So now you’re an expert on the inner workings of the Russian command structure 🤣
 
Sanctions AND military support. We made a clear line at NATO because there was no appetite for responding militarily for a non-NATO country. It resulted in the rallying of pour allies and unprecedented support for Ukraine to fight their own war. Should they be able to stymie Putin it will demonstrate just how weak they are in the world order. Hell, it's doing that already.
So you agree that direct military intervention is not advisable?
 
So basically 3 people, of which Putin is one and the other two hand picked by him. If they're on board, or 2/3 of them and the other's family is held at gunpoint, etc., all they have to do is convince those actual service members to do it. Service members who likely have no idea what the real situation is (our leader informed us the American's have launched a first strike! Fire now comrade!!!).

Not sounding great Bob.
The military guys aren't "handpicked" by anyone but themselves. They are oligarch/gangsters like Putin himself, and go back to Soviet times. I see Russia's government as essentially bicameral, with Putin allowed to be the dictator as long as the military, led by Soigu, are happy with his performance.
 
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So you agree that direct military intervention is in advisable?
I think it is a rather easy choice to let Ukraine have all the various anti-aircraft, rocket artillery and drone systems they want, as well as the Migs if they can sneak them over the border. That's just a slight degree more than what we're already giving them, and would actually be humanitarian as those weapons would enable Ukraine to protect its civilian population from long range and air bombardment.
 
I think it is a rather easy choice to let Ukraine have all the various anti-aircraft, rocket artillery and drone systems they want, as well as the Migs if they can sneak them over the border. That's just a slight degree more than what we're already giving them, and would actually be humanitarian as those weapons would enable Ukraine to protect its civilian population from long range and air bombardment.
I’m down with that. Give the Ukrainians damn near everything they want….minus direct military involvement.
 
It's becoming more clear that Zelensky is willing to play a longer "game" and let Russia bleed out in Ukraine and economically.
He has to do what he can with what he has. Sure he would like to end this as soon as possible as his nation is being leveled and thousands more die the longer the war lasts.
 
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It is useful to ask oneself WWRD (what would Reagan do?).

Wasn't a big fan of his domestic policies, but he knew how to deal with Russian/Soviet aggression.
If I remember correctly, when it came to dealing with the USSR, it was with a Soviet Premiere who answered to the Politburo. Not a one man show like Putin.

Khrushchev said “we will bury you “, but it was not his decision alone. Khrushchev, Brezhnev and Gorbachev never had the power of Stalin. Not sure just where Putin would stand in that regard.
 
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“I find it hard to imagine Putin accepting a complete military defeat without him trying to use nuclear weapons first,” Kroenig said. “I think he sees limited nuclear use as more attractive than accepting defeat.”

So what is the solution here then, let him do whatever he wants wherever?

If this analysis is correct, then the US/NATO needs to seriously consider some type of special operation to take him out. You can’t let one man hold the entire goddamn planet hostage because if he loses, he starts using nuclear weapons. This is actually an argument FOR American/NATO action.
 
Gen Wesley Clark says UK has SAS in Ukraine. So maybe the rumor about US also being there aren't far fetched.
He also says supplies are not getting to Ukraine in a timely manner and they need the ammo and shells.

whodareswins.jpg
 
SIAP- I suppose they don't all have to be retirees.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/crack-team-sas-veterans-joining-26350789
A crack team of SAS veterans is joining Ukraine’s bloody fight against the Russian invasion, the Daily Mirror can reveal.


Retired UK special forces soldiers have volunteered for missions deep inside Ukraine to back up the country's defence.



It is believed ex-Paratroopers may at some point join the special forces teams in Ukraine, along with other UK military specialists.


The veterans, aged between 40 and 60, have had meetings to discuss signing up for the dangerous mission, backing up Ukrainians in combat.


Key to their operation is among them there are highly-trained snipers and experts in
 
“I find it hard to imagine Putin accepting a complete military defeat without him trying to use nuclear weapons first,” Kroenig said. “I think he sees limited nuclear use as more attractive than accepting defeat.”

So what is the solution here then, let him do whatever he wants wherever?

If this analysis is correct, then the US/NATO needs to seriously consider some type of special operation to take him out. You can’t let one man hold the entire goddamn planet hostage because if he loses, he starts using nuclear weapons. This is actually an argument FOR American/NATO action.
You keep making this same argument - NO ONE is letting him do whatever he wants, whenever. JFC.
 
Passport application has been affirmed as expedited. In talks with Ukraine, have been granted stay in Poland hotel. Foreign Legion, friends

They gave me a list of things to bring. I'd be happy to take a HROT load of donations / supplies to Ukraine.


I would think one of you HROT rich could negotiate me taking supplies.
 
Azov in Mariupol with many captured ammunition and destroyed Tigrs with "O" marking. Looks like Russians threw in Mariupol hasher reinforcements from Sumy-Poltava direction

Necro Mancer has some pretty pithy obituary comments on his TL.

Below says: "03/14/22 near the city of Izyum, Kharkov region. commander of a motorized rifle battalion, Major Dmitry Toptun, born in 1990 heroically destroyed an enemy anti-tank missile with his BMP".

 
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I need a satelite phone to be correspondent. I ddn't want to kill anyone. If I can convince Russkies to surrender, than I will have accomplished something

Do you speak Russian?

That would help.

What does your family think?

Maybe you should just do humanitarian work in Poland?
 
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