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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

Do you think the neocons assumed he was bluffing about Ukraine membership in NATO being a ‘red line’, or did they intend to provoke the previously declared (and broadly understood) response?
He’s getting that thick “red line” good and hard right now.
 
"The M270A1 &A2 variants are both capable of utilizing all currently fielded MLRS variants, and the #ATACMS. This includes the Guided MLRS with a maximum range of 84 km. The A2 variant will also be capable of firing the 150 km Extended Range #GMLRS which will be fielded next year."
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This slide takes me back to my Field Artillery School days. Even the logos in the upper corners are straight out the school house powerpoint slide deck.
 
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I have read there are special operators present in Ukraine including Brits and I think US, playing point guard making sure the incoming weapons get distributed out to where they should be. If not, they are surely next door in Poland doing something similar.
I assume all US personnel are in Poland and Romania. However, I assume that there are a lot of former US personnel in Ukraine working for contractors who are closely aligned with DoD.
 
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So these would replace the older similar weapons given Ukraine. (Because Germany is afraid.)
 
Do you think the neocons assumed he was bluffing about Ukraine membership in NATO being a ‘red line’, or did they intend to provoke the previously declared (and broadly understood) response?
Yes, they knew it wasn't a bluff. Not only that, it could have been easily avoided, starting with the negotiations in December. The US ambassador hand delivered a letter across the street to the Kremlin rejecting all Russian concerns.
 
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Yes, they knew it wasn't a bluff. Not only that, it could have been easily avoided, starting with the negotiations in December. The US ambassador hand delivered a letter across the street to the Kremlin rejecting all Russian concerns.
All after Russia attacked and annexed parts of Ukraine in 2014. No wonder they wanted to get accepted into NATO someday.

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_37750.htm
 
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All after Russia attacked and annexed parts of Ukraine in 2014. No wonder they wanted to get accepted into NATO someday.

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_37750.htm
Crimea wanted to be a part of Russia or independent after the coup ousting the pro-Russian president in 2014. Crimea supported the pro-Russian president that was ousted (since they are pro-Russian and mostly Russians live there) and they wanted to be allied with Russia. Basically, eastern Ukraine is strongly pro-Russian and western Ukraine pro-EU and a civil war emerged after the coup.
 
Crimea wanted to be a part of Russia or independent after the coup ousting the pro-Russian president in 2014. Crimea supported the pro-Russian president that was ousted (since they are pro-Russian and mostly Russians live there) and they wanted to be allied with Russia. Basically, eastern Ukraine is strongly pro-Russian and western Ukraine pro-EU and a civil war emerged after the coup.
Eastern Ukraine is strongly pro-Russian? Putin has an odd way of reminding it of his love.
 
Crimea wanted to be a part of Russia or independent after the coup ousting the pro-Russian president in 2014. Crimea supported the pro-Russian president that was ousted (since they are pro-Russian and mostly Russians live there) and they wanted to be allied with Russia. Basically, eastern Ukraine is strongly pro-Russian and western Ukraine pro-EU and a civil war emerged after the coup.
Not a civil war-Russia interfering and creating conflict to support their interests.

And a vote conducted in occupied Crimea, really?


"Things moved quickly. By early March, Russian troops had secured the entire peninsula. On March 6, the Crimean Supreme Council voted to ask to accede to Russia. The council scheduled a referendum for March 16, which offered two choices: join Russia or return to Crimea’s 1992 constitution, which gave the peninsula significant autonomy. Those who favored Crimea remaining part of Ukraine under the current constitution had no box to check.

The conduct of the referendum proved chaotic and took place absent any credible international observers. Local authorities reported a turnout of 83 percent, with 96.7 percent voting to join Russia. The numbers seemed implausible, given that ethnic Ukrainians and Crimean Tatars accounted for almost 40 percent of the peninsula’s population. (Two months later, a leaked report from the Russian president’s Human Rights Council put turnout at only 30 percent, with about half of those voting to join Russia.)"
 
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