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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...


  • For months, important facilities across Russia have been hit by mysterious fires and explosions.
  • The incidents have little obvious explanation but seem to have affected a narrow set of targets.
  • Some may be the work of Russians opposed to Putin; others show signs of military special operations.
 
The U.S. and Ukraine have built a relationship that should be cherished for decades.
There was a link a page or two ago to a story where a female Ukrainian soldier is on a goodwill tour. She is presenting members of congress and media with coins with an American flag engraved into them, made out of melted Russian armor destroyed in the kharkiv counteroffensive. Brilliant marketing. Beautiful symbolism. I’m not saying they are insincere but they play an impeccable PR game. Slava Ukraine.
 
Replying to myself - that would bring our aid so far to to about $30B, which is 5 - 6 times their annual defense budget. Just proud and happy we have the wherewithal to help see this through. And if need be, if we train them up, there is probably 100s of billions of dollars of additional and WAY better equipment we can “loan” them.
 
I think the Ukrainian defense minister said that if Ukraine was given 500 tanks, 1000 armored IFV/SPG, and aircraft, they could retake all of their territory in a month. Biden/Scholz etc keep saying that would be "escalatory." Well, "escalatory" is exactly what you call this referendum/annexation bs.

So I say fly over 10,000 Ukrainians for 3 months training, pull up to 2000 older generation Abrams, Bradleys, LAV-25s, Stryker, M109s, etc. out of Sierra Army Depot where they are kept in working order. Get logistic supply lines and maintenance bases in Poland set up using US contractors to assist and train additional Ukrainians. If they rush it, the Ukrainians could be set for major winter offenses come January when the ground is rock hard and perfect for heavy armor. The miserable, half frozen, untrained, under equipped Russian defenders wouldn't even put up a fight.
 
I think the Ukrainian defense minister said that if Ukraine was given 500 tanks, 1000 armored IFV/SPG, and aircraft, they could retake all of their territory in a month. Biden/Scholz etc keep saying that would be "escalatory." Well, "escalatory" is exactly what you call this referendum/annexation bs.

So I say fly over 10,000 Ukrainians for 3 months training, pull up to 2000 older generation Abrams, Bradleys, LAV-25s, Stryker, M109s, etc. out of Sierra Army Depot where they are kept in working order. Get logistic supply lines and maintenance bases in Poland set up using US contractors to assist and train additional Ukrainians. If they rush it, the Ukrainians could be set for major winter offenses come January when the ground is rock hard and perfect for heavy armor. The miserable, half frozen, untrained, under equipped Russian defenders wouldn't even put up a fight.
Some form of that is probably happening - at least some transfer of knowledge regarding our weapons to prep for transfer of weapons…
 
"Andriana Arekhta, a junior sergeant with the Ukrainian Armed Forces, said the drones flew from Crimea to attack her special forces unit fighting near the southern city of Kherson. The drones evaded the soldiers’ defenses and dropped bombs on their position, destroying two tanks with their crews inside."

Ukrainian struggles against Iranian drones, lack of armor
 
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"Swedish maritime authorities have warned of two leaks on Russia’s Nord Stream 1 natural gas pipeline in Swedish and Danish territories, Reuters reports.

The leaks, located northeast of Danish island Bornholm, were reported shortly after another report of an overnight gas leak from the non-operational Nord Stream 2 pipeline.

The news comes as European and UK gas futures were up over 4% on Tuesday morning after slumping as much as 15% on Monday as reports of Europe filling its gas storage ahead of schedule."

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/s...ter-damage-found-on-nord-stream-2-11664270299
 
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May be propaganda (cameraman seems to know who will speak next but maybe the camera moves when the other one begins to speak).

If those are east Ukraine DPR idiots being used as target practice, incredible neither can say “we made a mistake, Russia sucks” vs “we will see what’s next”. Further proof of how hard it is for people in a cult / nationalistic propaganda system to admit they were duped.
 
"France, under the aegis of the EU (EUFM mission), will train soldiers in Poland and Slovakia Spain will also train in Zaragoza More than 150 gunners have been trained in France on CAESAR self-propelled guns.
Cobelligerence is a reality"

 
Sweden’s government held a crisis management meeting with other public authorities over the damage to the Nord Stream pipeline system, Swedish daily newspaper Aftonbaldet said, citing comments from Foreign Minister Ann Linde.

Linde said Sweden may discuss the pipeline damage with Denmark later today.

Denmark is tightening security around all energy assets as some European officials speculate the NS pipeline system was sabotaged.

The plot thickens about what caused damage to three lines of the Nord Stream gas-pipeline system under the Baltic Sea to Europe as some European officials now suspect sabotage.

Nord Stream AG, the operator of the NS pipeline system, published a statement Tuesday that read, "the destruction that happened within one day at three lines of the Nord Stream pipeline system is unprecedented ... and impossible now to estimate the timeframe for restoring operations of the gas shipment infrastructure."

On Monday, NS2 gas pipeline and two NS1 lines reported rapid pressure drops, with gas leaks reported by Swedish and Danish authorities in the Baltic Sea near the exclusive economic zone southeast of Bornholm island.



A more in-depth view of the incident area.



Pressure drops in the NS gas-pipeline system could be the biggest signal that flows via NS1 might not resume this winter. Germany and surrounding countries are investigating the incident. NS2 cannot impact flows to the EU because the controversial idled conduit was never operational after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz canceled it after Russia invaded Ukraine earlier this year.

Klaus Mueller, the president of the German energy network regulator, tweeted that the market situation remains "tense," but Germany and the EU are no longer dependent on NS supplies.

Nord Stream AG issued an outage message that is active until Oct. 26, while the German economy ministry said it's investigating the incident.

Dutch front-month gas, the European benchmark, was up nearly 10% at 190.50 euros per megawatt-hour on Tuesday morning.



The simultaneous pressure drop of the NS lines suggests some market participants may watch for any indication of sabotage.

Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said it was hard to imagine NS gas leaks were caused by a "coincidence."

Frederiksen didn't rule out sabotage, though she said it was too early to draw any conclusions, according to Reuters, quoting public broadcaster DR during a visit to Poland.

A German security official told Bloomberg that NS damage appears to be the result of "sabotage."

The evidence points to a violent act, rather than a technical issue, according to a German security official, who asked not to be identified because the matter is being probed. -Bloomberg
German daily newspaper Tagesspiegel reported that "the Nord Stream pipelines may have been damaged by targeted attacks and leaked as a result."

A source close to the government, quoted in the newspaper, said, "everything speaks against a coincidence."

"We cannot imagine a scenario that is not a targeted attack," the source said.
Die Welt, another German newspaper, reported the timing of the NS damage may suggest sabotage and was unlikely to be an accident.

Reporters asked Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov if the NS system's pressure drop could be due to sabotage. He responded: "It is impossible to exclude any options."

There appears to be no immediate end to the gas leak from NS pipelines, according to the Danish national daily newspaper Berlingske, which quoted Danish Energy Authority.

The energy authority said, "a lot of gas is coming out, so it is not a small crack, it's a really big hole. Nord Stream leaks can be a deliberate act, but it can also be something else, it's just extremely rare that something like this happens."
 
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Russian blogger point of view but appears to know what he is talking about (to this amateur).



Also now this perhaps based on same info
 
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