I'm making a big mistake jumping in here, but . . . .don't "wrong Cael would never win" and "confident he would have won" mean the same thing?
Hmmm. I don't think so. It comes down to varying levels of confidence, such as:
"I am confident Cael would have won a title at ISU" vs. "Cael may have won while at ISU" and comapred with:
"Cael would never have won at ISU" vs. "I saw no evidence that Cael would have won at ISU."
Maybe they do mean the same, but I don't think so. Multiple posters in this thread have now said that he would have. Most of us have no idea whether he would have, but we look to evidence (hindsight) to make a guess. My point has always been to find out what evidence those posters used to make their claim.
We all know what they actually base it on - his tenure at PSU. It just surprises me, because those all appear to be PSU posters who I'd think would be very proud that PSU got him over the hump.