On Tuesday, voters rewarded one of these parties and punished the other. What should Democrats learn from that outcome? One simple thing:
Do not expend political capital trying to protect voters from Trump.
Americans listened to everything Trump said over the last two years. They heard him talk about abandoning Ukraine, imposing massive tariffs, putting RFK Jr. in charge of healthcare policy, and rounding up millions of immigrants and either deporting them or putting them into camps.
A majority of voters affirmatively chose those policies.
So let Trump implement them. Let’s walk through what that would mean, one policy at a time.
2. The Hot Stove
Ukraine. President Trump is likely to abandon Ukraine to Russia. Democrats should not attempt to stop him.
Pulling back American support of Ukraine will have a number of bad outcomes.
- It will reward Putin’s aggression, endangering the Baltic states and Eastern Europe.
- It will strain NATO; or perhaps even break it.
- All of which will spook global markets.
- If NATO fractures, Europe will re-arm overnight and Germany would become a nuclear state.1
- It will signal to China that they have a free hand with Taiwan. Which would also cause a massive disruption to the global economy.
And—not that American voters care about this—it would also mean the death or enslavement of large numbers of Ukrainians.
Because they are silly, the great and good American people have asked for these outcomes. Democrats should not get in the way of them. If Republicans like Lindsey Graham, Mitch McConnell, and Mike Johnson want to fight Trump over Ukraine, they can have at it. But they should do so with zero Democratic support.
Democrats should sit on the sidelines and point out all of the dangers. When things go sideways in Europe they should relentlessly highlight the bad outcomes and heap blame on Trump. They should score an endless number of political points and use the chaos and bloodshed in Ukraine to damage Trump politically.
But
under no circumstances should they extend themselves politically to stop Trump from doing what he promised to do.
Tariffs. President Trump has promised to impose a massive tariff regime. The result will be rising prices for consumers. Rather than trying to stop it, Democrats should welcome this development.
The only way in which Democrats should fight back against tariffs is by exposing the crony capitalist loopholes Trump carves out for his allies. Democrats should relentlessly highlight the ways in which Trump uses his tariff scheme to help his billionaire friends and they should never shut up about the prices of
everything.
But they should not attempt to stop the imposition of the tariffs themselves.
RFK and the vaccines. If President Trump attempts to appoint RFK Jr. to some administrative position from which he can harm America’s health, Democrats should let him.
RFK Jr. wants to take fluoride out of the water? Fine. Democratic governors can stand up programs to get fluoride supplements into the hands of their constituents.
RFK Jr. wants to do away with vaccine mandates? Okay. Democratic governors can support state and local mandates for childhood vaccinations and can run campaigns to encourage their constituents to protect themselves with free vaccinations.
But if Cletus in Alabama wants to abandon polio and MMR vaccines? Let him. No more saving people from themselves.
And then, when dangerous childhood diseases reappear, Democrats can demonize both Republicans and the slack-jawed yokels who made it possible.
Will some innocent people die as a result? Perhaps. But elections have consequences. And Americans have demonstrated, over and over, that they don’t give a political party any credit for preventing harms.
Deportations. It’s unclear exactly how serious Trump is about his deportation promises. Is he really going to round up 15 million immigrants and deport them?
No. This is like promising to build a wall that Mexico pays for.
But he may try to arrest some thousands of immigrants and either deport them or warehouse them in camps.
Democrats should not try to stop him.
Here is the
Atlanta Journal-Constitution’s Lautaro Grinspan
reporting from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s Atlanta headquarters on the day after the election. I’m going to quote from it extensively.
In a tweet about his piece,
Grinspan added:
I mean, possibly? But also: Possibly not.