But Sheets was also in deep on the winning takedown late in the 3rd against PK just 3 weeks ago. Common opponents being worthy of dismissal in a lot of cases but Caliendo smoked him with 8 takedowns two weeks later. I would take Facundos chances against Kennedy way before Caliendo when looking at if he got an ideal draw. Kennedy and Caliendo having very similar styles and body types as well.
Bracket release discussion
- Thread starter jmadden1998
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But Sheets was also in deep on the winning takedown late in the 3rd against PK just 3 weeks ago. Common opponents being worthy of dismissal in a lot of cases but Caliendo smoked him with 8 takedowns two weeks later. I would take Facundos chances against Kennedy way before Caliendo when looking at if he got an ideal draw. Kennedy and Caliendo having very similar styles and body types as well.
That wasn't Kennedy's best match to say the least. Sheets also has losses to Nijenhuis (x2), Moody, Baylor Fernandes, Ogunsanya, and both Minnesota 165s Carlson and Sparks.
He has the path for it though at least on the front side.
So you think Facundo will beat the unimpressive Ramirez, but lose to Monday. This, despite the fact that Ramirez beat Monday the two times they met this year.
Strange logic.
I consider Monday the better wrestler for sure, but I haven't seen either of those matches, so I don't know what happened there. I haven't been really impressed with what I have seen of Ramirez.
I have that result as well, though I don't think Ramirez is unimpressive. I think Monday is a tougher style match up for Facundo. Wouldn't be surprised to see Ramirez in the semis though.
Grey has been amazing for Ramirez. Talented kid physically. Looks like he's putting it together mentally.
Ramirez, Foca, and Cardenas all came in together, and they are all now hitting their stride (seeds 4, 4, and 10). They technically have two more years of eligibility (but they'd have to sit out one or two semesters so as to not graduate). They could also graduate and take a year elsewhere as Brucki did between Princeton and Michigan).
No way they're leaving. And yeah. They really should win a trophy this year. I think they come home with 6 AAs.
I don't know why I'm thinking this, but at the end of the day I still think O'Toole will be bringing home the championship at 165. I think he's going to get it all figured out and come to play at NCAAs...
It’s possible. Personally I will never pick against Carr, but in reality, I consider Carr, Hamiti, and O’Toole all to be national champion caliber wrestlers who all just happen to be in the same weight class.
McGonagal is out at 133. Which means we get a teske Byrd first round now
I liked our chances against Phillipi more than Byrd
I agree with this. Phillippi is a 7th year senior. Those guys generally haven't done that well in the 7th year.
Edit: He should get his shot at Phillippi anyway. If Teske loses to Byrd then beats Connor Brown, he'll get the loser of the Phillippi-Nagao match in the next round of consis.
He's going to beat Byrd and come out the front side.
Wouldn't it be Murin vs Abas round 2??
Yes. He probably mistyped R1 instead of R2. Max now gets Caleb Tyus from Southern Illinois Edwardsville in the first round instead of Burgos from Edinboro.
Yes, that would be the projected Thursday night match. Winner to the 1/4s and a likely matchup with Yanni
If Max is now the 7, would he not get Sasso in 1/4's?
Millner was the 9. Max's seed does not change. Abas moves up from 10 to be his r2 match. Swapped one guy who beat him in the r12 for another.
#9 seed Millner is who dropped out, so top 8 seeds don't change. Max is still the 8
Well good news for you. Teske will more than likely be facing Phillipi 2nd round of wrestlebacks
Style wise you're probably right but it is highly unlikely he wins either way.
The 8th seed can be extremely difficult to AA from. If the #8 loses in the second round this wrestler could see #1 if he is upset in the 2nd round, #7 if he loses round 1.
If #8 makes the blood round from the consy bracket, that opponent most likely gets the loser of 3&6 in the blood round.
If you get to the QF as # 8 and lose you should get 11 seed, unless 11 beats 6, then you get #6.
If #8 makes the blood round from the consy bracket, that opponent most likely gets the loser of 3&6 in the blood round.
If you get to the QF as # 8 and lose you should get 11 seed, unless 11 beats 6, then you get #6.
Last year only 4 AA'd. More 10's (7) and 11's (5) AA'd then 8's.
If you're seeded in the top 8, here are the lowest seeds you need to beat in order to AA:
As a #1 seed, you need to beat #8 (in QFs) OR #11 (in R12)
As a #2 seed, you need to beat #7 (in QFs) OR #12 (in R12)
As a #3 seed, you need to beat #6 (in QFs) OR #9 (in R12)
As a #4 seed, you need to beat #5 (in QF) OR #10 (in R12)
As a #5 seed, you need to beat #12 (in R16) OR #10 (in R12)
As a #6 seed, you need to beat #11 (in R16) AND #9 (in R12)
As a #7 seed, you need to beat #10 (in R16) AND #12 (in R12)
As a #8 seed, you need to beat #9 (in R16) AND #11 (in R12)
#9 seed is essentially the same as #8
#5 & 7 seeds are identical in the seeds they need to beat, but #5 presumably has a better shot at making the semis (by beating #4 vs #2).
Ditto #6 and 8/9.
As a #1 seed, you need to beat #8 (in QFs) OR #11 (in R12)
As a #2 seed, you need to beat #7 (in QFs) OR #12 (in R12)
As a #3 seed, you need to beat #6 (in QFs) OR #9 (in R12)
As a #4 seed, you need to beat #5 (in QF) OR #10 (in R12)
As a #5 seed, you need to beat #12 (in R16) OR #10 (in R12)
As a #6 seed, you need to beat #11 (in R16) AND #9 (in R12)
As a #7 seed, you need to beat #10 (in R16) AND #12 (in R12)
As a #8 seed, you need to beat #9 (in R16) AND #11 (in R12)
#9 seed is essentially the same as #8
#5 & 7 seeds are identical in the seeds they need to beat, but #5 presumably has a better shot at making the semis (by beating #4 vs #2).
Ditto #6 and 8/9.
AA by seed over the last 4 tournaments ('18, '19' 21, '22)
| Seed | Total | AA | % AA |
| 1 | 40 | 39 | 97.5% |
| 2 | 40 | 36 | 90.0% |
| 3 | 40 | 37 | 92.5% |
| 4 | 40 | 33 | 82.5% |
| 5 | 40 | 28 | 70.0% |
| 6 | 40 | 24 | 60.0% |
| 7 | 40 | 19 | 47.5% |
| 8 | 40 | 22 | 55.0% |
| 9 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% |
| 10 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% |
| 11 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% |
| 12 | 40 | 4 | 10.0% |
| 13 | 40 | 4 | 10.0% |
| 14 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% |
| 15 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% |
| 16 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% |
| >=17 | 680 | 18 | 2.6% |
All of that presumes a 1-6 (or more) seed in your bracket doesn't get bounced to the consis in your weight.
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I like Murin's draw a lot more with Abas at the 9 vs. Milner.
Also makes SVN's draw a lot tougher with Paniro Johnson 2nd rd.
Also makes SVN's draw a lot tougher with Paniro Johnson 2nd rd.
Did it? Henson is a 4, Johnson a 5. They both have a signature win over the B1G elite (Johnson over Gomez, Henson over Sasso) and close losses against Yianni. Both (all three) are freshmen facing the pressure of NCAAs for the first time. Losing in the 2nd round against either one sets up a road block for either 12 or 13 having to face Yahya Thomas in the blood round. To stay on the top side, SVN has to beat Paniro then Henson instead of Henson then Paniro. This has very little effect on SVN's draw.
Well…yeah…but that doesn’t usually happen. And a major upset is going to throw a bracket off no matter the seed.
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