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Carl Davis: Iowa wins B1G Championship & CFP Berth; Marvin McNutt: Iowa is a 10 or 11 win team

Check out how preseason ranked Iowa teams ended up doing;

Well, if you look at the schedules for those seasons, 2004 and 2009 had arguably much tougher schedules compared to the other years. What that tells us is that the schedule is worthless in predicting Iowa's record -- the w-l record depends more on one coin flip kind of thing going our way in close games than anything else.
 
7-5 would be disappointing... but not surprising. Tough schedule. Lose to ISU, and 4 in the B1G

Not hard to imagine. I think the performance in (l)ames will tell alot.
 
Well, if you look at the schedules for those seasons, 2004 and 2009 had arguably much tougher schedules compared to the other years. What that tells us is that the schedule is worthless in predicting Iowa's record -- the w-l record depends more on one coin flip kind of thing going our way in close games than anything else.
2009 took several years off Hawkeye fans' lives

;)
 
I don't see the situation as talent deficiency. To me, the program is set up to be 7-5 or 8-4 annually. We consistently have more talent than 6 opponents. We go 6-0 or 5-1 against them. The talent level is close in the other 6 games with us having maybe a little more than 4 and a little less than 2. Since our offense virtually never asserts itself, games are won by:
1) our defense creating a TO or mistake or
2) opposing offense scoring late against our tired defense or
3) opposing defense overwhelming our offense

2 of those 3 things are bad so left to percentages, we will go 2-4 in those games.

The only way to get out of that rut is to significantly upgrade our offense
and we continue not to do that.

It's interesting, that after only 3 years with their coach, virtually everyone thinks ISU will be a tough game and many think they will be favored. How can that be? We've had 17 more years to establish recruiting connections, and establish staff stability. There is no comparison in talent based on
annual draft choices, both past and anticipated. So why are they now our equal or maybe even superior? The answer is quite obvious.

Because they're not.
 
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7-5 would be disappointing... but not surprising. Tough schedule. Lose to ISU, and 4 in the B1G

Not hard to imagine. I think the performance in (l)ames will tell alot.
ISU game is pretty much the indicator of good or average/poor Iowa teams.

Only two teams in the KF era have defied that rule...........
 
7 B1G teams make up the initial ESPN Power Rankings.

Iowa is the highest ranked B1G West team.

Iowa plays 5 of the Top 25; 4 of those games ARE ON THE ROAD.


No. 1 Clemson

No. 2 Alabama

No. 3 Georgia

No. 4 Oklahoma

No. 5
Ohio State
i

New coach Ryan Day would probably prefer to have an established quarterback room rather than breaking in transfers Justin Fields and Gunnar Hoak, but Fields is a former No. 1-ranked recruit and fits well within the system. Despite losing quite a bit at quarterback and receiver, Ohio State should return enough to propel the Buckeyes to success this season. The defense should be a strength, returning most of the top performers, and despite losing Urban Meyer, the continuity with the rest of the staff and the additions Day has made should equate to a smooth transition. -- Tom VanHaaren

No. 6 Michigan
i


The Wolverines are sitting directly behind Ohio State in the power rankings, and Jim Harbaugh and his staff need to get past the Buckeyes this season to propel the program toward its lofty expectations. Everything is set up for Michigan to have a big run, with continuity at quarterback with Shea Patterson returning, an experienced offensive line and a new offensive coordinator to modernize the offense. Don Brown's defense will have some big pieces to replace, but Brown has proven his ability to produce a top defense season after season. -- VanHaaren


No. 15 Penn State
i

This will be an interesting season for the Nittany Lions, who are now without quarterback Trace McSorley and running back Miles Sanders. Luckily for Penn State, the defense is stout, and returning leading tackler Micah Parsons is primed to take a step forward in his sophomore season. If the offense can find playmakers, this could be a sneaky team to watch. -- VanHaaren


No. 18 Iowa
i

The Hawkeyes are going to have to replace a lot on defense, but junior defensive end A.J. Epenesa is back and looking to improve upon his outstanding 2018 season in which he had 10.5 sacks. The offense is losing tight ends Noah Fant and T.J. Hockenson but returning quarterback Nate Stanley. There are enough big pieces on both sides that Iowa should be able to put together a very good season and compete for a shot at representing the West in the Big Ten Championship game. -- VanHaaren

No. 19 Nebraska
i

Nebraska's 2018 season started off extremely shaky under new coach Scott Frost, but almost midway through the season, the team started to click. The Huskers won four of their last six games and went back and forth with Ohio State before losing 36-31. They showed a lot of improvement, and Frost is hoping that continues with sophomore quarterback Adrian Martinez running the offense. The offense should be better given the extra time in this system, so Nebraska could make some noise in the conference and nationally if they can build off the end of last season. -- VanHaaren


No. 22 Wisconsin
i

The Badgers had a somewhat odd season in 2018, finishing 8-5 overall. The defense ranked 54th in rush yards allowed per game, and the offense ranked 118th in passing yards per game. Starting quarterback Alex Hornibrook decided to transfer after freshman Graham Mertz made his way to campus, and Mertz is battling with Jack Coan, Chase Wolf and Danny Vanden Boom. Running back Jonathan Taylor returns, which should help the new quarterback, and the defense should be able to bounce back after both sides saw injuries that hampered performance. -- VanHaaren


No. 24 Michigan State
i

Quarterback Brian Lewerke dealt with an injury last season that severely hampered the Spartans' offense. Michigan State finished 115th in total yards per game on offense and continually relied on its defense to keep the team in games. The defense returns leaders Joe Bachie and Kenny Willekes, and Lewerke is seemingly healthy. If Michigan State can keep Lewerke upright and productive, they should be able to improve on the 7-6 record from last season. -- VanHaaren

No. 25 Iowa State
i

The Cyclones' preseason media forecast, third in the Big 12 behind Oklahoma and Texas, certainly raised eyebrows for a team that last won a conference title in 1912. But a closer study of Matt Campbell's roster justifies the prediction. Iowa State should have the league's best defense, boasting stars at all three levels (linemen JaQuan Bailey and Ray Lima, linebacker Marcel Spears Jr., safety Greg Eisworth). Sophomore quarterback Brock Purdy has an extremely high ceiling. ISU's camp priority will be replacing do-it-all running back David Montgomery -- at least four players are in the mix -- and big-play receiver Hakeem Butler. A very talented tight end group should be featured more in the passing game. -- Rittenberg

LINK to FULL Rankings: https://www.espn.com/college-footba...power-rankings-anyone-stop-alabama-vs-clemson
 
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USA TODAY's Big Ten preseason power rankings: Can Iowa Hawkeyes challenge at the top?

Paul Myerberg, USA TODAY
Published 9:31 a.m. CT Aug. 7, 2019

To get ready for the upcoming season, USA TODAY Sports is ranking each of the Power Five leagues from its best team through its worst. Up next: the Big Ten Conference.

The rivalry between Michigan and Ohio State lost one of its central players in Urban Meyer but figures to remain as meaningful a regular-season game to be found across the Bowl Subdivision. As of the summer, the finale promises to be a winner-take-all matchup with seismic postseason implications.

That’s if Michigan State doesn’t upset expectations with its every-odd-year rise into New Year’s Six bowl contention. (The Spartans are 46-8 in odd years and 39-25 in even years this decade.) Parity reigns in the West, where every team but Illinois can make a realistic preseason claim for a shot at the conference title.

(Each team is followed by projected regular-season record. Number in parenthesis represents the team’s place in USA TODAY Sports’ summer rankings of the Bowl Subdivision.)

1. Michigan: 11-1 (No. 4)

Here are the ingredients for a Big Ten championship and College Football Playoff berth: Michigan has a senior quarterback, an updated offense, a motivated and talented defense and games at home against Notre Dame, Michigan State and Ohio State. Now it is up to the Wolverines to go out and win their first Big Ten title since 2004.

2. Ohio State: 10-2 (No. 7)

Picking the Buckeyes to finish second in the East seems strange, not to mention potentially inaccurate, but Michigan’s offseason improvements, the unknown commodity of new head coach Ryan Day and no clear answer at quarterback knocks OSU down one peg. That said, there's plenty of talent make the season finale unforgettable.

LOOKING AHEAD: Outlooks for the Top 25 teams in the preseason poll

BIG DECISIONS: The 10 biggest quarterback competitions in college football

POWER RANKING: Clemson has no competition for No. 1 in the ACC

3. Michigan State: 9-3 (No. 19)

The defense seems vintage, quarterback Brian Lewerke is set for a rebound season after being plagued by injury and the offensive line has the bones of a fantastic group. But getting both the Wolverines and Buckeyes on the road is a concern for the Spartans.


4. Iowa: 8-4 (No. 21)

Senior quarterback Nate Stanley, an experienced crop of running backs and a strong defensive back seven outweigh the daunting hole at tight end and the need for multiple defensive linemen to step up and join likely All-America pick A.J. Epenesa.

|| Read the Register's Big Ten predictions here ||

5. Nebraska: 9-3 (No. 23)

This is a program back on the rise with a quarterback, Adrian Martinez, set to begin an inevitable charge toward prime Heisman Trophy consideration. Pegging the Cornhuskers to leap from back-to-back four-win seasons into New Year’s Six contention seems premature — even if coach Scott Frost has done it before.

6. Penn State: 8-4 (No. 28)

There simply aren’t enough wins in the East to go around for Penn State, which has the talent and coaching to stick in the Top 25 but is not as solidly constructed as the division’s top three. A lot will depend on how sophomore quarterback Sean Clifford handles his role as the starter after Trace McSorley's departure.

7. Wisconsin: 8-4 (No. 34)

The presence of All-America running back Jonathan Taylor should keep the running game humming even as the team retools on the offensive line. That will be enough to keep the Badgers in contention despite a very difficult conference schedule and the increasing likelihood that Paul Chryst goes with a true freshman at quarterback.

8. Minnesota: 8-4 (No. 36)

With 16 returning starters and realistic hopes for carrying over last year’s midseason improvement on defense, the Golden Gophers must be taken seriously as an option to win the West. An injury to Zack Annexstad puts he quarterback job in the hands of Tanner Morgan with no experience behind him.

9. Northwestern: 6-6 (No. 50)

Pat Fitzgerald’s team draws Stanford in the opener, gets Ohio State and Michigan State from the East and plays Wisconsin and Nebraska on the road, leaving little room for error as the Wildcats aim to once again exceed preseason expectations after reaching the conference title game in 2018.

10. Purdue: 6-6 (No. 72)

Wide receiver Rondale Moore is worth the price of admission but the sophomore can’t do it alone, as an underclassmen-heavy roster and concerns on defense should have the Boilermakers scratching and clawing to claim bowl eligibility. If quarterback Elijah Sindelar can stay healthy, the offense looks to be good enough to get the job done.

11. Indiana: 6-6 (No. 83)

Indiana will struggle against the league’s elite, as expected, but the Hoosiers’ increased depth nearly across the board, very solid offensive backfield and options at quarterback will lead to a return to bowl play after a two-year absence.

12. Maryland: 4-8 (No. 102)

New coach Mike Locksley’s recruiting prowess is already paying dividends and will eventually lead Maryland to bolster its depth chart. Unfortunately, it won’t help the Terrapins navigate a bruising 2019 schedule while adapting to new offensive and defensive schemes.

13. Illinois: 3-9 (No. 111)

If you squint and look closely you might be able to identify Illinois’ general plan under Lovie Smith — to win a few recruiting battles at skill positions and then load up on top-rated transfers — but even last season’s subtle improvement did little to alter the perception that the Illini are a sinking ship.

14. Rutgers: 2-10 (No. 116)

Outside of unreasonable optimism, there’s no rationale for budging the Scarlet Knights out of a place at or near the bottom of the Big Ten, let alone the entire Power Five.
 
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