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HOLY S%$T!! Harris 47 Trump 44, Final Selzer IOWA POLL!

Emerson has Trump up 9 in Iowa. I know nothing about Emerson, but they have Kamala up in Nevada in a poll from yesterday.

Also Rasmussen with Harris up in Michigan is a good sign.

 
The Harris campaign has been running as many or more ads than Trump in the Cedar Rapids media market where I live, which has really surprised me in a supposedly non-competitive state. I had thought they had been doing that just to help Bohannon in the House race but who knows, maybe they knew something?
I’m pretty sure those are just ads trying to hit the southwest corner of Wisconsin that are in the coverage area. but smart strategy, as north east Iowa is the one biggest swing area that has flipped the state between Gore, W, Obama and Trump.
 
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Emerson has Trump up 9 in Iowa. I know nothing about Emerson, but they have Kamala up in Nevada in a poll from yesterday.

The Emerson poll would be a perfect representation of what everybody thinks is the state of play in Iowa, in 2020 everyone else was showing a tight race, than Selzer showed Trump with a big lead close to the final result.

Oh I so so hope Selzer is right again and the other pollsters modeled everything wrong!
 
Emerson has Trump up 9 in Iowa. I know nothing about Emerson, but they have Kamala up in Nevada in a poll from yesterday.

Also Rasmussen with Harris up in Michigan is a good sign.

 

Okay, but this person has 250 followers. I watch enough football and this happens way too much.

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It's apparent that there is much excitement for this poll. Is this poll more special than others in Iowa?
 
Well, there’s no guarantees Iowa goes to Harris, but it is hilarious this poll came out. 😂

Any reason to get hope is good, but Im not celebrating before the fat lady sings.

I’d like to think that any of his fans watching him jerking off a microphone last night maybe had a moment of self reflection. Not counting on it, but as this poll shows, there is hope.


What? Serious? Step into the real world away from the news for 1 day.....
 
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When Selzer is way off from the other polls she is almost always the one that has it right. She's famous at this point for it.
Ha, so she thinks like I do despite "Trump's momentum," Harris is going to win... Yeah I know this is only an Iowa poll.
 
Any reason to get hope is good, but Im not celebrating before the fat lady sings.




What? Serious? Step into the real world away from the news for 1 day.....
What do you mean news? Do you imagine me having CNN or MSNBC on my Telly 24/7?

I just watched Trump jokingly stroking and pretending to give a bj to a microphone. Not on CNN nor NBC nor any major “news” outlet.

What exactly do you m
 
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I’ll be curious to see what they say about the House races. I think it’s a red sweep. This is an anti Trump vote.
Haven’t seen polls for the house races, but central Iowa has been getting hammered with Baccam/Nunn ad wars, and have also seen 3M/Bohannon ads as well. If nothing else, I expect close races there. I was frankly shocked 3M won reelection in ‘22 after only winning by single digits in ‘20.
Because of polarization, if the national polls have under repped Harris's support by even a a few points nationally the Dems chances of taking the House go well over 90%, it won't be close.
My expectation has been that Dems would take back the House, but GOP takes back the senate. If nothing else, there are about a dozen races in NY/CA Dems stood excellent chances of winning back.
 
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