Got a mixed bag here so no one will be happy. However, at the end of the day what matters most is, are we moving in the right direction?
TLDR; Yes, we are moving in the right direction & there are positive signs to show for it. However, Jan made it more painful than it needed to be, imho.
Got to thinking after hearing Jan's Hawk Talk about she'd rather play fast than slow so I started looking back & adding up the puzzle pieces but they don't add up in my book. Meaning Jan errored on the wrong side of her business model from the start.
One can see why it's was possible for Jan to select AOG at 5 over Hannah as she has made a lot of progress over last year. Jan took a gamble with this added progress that it could maybe translate into B1G play as well. This is where Jan made a miscalculation, imho, because it was Hannah's progress that was the key insight to look at here, not AOG. It's going to be hard for AOG in the B1G primarily coz she is so slow in other areas that it becomes a liability. +AH > AOG. Hannah's primary liability at 5 is her height, but we already have insight on how well that worked out last year (NATTY game).
This is the key. When Hannah had her injury & couldn't work on her 4 position jump shot as much as she needed in the off season it was a glaring sign that putting Hannah at the 4 was a long shot to workout. To me, Hannah's progress to stay engaged is much more valuable to the team than AOG's progress. At that point, why take a long shot over a known that worked last year? You look for known pillars or "anchors" to base your team around, not an unknown gamble at a long shot.
This was Jan's first puzzle piece to figure out. It's obvious Jan is a post nut so it also contributed to her clouded vision. She rolled the dice on AOG over Hannah at the 5. If I'm reading this right, Jan seems to have planted in her mind that she was going to try this for half a season or until Guyton emerged to see how it worked out no matter the results on the court. It's another gamble taken. She should have realized Hannah at the 4 & AOG at 5 was NOT the answer much sooner. Results showed that the team was ~regressing in pts scored with each passing game in B!G play. After the MD game, the post/lob experiment should of ended for good. Although, I would of liked it stopped sooner when TOs keep stacking up over this lob fest she was enamored with. Better yet, you just go for the fast paced half court offense from the get go coz you know that's where you're going to end up later in the season.
The next piece of the puzzle that seemed to trap Jan into a slower pace is Olsen/Guyton PG situation. Again, Jan had another unfortunate situation because of another injury. Lucy doesn't have the killer mentality & it's why she smiles a lot to cover up some of her skill & pressure deficiencies. Lucy has regressed under B1G pressure she didn't have earlier in the year. Plus, I'm sure she has added pressure of trying to fill some of CC's shoes by not disappointing fans. These things can compound quickly in a losing streak & her missed FTs seem to suggest that.
Jan says she likes to play fast. The problem is Lucy doesn't possess the skillset or the needed determination to play fast full court & Guyton was not available to take over the reigns yet because of her injury plus she had to slowly work back in over time. Meaning Jan had to make a decision to play fast or slow at the start of the season. It seems with AOG at 5 & Lucy at PG, full court slow pace won out. As the season went on into B1G play, the slower pace did not work out as Jan had hoped for. I say this because she kept on pushing this slow half court AOG button over & over again even with numerous TOs. The definition of insanity comes to mind here.
Luckily Guyton has put in her mins now & can step up to fill the role she has the moxie for with ~half a season left. I believe she just had her best game while Hannah probably had her ~best game of the season w/16 pts & 16 rebs at the 5. Believe this is what Jan is talking about when she says the team is closer to finding solutions to play better, than not, by playing faster coz the main puzzle pieces were flourishing more in this game than the prior 3-game regression.
More positives being overlooked in this loss. Believe Jan gets some credit back here & hopefully she can turn this team around now.
1) We won almost every major stat category against Nebraska, except for shooting %s. FT% was the big loser along with 3PT% & overall FG% was very close.
Out rebounded them (42-38)
More shoots (68-62)
More shoots at the free throw line (29-22)
More assists (24-20)
More steals (8-7)
Less TOs (13-16)
Shot a close overall FG% (44.1%-45.2%)
Live scores from the Nebraska and Iowa DI Women's Basketball game, including box scores, individual and team statistics and play-by-play.
www.ncaa.com
2) We only had 13 TOs & 14 TOs in prior game. It was in an area that had been our biggest problem before. That's called progress!
3) SURPRISE! SURPRISE! We may have some leadership coming yet. Guyton emerging as the team leader? Jan said this in post game interview.
Guyton only had 1 TO in 25 mins this game & ZERO last game in 17 mins. With Guyton, we have the potential to play faster full court & that's exactly what we got this game. Really thought Jan would slog away in her half court lob fest a few more games until fans are totally disgusted & seats aren't fully filled at home.
4) Jan said they would play faster when the right players are in place. At least for this game, I think playing fast with only 13 TOs is a great start to this new focus. The positive part here is Jan backed up her word by playing faster & the team is closer to solutions, imho. I believe there's some truth to this now. We shall see in the coming games how true her intentions are towards playing faster for the rest of the season.
So now Jan is playing catch up with a faster paced offense that SHOULD have been the side she errored on in the first place in the half court offense even with Lucy & AOG together at the beginning of the season. Player combos she monkeyed around with for 1/2 a season in a slow paced offense may be totally different than in a face paced one. Some players may have better 3 pt rhythm in one sys over the other. This is the point of my rant against Jan for taking the slow paced route from the start. If she liked the fast pace & knew she would go to it when Guyton came back or someone else stepped up, then she should of started with that foundation & found the best combos for it when the season started. Never giving recruits an inkling that you went against the grain on why recruits came here in the 1st place. The crowds, the fast pace. This is what will keep recruits, get new recruits here by playing faster on both sides of the court (if you can, but in the half court for sure) that fans love to see & enjoy.
Again, it's going to take sometime to bring this fast pace into a better place coz she monkeyed with lineups mostly in a slow paced half court offense. They've pissed away the preseason & 1/2 a season on a failed slow half court system that in my estimation was a serious piss-poor decision. I don't know how this thinking can keep or get people like Addie Deal with such a stale & boring piece of crap that was presented to us. Jan brought these fiery flames upon herself with these misguided calculations.
That being said, what I'm hoping for now is that Jan has learned a valuable lesson & at the same time she has made some progress in two major areas.
1) The prior major issue was TOs & they have at least gone down to a reasonable or acceptable amount for the last 2 games.
2) Jan said she likes to play fast & in this last game there was a noticeable uptick or two with that game plan.
That's called PROGRESS folks! So don't tell me she is not trying to fix things.
We need to see this progress because I'm afraid Addie Deal won't like what we've seen recently prior to Nebraska game. This game gave me hope that Jan saw the writing on the wall if she continues down the slow path. Again, I scratch my head on how she stayed with the post focus so long & thought this had any merit for recruits or fans to stay engaged with her gamble.
Now if Jan stays this course & errors on side of playing towards future starting player strengths, like she should from the very start, think we win more games this season than people are seeing right now. Can't say how many wins because Jan has some work to do to reconfigure this team for the faster pace. Will Guyton emerge as the leader? Think she does. How much will that inspire the team to dig deeper? We don't know as this is all new & a wildcard at this point.
Nebraska game was a start in the right direction which matched her intentions on Hawk Talk. She has a chance now to rekindle the fire & put positive momentum back into the mix again. If Jan stays this course, Addie Deal is more likely to stay on board with us. How it fares with 2026+ recruits is a whole different animal. Think Jan needs to pull off 1 or 2 highly ranked upsets to inspire these highly rated 2026+ recruits to keep looking at us. Upsets may or may not be in the cards for us as it depends on how much traction she can get out of her players with the faster pace before we play them. There is at least some hope now that it may be possible because most of those high ranked opponents are at home yet. I'd stay positive for now coz it seems the most important major change needed just happened in our favor. Thus, Jan is moving in the right direction as she stated she would do. I find that highly encouraging as a fan & as a recruit that her words match actions.
We still need to see more positive results from it, but I believe this gives us the best chance to see positive results than what we've seen recently prior to the Nebraska game.