I am in shorts and flips down to teens. Once the snow covers the feet, pants and boots go on.
major winter storm on Xmas eve?
- Thread starter QChawks
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Nope. However, Thursday-when the cold front arrives—we are set to go spend the night at the Marquis and float the moving river. The water is supposed to be 80, but you still have to get out of the water. It’ll be a test.
no you're not
Mrs QC grew up near MC and loves it. Personally I think it's garbage.
How your christmas lights looking? Maybe that is a good time to put them up?
Eastern Iowa would be on the far west side of heavier snowfall - the 4”-8” in Central Iowa would surprise me (ask OP’s mom about being underwhelmed with a projected amount).
Anyway, current guidance suggests Chicago/Indiana/Michigan would see the brunt of the event.
I've always liked Terry Swails site as he analyzes things very well. Take a look if you can.
Terry Swails Weather
Terry Swails Weather
Trending towards more of a chance for a big midwestern storm on this one. The ECMWF (Euro model) had been spitting it out for a while now... GFS is coming around.
Latest snow prediction from the GFS put a good swatch of Iowa under 10 or so inches of snow. (don't freak out yet... a while out still) Would look to be Friday(ish)
Look at this thing bomb out:
Latest snow prediction from the GFS put a good swatch of Iowa under 10 or so inches of snow. (don't freak out yet... a while out still) Would look to be Friday(ish)
Look at this thing bomb out:
Yeah, still far enough out that there's a lot of uncertainty about specifics. The best that can be said at the moment is someone from say Iowa over to the Great Lakes is going to get clobbered. All a matter of track and timing as usual - if it bombs out to the west, we're clobbered. If it bombs out to the east, not as bad.
However..."over 2 feet" anywhere in Iowa would put this storm into April 1973 territory and maybe worse. Even if you go half that, with the backside wind they are certain of - late week is going to suck around these parts.
Glad I got my snowblowers up and running yesterday...
Still some timing, strength differences, snowfall amounts, and
projected track questions at this point but there has been some
more agreement that a major winter storm will likely impact the
midwest including the local area during a bad time of the Thu into
Friday pre-holiday travel period.
Although the eventual snow amounts are still very variable and
ranging from just a few inches, to over 2 feet in the local area by
late Friday night (GFES mean is around a foot in the CWA), the strong
winds and incoming frigid temps look like it will be a given. Even
with lighter to moderate snow amounts, the idea will be that it
won`t matter much has the extent of high winds (possibly gusting
over 50 MPH) later Thu into Friday night will induce very
hazardous/dangerous travel impacts and near blizzard to blizzard
conditions. If the sfc low can bomb out to under 980 MB to the east
of the area Friday like the means/ensembles show, the high winds and
arctic cold surge down into the area will be on. Add def zone snows
and it`s a high impact storm. Wind chills could be solidly in the
Advisory criteria to some locations into warning realm both Friday
and Saturday if -20c to -24c H85 MB cold pool advects down through
the region on western flank of developing GRT LKS vortex. You don`t
want to be a stranded motorist in this extreme cold and white-out
conditions late Thu night into Friday night.
Monday morning QC NWS narrative
However..."over 2 feet" anywhere in Iowa would put this storm into April 1973 territory and maybe worse. Even if you go half that, with the backside wind they are certain of - late week is going to suck around these parts.
Glad I got my snowblowers up and running yesterday...
Still some timing, strength differences, snowfall amounts, and
projected track questions at this point but there has been some
more agreement that a major winter storm will likely impact the
midwest including the local area during a bad time of the Thu into
Friday pre-holiday travel period.
Although the eventual snow amounts are still very variable and
ranging from just a few inches, to over 2 feet in the local area by
late Friday night (GFES mean is around a foot in the CWA), the strong
winds and incoming frigid temps look like it will be a given. Even
with lighter to moderate snow amounts, the idea will be that it
won`t matter much has the extent of high winds (possibly gusting
over 50 MPH) later Thu into Friday night will induce very
hazardous/dangerous travel impacts and near blizzard to blizzard
conditions. If the sfc low can bomb out to under 980 MB to the east
of the area Friday like the means/ensembles show, the high winds and
arctic cold surge down into the area will be on. Add def zone snows
and it`s a high impact storm. Wind chills could be solidly in the
Advisory criteria to some locations into warning realm both Friday
and Saturday if -20c to -24c H85 MB cold pool advects down through
the region on western flank of developing GRT LKS vortex. You don`t
want to be a stranded motorist in this extreme cold and white-out
conditions late Thu night into Friday night.
Monday morning QC NWS narrative
It's looking like travel on Friday is going to be a no-go. I can handle a moderate amount of snow, but blizzard conditions is "stay at home" weather for me. Soooo, we're either going to have to try and beat the storm on Thursday (more difficult than it sounds because of appointments that can't be changed) or wait until Saturday.
I just got fresh gas the snow thrower
which means, we'll get a dusting and it won't be needed
you're welcome Quad Cities
which means, we'll get a dusting and it won't be needed
you're welcome Quad Cities
QC pizza gives me fresh gasI just got fresh gas the snow thrower
which means, we'll get a dusting and it won't be needed
you're welcome Quad Cities
Same here - heading for Florida Friday AM, may look at heading out Thursday AM to try to stay ahead of it or at least give me plenty of time to make my way down
Be prepared to leave Wednesday evening or earlier if you're serious about staying ahead of it.
Thursday, currently, looks to be out as well. The bulk of the storm may take place Thursday.
Just saw a run that starts precip in Iowa on Wednesday.
From latest DSM area forecast discussion:
forecast.weather.gov
The general guidance consensus right now suggests the first shot of kinematic and
thermodynamic forcing spreading snow NW-SE across the state Wed
and Wed night. Deep and impressive QG forcing then follows and
increases rapidly Thu which would be coincident with at or
approaching bomb surface cyclogenesis from MO into the southern
Great Lakes by Fri morning, driven by the noted PV intrusion
through the negatively tilted upper trough. Details in amounts are
yet to be determined, but moderate to heavy snows are anticipated
with >= 20 to 1 snow ratios expected, producing snow very
conducive to blowing and drifting. The increasing surface pressure
gradient is expected to produce an extended period of 20-30 mph
sustained winds, and gusts of 40-50 mph, if not higher at times.
All this will be coupled with extreme cold with -20 to -40 wind
chills.
Needless to say, this coupling of advisory to warning
criteria temps, wind, snow, and potential blizzard conditions,
make this winter storm potentially rare and very hazardous on
several levels, and even life threatening if stranded and exposed
to the elements for any length of time. While details in exact
snow amounts and wind speeds are not known at this point,
confidence in travel impacts as a whole is high. With all this in
mind, and the fact that it is also coincident with travel heading
into the holiday weekend, have been more aggressive than usual
and issued a first volley, broad-brushed, and long lead Winter
Storm Watch Thu-Fri night mentioning all these elements
concurrently, with a transition to precip and wind chill based
advisories and/or warnings likely in the coming days. The
precipitation will likely end late Friday, but wind impacts could
still impact travel into the night and possibly into Christmas Eve
as well.
National Weather Service
The general guidance consensus right now suggests the first shot of kinematic and
thermodynamic forcing spreading snow NW-SE across the state Wed
and Wed night. Deep and impressive QG forcing then follows and
increases rapidly Thu which would be coincident with at or
approaching bomb surface cyclogenesis from MO into the southern
Great Lakes by Fri morning, driven by the noted PV intrusion
through the negatively tilted upper trough. Details in amounts are
yet to be determined, but moderate to heavy snows are anticipated
with >= 20 to 1 snow ratios expected, producing snow very
conducive to blowing and drifting. The increasing surface pressure
gradient is expected to produce an extended period of 20-30 mph
sustained winds, and gusts of 40-50 mph, if not higher at times.
All this will be coupled with extreme cold with -20 to -40 wind
chills.
Needless to say, this coupling of advisory to warning
criteria temps, wind, snow, and potential blizzard conditions,
make this winter storm potentially rare and very hazardous on
several levels, and even life threatening if stranded and exposed
to the elements for any length of time. While details in exact
snow amounts and wind speeds are not known at this point,
confidence in travel impacts as a whole is high. With all this in
mind, and the fact that it is also coincident with travel heading
into the holiday weekend, have been more aggressive than usual
and issued a first volley, broad-brushed, and long lead Winter
Storm Watch Thu-Fri night mentioning all these elements
concurrently, with a transition to precip and wind chill based
advisories and/or warnings likely in the coming days. The
precipitation will likely end late Friday, but wind impacts could
still impact travel into the night and possibly into Christmas Eve
as well.
Yep...
The NWS ain't messing around with this one. They ain't really mentioning snow totals yet, but know if we do get lots, shit's gonna be pretty bad. Remember, you really don't need a whole lot of snow to have blizzard conditions.
Seems like at the moment, they seem to believe the worst will be east of Iowa, say Great Lakes region - but they'll lock into being more specific as we get closer.
The NWS ain't messing around with this one. They ain't really mentioning snow totals yet, but know if we do get lots, shit's gonna be pretty bad. Remember, you really don't need a whole lot of snow to have blizzard conditions.
Seems like at the moment, they seem to believe the worst will be east of Iowa, say Great Lakes region - but they'll lock into being more specific as we get closer.
Forecast seems too cold to get a lot of snow.
I will buy into it more later in the week.
TV stations love hyping weather for ratings. My MIL is glued to weather 24/7 even though she rarely ventures out.
Weather is like political TV for some, an addiction.
I will buy into it more later in the week.
TV stations love hyping weather for ratings. My MIL is glued to weather 24/7 even though she rarely ventures out.
Weather is like political TV for some, an addiction.
All I know is that I hate this crap. Very cold and windy.... then add drifting snow on top of that. Yuck
Putting a new battery in my truck on Wednesday to get ready for this biotch. Nothing worse in the winter than having brutally cold temps, a shit ton of snow, and having battery issues in the vehicle.
CR is also officially in the Winter Storm Watch I see.
CR is also officially in the Winter Storm Watch I see.
A
anon_b29nm7v7dwp6r
Guest
This one is gonna be brutal….wind, snow and record cold through Saturday. Our Christmas Eve plans are looking very tenuous.
They are decreasing the amount of snow but added us to the Winter Storm Watch?? It appears CR will also be below -20 wund chill from Thursday afternoon through Sunday afternoon.
Our agency head just gave us 16 hours of admin leave...Thursday/Friday are looking like a great time to use them
I hadn't seen any snow predictions for CR yet, but this is the NWS statement.
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10
inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. Blizzard
conditions will also be possible, with extreme cold wind chills
as well.
* WHERE...Portions of north central, northwest and west central
Illinois, east central, northeast and southeast Iowa and
northeast Missouri.
* WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Friday night.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing
snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. Strong
winds could cause tree damage and potential power outages. The
cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite
on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Uncertainty remains on snowfall totals, but
impacts from the combined effects of the wind and snow are
expected. Thus, blizzard conditions will be possible. This will
also lead to difficulty when gathering accurate measurements of
snow during the event. This will be a long duration event, so
plan appropriately prior to the start. Plan travel around peak
hours of the storm, either before or after impacts.
Putting a new battery in my
I’m watching the predictions from the Weather Channel, Accuweather and Wsather Underground.
- Sep 13, 2002
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Until this guy starts screaming at me in Canadian, I’ll keep my expectations low.
- Sep 13, 2002
- 98,648
- 206,471
- 113
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