March 12 ESPN Bracketology (Final Edition): IOWA remains an 8 Seed (in Birmingham). Bracket Matrix has them as a 9 Seed
- Thread starter Franisdaman
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I'd think they could. Obviously that also depends on what teams that are currently in front of us do, but if Iowa were to go 4-1 down the stretch here (which would be difficult but not out of the realm of possibilities) and then win a game or 2 in the BTT then a 5 seed is likely a lock and at that point, we might be right back to where we were last year of debating on whether or not we deserve a 4 seed.
The other thing I'd add about the committee reveal yesterday, is there's a big dropoff after the 2 seeds in my opinion. I wouldn't be scared to play against Virginia, K State or Tennessee (we can't be seeded w/ ISU). Iowa seems to do well against defensive first teams that are streaky offensively and that's what all 3 of these teams are. A 6 seed is looking very sweet at the moment IMO.
I agree with you about the 6 seed. There are a lot of teams i wouldn't exactly be terrified of playing.
Dave Ommen is the founder of Bracketville.
As of this morning, Feb 20, he has Iowa as a #7 seed facing #10 seed Nevada/Steve Alford with the winner playing #2 UCLA/#15 Eastern Washington in Sacramento.
Penn State is his 2nd team OUT. Michigan is his 8th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in, with Wisconsin as the VERY LAST team in.
1 Purdue (#3 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#13 overall seed)
5 Northwestern (#20 overall seed)
7 Michigan State (#26 overall seed)
7 IOWA (#27 overall seed)
8 Maryland (#29 overall seed)
9 Illinois (#33 overall seed)
9 Rutgers (#34 overall seed)
11 Wisconsin (LAST team in) (#46 overall seed)
Link:
bracketville.wordpress.com
As of this morning, Feb 20, he has Iowa as a #7 seed facing #10 seed Nevada/Steve Alford with the winner playing #2 UCLA/#15 Eastern Washington in Sacramento.
Penn State is his 2nd team OUT. Michigan is his 8th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in, with Wisconsin as the VERY LAST team in.
1 Purdue (#3 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#13 overall seed)
5 Northwestern (#20 overall seed)
7 Michigan State (#26 overall seed)
7 IOWA (#27 overall seed)
8 Maryland (#29 overall seed)
9 Illinois (#33 overall seed)
9 Rutgers (#34 overall seed)
11 Wisconsin (LAST team in) (#46 overall seed)
Link:
Dave’s Bracket
This is where you will find my bracket projections for the 2025 NCAA Tournament. At the time of publication, the bracket reflects an overview of where the NCAA landscape currently stands. Bra…
bracketville.wordpress.com
Bauer’s Bubble Watch: 2/20/23
Ah, the top-16 preview. A February tradition that allows bracketologists near and far to compare their season’s worth of forecasting with what the selection committee has in mind. It’s …
bauertology.com
Bauer is consistently near the top of BracketMatrix's ranks. One of my favorites articles every week.
Lunardi has Wisconsin as his VERY LAST TEAM IN.
To say Iowa's game at Wisconsin is huge for both teams is an understatement.
To say Iowa's game at Wisconsin is huge for both teams is an understatement.
As of today, Feb 21, NINE B1G Teams are projected to make the Big Dance.
Iowa is projected as an 8 seed and would face #9 seed Arkansas with the winner facing #1 Kansas/#16 UNC Asheville in Des Moines.
Wisconsin is the VERY LAST team in. Penn State is the 8th team OUT.
The 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
4 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 Illinois
7 Michigan State
7 Maryland
8 IOWA
9 Rutgers @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST TEAM IN)
Link to full bracket:
108 brackets in Bracket Matrix currently have Iowa as a #7 seed.
Link:
Iowa is projected as an 8 seed and would face #9 seed Arkansas with the winner facing #1 Kansas/#16 UNC Asheville in Des Moines.
Wisconsin is the VERY LAST team in. Penn State is the 8th team OUT.
The 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
4 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 Illinois
7 Michigan State
7 Maryland
8 IOWA
9 Rutgers @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST TEAM IN)
Link to full bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the Fighting Illini pulled off a surprise reboot
No one expected much from Illinois this year. But the Illini could have a shot at a No. 1 seed.
www.espn.com
108 brackets in Bracket Matrix currently have Iowa as a #7 seed.
Link:
I think Penn State makes a run and gets in. I think we trounce Wisconsin and bounce their chances for a bid. At least that’s what I’d like to think.
Wisconsin on the road always worries me. And they are fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives.
Ughhh
Never really want to be in the dreaded 8/9 game, but if were this year, I would take that pod & potential #1 matchup in a heartbeat.
Being an 8 or 9 seed but get to play in your home state??
F* yes.
BirdistheWord
HB Legend
I hate the 8/9 territory. If we can get to 21 wins (incl BTT), I think we are back to a low 6 seed. Here is my guesstimate inclusive of Big Ten Tourney:
22 or more wins: 5 seed
21 wins: 6 seed
20 wins: 7 seed
19 wins: 8 or 9 seed
18 wins: 10 seed
17 wins: Play in game
I think our worst case scenario is going 1-3 and losing in BTT. The only saving grace is at least gets us off the 8/9 (IMO).
Most likely is 2-2 with a loss in BTT. This would keep us on the 8/9 line.
Our best case is probably 3-1 with one win in BTT, gets us to 21 wins and at least a 7 seed, likely a 6.
22 or more wins: 5 seed
21 wins: 6 seed
20 wins: 7 seed
19 wins: 8 or 9 seed
18 wins: 10 seed
17 wins: Play in game
I think our worst case scenario is going 1-3 and losing in BTT. The only saving grace is at least gets us off the 8/9 (IMO).
Most likely is 2-2 with a loss in BTT. This would keep us on the 8/9 line.
Our best case is probably 3-1 with one win in BTT, gets us to 21 wins and at least a 7 seed, likely a 6.
Given Iowa's inconsistency this year, a 2-2 finish seems most likely. I'm assuming they'll still get in to the tournament. What seed they end up with probably doesn't matter much as what side of the inconsistency ledger they fall on in those games. There are no dominant teams this year. They can beat a lot of good teams, as they've shown in the Big Ten this year, but they can also lose to teams they should beat, as they've shown in the Big Ten this year.
I hope they surprise me and go 4-0, have a good run in the BTT and keep it going deep in the tournament. You know, just like last year . . .
I hope they surprise me and go 4-0, have a good run in the BTT and keep it going deep in the tournament. You know, just like last year . . .
I'll eat enough to crow to feed a small nation if Iowa wins @ Indiana, but otherwise agree. @UW, vs MSU and vs Nebraska all are very winnable.
The team that played in Evanston - the one that rebuilt Chicago brick-by-brick - can't show up for any of those remaining games, though.
This team has no business being in the NCAA tournament
A couple more BEAUTS like the past 2 they’ll be in a free fall out of the tourney.
Unless the entire tourney is played at CHA, This team does not belong in the NCAA tournament. They don't belong in ANY tournament, and that includes beer pong and darts.
They win 2 more, that puts them at 19-12. They win one in the BTT, they're 20-13. They're in. They lose in the first round, they're at 19-13, probably still in, but not a lock.
They win 1 more, that puts them at 18-13. They win two in the BTT, they're at 20-14. They're in. They win one 19-14. Dicey, but on balance probably would get the benefit of the doubt. They lose in the first round - 18-14. They're out (the only, only shot is if that one win would be at Indiana).
They don't win another, they're at 17-14. I think their only shot is to win 3 in the BTT.
They win 1 more, that puts them at 18-13. They win two in the BTT, they're at 20-14. They're in. They win one 19-14. Dicey, but on balance probably would get the benefit of the doubt. They lose in the first round - 18-14. They're out (the only, only shot is if that one win would be at Indiana).
They don't win another, they're at 17-14. I think their only shot is to win 3 in the BTT.
Some objective analysis.....very nice to read vs the chicken little folks.
Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
Today, Feb 23th, he has #7 seed Iowa in the South Region playing #10 FAU with the winner playing #2 Baylor/#15 Vermont (in Denver).
He has Michigan as his 6th team OUT & Penn State as his 7th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in as of this morning, Feb 23.
1 Purdue (#4 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#14 overall seed)
6 Northwestern (#21 overall seed)
6 Illinois (#22 overall seed)
7 IOWA (#25 overall seed)
7 Maryland (#26 overall seed)
8 Michigan State (#30 overall seed)
8 Rutgers (#32 overall seed) @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 IN) (#45 overall seed)
Link:
www.bracketwag.com
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
Today, Feb 23th, he has #7 seed Iowa in the South Region playing #10 FAU with the winner playing #2 Baylor/#15 Vermont (in Denver).
He has Michigan as his 6th team OUT & Penn State as his 7th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in as of this morning, Feb 23.
1 Purdue (#4 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#14 overall seed)
6 Northwestern (#21 overall seed)
6 Illinois (#22 overall seed)
7 IOWA (#25 overall seed)
7 Maryland (#26 overall seed)
8 Michigan State (#30 overall seed)
8 Rutgers (#32 overall seed) @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 IN) (#45 overall seed)
Link:
Shelby's Bracket WAG
I've been saying it for the last month. Get to 10 wins and they should be in unless we see some serious winning streaks from the current bubble teams. Right now, Iowa's still fairly safe because of how terrible the bubble is. I don't think I'm exaggerating when I say this may be the weakest NCAA tournament field I've ever seen. The teams that end up going to Dayton are going to be BAD teams. Seriously, go take a look at the resumes of USC, North Carolina, New Mexico and Texas Tech. It's bad enough that Michigan and Penn State are still showing up on "first four out" lists.
I've said it before and I will say it again. The B1G tournament and NCAA Tournament are going to be nuts.
I just hope Alabama and Kansas don't win it all.
I know when I fill out my bracket I'm going to be looking at how many covid seniors are on these mid and low major rosters. I think that's a huge factor this year and will be a factor going forward for the next couple years.I've said it before and I will say it again. The B1G tournament and NCAA Tournament are going to be nuts.
I just hope Alabama and Kansas don't win it all.
so, if Iowa is an 8 and Kansas a 1 in Des Moines, who do you have going to the Sweet 16?
Shelby Mast is the Bracketologist for USA Today. His projections are based on how he thinks the committee will make their selections, not how he would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.
On his website he brags that he is one of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ years experience and a 98% accuracy rate since 2005.
Today, Feb 23th, he has #7 seed Iowa in the South Region playing #10 FAU with the winner playing #2 Baylor/#15 Vermont (in Denver).
He has Michigan as his 6th team OUT & Penn State as his 7th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in as of this morning, Feb 23.
1 Purdue (#4 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#14 overall seed)
6 Northwestern (#21 overall seed)
6 Illinois (#22 overall seed)
7 IOWA (#25 overall seed)
7 Maryland (#26 overall seed)
8 Michigan State (#30 overall seed)
8 Rutgers (#32 overall seed) @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 IN) (#45 overall seed)
Link:
Shelby's Bracket WAG
Speaking of Shelby Mast and the overreacting Iowa fans:
As of today, Feb 24, NINE B1G Teams are projected to make the Big Dance.
Iowa is projected as an 8 seed and would face #9 seed Nevada with the winner facing #1 Alabama/#16 Howard/Fairleigh Dickinson in Birmingham.
Penn State is the 1st team OUT. Michigan is the 7th team OUT.
The 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
5 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 Michigan State
7 Maryland
8 IOWA
9 Illinois
9 Rutgers @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 IN)
Link to full bracket:
107 brackets in Bracket Matrix currently have Iowa as an 8 seed.
Link:
Iowa is projected as an 8 seed and would face #9 seed Nevada with the winner facing #1 Alabama/#16 Howard/Fairleigh Dickinson in Birmingham.
Penn State is the 1st team OUT. Michigan is the 7th team OUT.
The 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
5 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 Michigan State
7 Maryland
8 IOWA
9 Illinois
9 Rutgers @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 IN)
Link to full bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the Fighting Illini pulled off a surprise reboot
No one expected much from Illinois this year. But the Illini could have a shot at a No. 1 seed.
www.espn.com
107 brackets in Bracket Matrix currently have Iowa as an 8 seed.
Link:
Misleading. 8 is the average of 107 considered brackets. Some predict Iowa as a 10 or higher, some as a 7 or lower.
8-10 is probably about right, imo.
We'll know when we know.
Dave Ommen is the founder of Bracketville.
As of this morning, Feb 24, he has Iowa as an 8 seed facing #9 NC State with the winner playing #1 Alabama/#16 Alcorn State/FDU in Birmingham.
Penn State is his 1st team OUT. Michigan is his 7th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in:
1 Purdue (#4 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#15 overall seed)
6 Northwestern (#21 overall seed)
6 Michigan State (#24 overall seed)
8 IOWA (#31 overall seed)
8 Illinois (#32 overall seed)
9 Maryland (#33 overall seed)
10 Rutgers (#36 overall seed)
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 in) (#44 overall seed)
Link:
bracketville.wordpress.com
As of this morning, Feb 24, he has Iowa as an 8 seed facing #9 NC State with the winner playing #1 Alabama/#16 Alcorn State/FDU in Birmingham.
Penn State is his 1st team OUT. Michigan is his 7th team OUT.
He has 9 B1G teams in:
1 Purdue (#4 overall seed)
4 Indiana (#15 overall seed)
6 Northwestern (#21 overall seed)
6 Michigan State (#24 overall seed)
8 IOWA (#31 overall seed)
8 Illinois (#32 overall seed)
9 Maryland (#33 overall seed)
10 Rutgers (#36 overall seed)
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 in) (#44 overall seed)
Link:
Dave’s Bracket
This is where you will find my bracket projections for the 2025 NCAA Tournament. At the time of publication, the bracket reflects an overview of where the NCAA landscape currently stands. Bra…
bracketville.wordpress.com
Mike DeCourcy writes for The Sporting News and is a Big Ten Network Studio Analyst.
In his bracket, Penn State is the 3rd team OUT.
He, too, has 9 B1G teams in.
His 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
5 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 IOWA
7 Illinois
8 Rutgers @MrsScrew
8 Michigan State
8 Maryland
12 Wisconsin (one of Last 4 IN)
In his bracket, Penn State is the 3rd team OUT.
He, too, has 9 B1G teams in.
His 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
5 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 IOWA
7 Illinois
8 Rutgers @MrsScrew
8 Michigan State
8 Maryland
12 Wisconsin (one of Last 4 IN)
I've said since the beginning of this final 5-game stretch that all they have to do is win their home games and they're a lock to dance. Win a couple in the BTT and they could improve their seed up to a 6 spot.
Iowa lost two Q1 wins last night, now stands 4-8 v Q1 and 46 in NET. I do agree winning against MSU + NEB puts them in, but they’re really flirting with fire now.
Look at your resume vs Texas Tech this morning. You might be surprised.
IA: 46 NET, 4-8 Q1, 7-2 Q2, 1-0 Q3, 5-1 Q4
TX Tech: 48 NET, 4-10 Q1, 1-1 Q2, 3-1 Q3, 8-0 Q4
Iowa’s resume today is better, but the season isn’t over. And, it’s closer than you would think.
Iowa is 11-10 v Q1&2
Tech is 5-11 v Q1&2
Obviously Tech doesn't have the Q4 loss so that's a plus to them.
Now let's look at metrics:
Iowa: AVG results metric: 46 / AVG predictive metric: 37
Tech: AVG results metric: 59.5 / AVG predictive metric: 43
Road record:
Iowa 3-7; 1 Q1A road win
Tech 3-6; 1 Q1A road win
Wins against the field:
Iowa: ISU, Indiana, Maryland, Rutgers x2, Illinois, Northwestern--7
Tech: Texas, ISU, KSU, West Virginia, (maybe Eastern WA automatic)--4 or 5
Personally I don't think it's all that close right now. Tech has 2 Q1 games and a Q2 game left on their schedule, so if they were to go 2-1 in that stretch it's possible that gap closes. Iowa's metrics are better and their Q1&2 record is far superior. The Q4 loss is bad for Iowa, but it's likely what's dropping Iowa from the 6/7 line to the 8/9 line.
I could live with this. Promised grandkids I would take them to first round games in DM. Providing Hawks win their first game, I would head to Birmingham and watch hawks clinch first sweet sixteen since 1999☺As of today, Feb 24, NINE B1G Teams are projected to make the Big Dance.
Iowa is projected as an 8 seed and would face #9 seed Nevada with the winner facing #1 Alabama/#16 Howard/Fairleigh Dickinson in Birmingham.
Penn State is the 1st team OUT. Michigan is the 7th team OUT.
The 9 B1G Teams:
1 Purdue
5 Indiana
6 Northwestern
7 Michigan State
7 Maryland
8 IOWA
9 Illinois
9 Rutgers @MrsScrew
11 Wisconsin (LAST 4 IN)
Link to full bracket:
Men's Bracketology: How the Fighting Illini pulled off a surprise reboot
No one expected much from Illinois this year. But the Illini could have a shot at a No. 1 seed.www.espn.com
107 brackets in Bracket Matrix currently have Iowa as an 8 seed.
Link:
We have a house rented in Destin that week so it would be a perfect scenario.
Today's win over Michigan State should help
