March 14 Joe Lunardi / ESPN Bracketology: IOWA is on the Bubble (7th Team OUT). #59 NET Ranking (8th Best in B1G) on March 14
- Thread starter Franisdaman
- Start date
I guess I was thinking only B1G, and if Indiana takes down Minnesota, and Michigan State takes down Northwestern, then Minnesota knocks off Northwestern in its final game , should Iowa beat Illinois, I think we jump up to 4th for double bye. Lots of if’s I understand
If NW loses @ MSU and vs Minny they drop to 11-9
If Neb loses at Mich they drop to 11-9
If Wis beats RU then loses at Purdue they drop to 11-9
If MSU wins out they go to 11-9
Minny wins twice they go to 11-9
If Iowa beats Illini we finish 11-9.
Under that scenario
Iowa has head to head tiebreak on all cept Wis which we split.
Does Wis edge Iowa in this scenario for #3 seed?
Reminds me of 1980 when Iowa and PU ended up in like a 4 way tie for third and both made FF.
Bizarre BIG race this year.
If Neb loses at Mich they drop to 11-9
If Wis beats RU then loses at Purdue they drop to 11-9
If MSU wins out they go to 11-9
Minny wins twice they go to 11-9
If Iowa beats Illini we finish 11-9.
Under that scenario
Iowa has head to head tiebreak on all cept Wis which we split.
Does Wis edge Iowa in this scenario for #3 seed?
Reminds me of 1980 when Iowa and PU ended up in like a 4 way tie for third and both made FF.
Bizarre BIG race this year.
I'd rather have MSU win. Iowa could leapfrog Northwestern in the NET, and Northwestern probably needs 1 more win to feel safely in. Northwestern is considered safe now, but lose to MSU, lose to Minnesota, and then lose their first BTT game and I think they could be on the outside looking in.
Thanks for that, my head was spinning. I suppose I could have written it out but I need to buy a car so my head was already other places. Thanks again
Understand.....I was looking at a scenario where we DON'T beat Illinois what is the best possible outcome. I am not saying we WON'T win (frankly I think we stand a decent chance at home) BUT.......
Anyway the 6 spot gives us reasonable hope for winning 2 in the BTT if we DON'T beat Illinois.
My interpretation of this computer generated “defcon” section at the bottom of the page.. (takes a bit to load)
We want Seton Hall to win. Iowa winning against a team “in the field” looks better, and could help Iowa's net.
Want Northwestern to win, because at this point Michigan State is dangerously close to sliding down to bubble instead of safely in. We could be in more direct competition for a spot with MSU than NW. However, that win at Michigan State would still appear as a quad one. Would help NW's net because MSU is in 20s. Not sure if all that would help Iowa's net much, though.
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Interesting if 6 teams in the B1G are tied for 3rd with 11-9 records
Bingo on the NU/MSU game....they had slid fast and another loss right now can really hurt them.
My interpretation of this computer generated “defcon” section at the bottom of the page.. (takes a bit to load)
We want Seton Hall to win, because they are more “in” now than Villanova. Villanova is close to having 14 losses which traditionally is hard to overcome for a bid to the NCAA tournament. But Villanova’s resume looks good otherwise, so more losses on them now the better. They are mentioned / seen a lot as next 4 in so direct competition with Iowa. Seton Hall had been further up the list, and also - a win against a team “in the field” looks better for Iowa.
Want Northwestern to win, because at this point Michigan State is dangerously close to being out. We are in more direct competition with MSU than NW at the moment. However, that win at Michigan State would still appear as a quad one.
That’s a tough one. But let’s say Iowa loses on Sunday and the rest of the favorites win their final game(s)
That would put Iowa as a 7 seed vs Penn St then a matchup Vs 2 seed Illinois.
So Iowa initially loses to Q1 Illinois this weekend then follows it up with a Q2 and Q1 win followed by presumably another Q1 loss.
That leaves Iowa at 20-14 overall. 4-10 in Q1 games and 6-3 in Q2 games. That’s probably going to push them more towards an 11 seed/R68 game but I still think they’re in.
I just hope our guys are ready they have been practicing all week and watching these games hope the pressure is not getting to them
I am more concerned about them losing their rhythm on offense.
I hate Sparty, and really don't understand why their NET is so high. Mildcats missed the front end of 3 straight 1 and 1 foul shots down the stretch, which cost them the game. Playing at Breslin Center is often more like hockey than BB.
mred's Big 10 MBB Tournament Seeding Tiebreaker
Big 10 Conference Men's Basketball Tournament Seeding and Tiebreakers
bball.notnothing.net
Did some re evaluation + results from last night. Now have Seton Hall in the field. I can’t see a team with 6 Q1 teams being left out.
Colorado 11
Utah St 11
Virginia 11
Iowa 11
FAU FFO
Utah FFO
A&M FFO
Butler FFO
Providence NFO
Miss NFO
Cincy NFO
Ohio St NFO
VA Tech Work to do
Richmond Work to do
Syracuse Work to do
Kansas St Work to do
The Illinois game is yuge. Yuge, I tell ya.
A few days ago, the only tickets available were student tickets. How much orange are we going to see on Sunday?
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