That’s a tough one. But let’s say Iowa loses on Sunday and the rest of the favorites win their final game(s)
That would put Iowa as a 7 seed vs Penn St then a matchup Vs 2 seed Illinois.
So Iowa initially loses to Q1 Illinois this weekend then follows it up with a Q2 and Q1 win followed by presumably another Q1 loss.
That leaves Iowa at 20-14 overall. 4-10 in Q1 games and 6-3 in Q2 games. That’s probably going to push them more towards an 11 seed/R68 game but I still think they’re in.