March 14 Joe Lunardi / ESPN Bracketology: IOWA is on the Bubble (7th Team OUT). #59 NET Ranking (8th Best in B1G) on March 14

[sm_hawkeye]

Iowa is likely going to need to go 3-1 to finish to feel somewhat safe for having a shot at bubble selection. Beating Illinois is pretty tall task and Northwestern is probably pretty equal opponent.

So unlikely is still a fair description for their post season chances. Saturday is a begin game for those hopefuls.

 

[Cydkar]

Lunardi currently has the Mountain West with 6 bids

Never use Lunardi as a reference point but the Mountain West IS pretty darn good.

 

[HoustonREDHawk]

Should he be playing?

If he were a Hawkeye, would he be allowed to play for Iowa after the Pierre Pierce fiasco?

Illinois star Shannon Jr. arrested on rape charge

No. 11 Illinois guard Terrence Shannon Jr. has been suspended from all team activities after he was charged with rape in Kansas.

www.espn.com

Some schools have lower standards for player personal conduct than others. I would argue that Illannoy has been near the bottom of the Big Ten for a long time.

 

[HawkeyeGenius]

I think the disappointing thing was Iowa's NET barely moved when they beat Wisconsin. Went up two spots.

 

[HoustonREDHawk]

I think the disappointing thing was Iowa's NET barely moved when they beat Wisconsin. Went up two spots.

Road wins have a much bigger impact. A win in Sham Pain Saturday would move Iowa to a much better bubble position. Tough task.

 

[HawkHoops80]

I think the disappointing thing was Iowa's NET barely moved when they beat Wisconsin. Went up two spots.

I think you are putting way too much emphasis on Iowa's own NET ranking. It's the aspect that is least important for the NCAA tournament. Quad records, SOR, SOS, road record, etc are all much, much more important than the NET ranking. Our opponents NET is the important thing to care about.

 

[Franisdaman]

Minnesota moved up into the top-75 of the NET this morning, which means Iowa's road win against them is now a Q1 win. Up to 3!

Here are today's NET Rankings.

#62 NET Iowa is now 3-7 in Quad 1 games.


NET
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4

2	2	Purdue	Big Ten	23-3	5-3	5-0	13-0	9-3	7-0	4-0	3-0
16	12	Illinois	Big Ten	19-7	4-5	2-0	13-2	4-5	4-2	6-0	5-0
21	21	Wisconsin	Big Ten	18-9	3-7	2-0	13-2	7-6	5-3	2-0	4-0
23	24	Michigan St.	Big Ten	17-10	3-5	1-2	13-3	3-8	6-2	4-0	4-0
43	47	Nebraska	Big Ten	19-8	2-7	1-0	16-1	3-7	4-1	5-0	7-0
58	57	Northwestern	Big Ten	18-8	3-6	2-1	13-1	4-6	5-1	3-0	6-1
62	62	Iowa	Big Ten	16-11	3-7	2-1	11-3	3-7	5-3	2-1	6-0
66	65	Ohio St.	Big Ten	15-11	0-7	4-0	11-4	2-6	2-4	6-1	5-0
71	72	Maryland	Big Ten	14-13	3-7	0-2	11-4	2-9	3-1	2-3	7-0
73	76	Minnesota	Big Ten	16-9	2-5	0-1	14-3	1-5	5-3	1-1	9-0
90	90	Rutgers	Big Ten	14-11	3-6	0-2	11-3	3-9	3-1	2-1	6-0
97	100	Penn St.	Big Ten	13-14	2-6	0-4	11-4	2-8	4-4	2-1	5-1
106	102	Indiana	Big Ten	14-12	2-5	1-2	11-5	1-8	5-3	2-1	6-0
116	116	Michigan	Big Ten	8-18	2-7	1-3	5-8	3-10	1-5	3-3	1-0

 

[Franisdaman]

As far as I know, he is still on the Pacers staff. Yeah, I believe he is doing the tape thing as well as maybe helping with scouting perhaps. Bright future.

that would be really cool if he's still in Iowa City working from home

maybe Caitlin sticks around in Iowa City another year

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[Franisdaman]

Been a good 5 days.

 

[skydog0784]

MN still has 6 games left. Need to win out at home vs OSU tonight, PSU, IN at home are doable.

@NE, @IL, @NW going to be very difficult for them. 3-3 is probably the best they can realistically can get.

Hopefully that keeps them as a Quad 1.

 

[Franisdaman]

ESPN continues having Iowa as the 9th team out heading into tonight's games.

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa the 5th team out here.

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa is playing it's best basketball right now.

Check this out & watch:

 

[Franisdaman]

Speaking of Iowa playing it's best basketball right now....

 

[markfromj]

ESPN continues having Iowa as the 9th team out heading into tonight's games.

Also has us as 11th.

 

[Franisdaman]

Here are today's NET Rankings.

#63 NET Iowa is still 3-7 in Quad 1 games.

#16 NET Illinois is just 4-5 in Quad 1 games.

NET
Rank..Previous..Record...Road..Neutral..Home..Quad1...Quad 2...Quad 3...Quad 4

2	2	Purdue	Big Ten	24-3	5-3	5-0	14-0	9-3	7-0	5-0	3-0
16	16	Illinois	Big Ten	19-7	4-5	2-0	13-2	4-5	4-2	6-0	5-0
21	21	Wisconsin	Big Ten	18-9	3-7	2-0	13-2	7-6	5-3	2-0	4-0
23	23	Michigan St.	Big Ten	17-10	3-5	1-2	13-3	3-8	6-2	4-0	4-0
43	43	Nebraska	Big Ten	19-8	2-7	1-0	16-1	3-7	4-1	5-0	7-0
55	58	Northwestern	Big Ten	19-8	3-6	2-1	14-1	4-6	5-1	4-0	6-1
63	62	Iowa	Big Ten	16-11	3-7	2-1	11-3	3-7	5-3	2-1	6-0
67	66	Ohio St.	Big Ten	15-12	0-8	4-0	11-4	2-7	2-4	6-1	5-0
71	71	Maryland	Big Ten	14-13	3-7	0-2	11-4	2-9	3-1	2-3	7-0
72	73	Minnesota	Big Ten	17-9	2-5	0-1	15-3	1-5	6-3	1-1	9-0
92	90	Rutgers	Big Ten	14-12	3-7	0-2	11-3	3-10	3-1	2-1	6-0
97	97	Penn St.	Big Ten	13-14	2-6	0-4	11-4	2-8	4-4	2-1	5-1
105	106	Indiana	Big Ten	14-12	2-5	1-2	11-5	1-8	5-3	2-1	6-0
119	116	Michigan	Big Ten	8-19	2-8	1-3	5-8	3-11	1-5	3-3	1-0

 

[Franisdaman]

3-7: Quad 1 games
5-3: Quad 2 games

 

[Franisdaman]

Full text of the tweet:

Fran McCaffery on this Iowa team:

"It's a resilient group. We've had some tough losses. We've had some really good wins. And in those wins and losses, we really had to compete. They were all pretty close games. So you have to sorta connect in a way that enables you to stay together. And then if you make some mistakes or some things don't go right, where do you go from there? Do you stay together and learn from those mistakes? Or do you point fingers and blame others for those mistakes. And this has been a really mature group that hasn't done that. They've stayed together. They've stayed positive. They've come to practice and work hard. It's a great group to be around."

 

[Franisdaman]

Per ESPN, Iowa is the 10th team OUT at the start of today.

Teams on the OUTside, looking in:
1 Wake Forest
2 Utah
3 Ole Miss
4 Villanova
5 Colorado
6 Oregon
7 Drake
8 Butler
9 Cincinnati
10 IOWA

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa is the 6th team OUT here.

 

[Franisdaman]

Mike DeCourcy is a Sporting News columnist & BTN studio analyst.

He has Iowa as the 4th team OUT.

 

[Underscore2]

 

[Franisdaman]

View embedded media

nice little clip.

it's amazing how winning two consecutive quad 1 games has rapidly changed the discussion

 

[Mohawkeye]

Hawks are In a very unique position. I truly think if they lose at Illinois they don’t drop at all and their chances remain the same. But if they win. . . They are in the driver seat for making the NCAAs.

 

[Franisdaman]

Hawks are In a very unique position. I truly think if they lose at Illinois they don’t drop at all and their chances remain the same. But if they win. . . They are in the driver seat for making the NCAAs.

IIRC, you stated Iowa needs to go 3-1 to finish the reg season and at least 1-1 in the B1G Tourney. If so, I agree

 

[Franisdaman]

Scott seems to think 3-1 to close out the reg season and 1-1 in the B1G Tournament gives Iowa a chance to dance.

That would put Iowa at 20-13.


Check this out & watch:

 

[Mohawkeye]

IIRC, you stated Iowa needs to go 3-1 to finish the reg season and at least 1-1 in the B1G Tourney. If so, I agree

I think that the more plausible scenario. But beating Illinois at Illinois would be huge.

 

[Franisdaman]

I think that the more plausible scenario. But beating Illinois at Illinois would be huge.

9.5 pt underdogs today....

 

[Franisdaman]

Seton Hall vs Butler 7:30
Gonzaga vs Santa Clara 9:00
Wake vs Duke 1:00
Nova vs UConn 7:00
Ole Miss vs SC 2:30
AM vs Tennessee 7:00
Utah vs Colorado 8:00
Cincy vs TCU 2:00
Drake vs UNI 5:00

 

[Franisdaman]

who to root for today....

 

[Mohawkeye]

Interesting that we are competing with 2 teams we beat, Seton Hall and Nebraska. That’s got to help us if it’s close. I would love to get Nebraska in the BTT.

 

[Franisdaman]

This was at 3:30pm CT.

Iowa still the 10th team OUT.

 

[Franisdaman]

Now 7-1.

20: Dix
18: Perkins
15: Ben

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[HawkeyeGenius]

Iowa needs to beat Northwestern.

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa needs to beat Northwestern.

Hopefully we take care of Penn State at home first.

Iowa's remaining 3 games:

Quad 1: Home (1-30), Neutral (1-50), Away (1-75)
Sat March 2:..........at #55 NET N'western
Sun March 10:........vs # 16 NET Illinois

Quad 3: Home (76-160), Neutral (101-200), Away (136-240)
Tues Feb 27:............vs #97 NET Penn State

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa, now at 16-12, has 3 reg season games (need to go 3-0?) and the B1G Tournament (need to go 1-1?) left.

Finishing no worse than 4-1 (with that loss in the BTT) would put us at 20-13. Hopefully that would be enough to Dance.

The full text of the tweet:

Payton Sandfort: “We’ve got a really tough group. We’ve got a lot of guys playing well. Obviously, this one didn’t turn out the way that we wanted. But I’m proud of the way we battled. We had our chances in a really hostile environment against a top-15 team, so it just kinda shows what we’re capable of. We got to continue to keep working, keep getting better. We got to be ready to go Tuesday night.”

 

[Franisdaman]