I think some want to at least give Parco, Caliendo and Kueter a chance, simply due to pedigree. Since there is no such thing as "absolute" zero
, here is a percentage based(solely my opinion) look at each weight:
125: Cruz <1%
133: Ayala 75%
141: Block 1% I think a fully healthy Block could confound Bartlett with his length and maybe keep it close enough to steal it late, but I still say 1/100 for now.
149: Parco 10% Parco looks great, but his history against Van Ness sucks and Van Ness has looked like a monster all season....
157: Teemer 50/50 If 100% healthy I would put his odds closer to Ayala, but I have no idea how he looks IF he wrestles this match.
165: Caliendo 5% He is too good not to give him a 1/20 chance. However, Mess has dominated him so far and I doubt that changes.
174: Kennedy/Brands 5% Haines is another monster where I could only maybe see size play a factor against more Brands than Kennedy, where Brands could do something similar to Block keeping it close and stealing it late. Still, I would pick Haines every time...
184: Arnold 1% I love this kid. He is absolutely my favorite wrestler on the team. But, no matter how much you hate Starocci, a freshman 174 wrestling up is in for a world of hurt. I would cheer harder for him than anyone else. But, giving him even a 1/100 chance is probably a bit biased....
197: Buchanan 75% Barr is a stud, but Buchanan has arguably looked like the best guy in the weight class. For now, I would pick him 3 out of 4. But, that 1 could very well be at NCAA's where you just can't ignore their track record.
285: Kueter 2% This one hurts me, because I just don't want to give a World Champ such terrible odds. However, Kerkvliet is a TERRRRRIBLE matchup and has already proven it when they wrestled last season. I am sure Ben has improved since then, but enough to overcome a 9-1 beating? I don't think so...
So, I could see how true hardcore Iowa fans could get to 5 wins, with the foundation being Ayala, Teemer and Buchanan and then some kind of combo between Parco, Caliendo, Kennedy Brands and Kueter. With that said, I would probably put the over under at 2. We don't even know if Teemer will wrestle or what shape he will be in. I could see them getting lucky and maybe catching 4 wins, but I sure as hell wouldn't personally say 5, and forced to pick, I would go with 2...
