These points add up to a win against Michigan....

HawkDoggy

HR All-State
Nov 20, 2021
510
872
93
1) One decent drive for a TD from the offense....something in the realm of a 75 yard, 12 play sustained drive.
2) 3 FGs sprinkled throughout the game....2 of which will likely be 45+ yarders. These will, on the surface, be frustrating at the time because the offense will have stalled. They add up and are critical to a Hawkeye win.
3) A turnover forced by our defense that either creates a defensive score or gives our offense a very short field, leading to a quick offensive TD.

23 points at home against Michigan wins the game.

I'd like to read your thoughts on how you think the Hawks win this game. Would be nice if it didn't start with "fire the Head Coach and his Son" or "don't let Petras anywhere near the field".

Come on...what's your combination of things that lead to the point total we need to win?
 

WWDMHawkeye

HR Heisman
Nov 13, 2014
8,196
16,820
113
I don’t see this offense sustaining a 12-play drive against that D. I don’t think we have the capability, between our highly inconsistent OL, our immobile QB, and our questionable WR’s, to string together that many well-executed plays. Too much potential for mistakes, penalties, and negative plays, any of which will kill the drive. This O has far too little margin for error to sustain a long drive against Meatchicken, IMO.

I do think it’s a winnable game, and I certainly didn’t have that opinion 2 weeks ago. But I think it will take defense and special teams setting up the O with short fields. I think the O will need to put together a couple of first downs on most possessions to get us near midfield. Then Taylor needs to pin them deep and hope our D can make a stop or force a turnover. Then we’ll need to capitalize, most often with FG’s but hopefully at least one TD.

We’ve upset them in ugly defensive battles before. We’ll have to play a clean game — minimize penalties and avoid turnovers, and execute better than we have all season on O, and our kicking game will have to be on point. I think we’ll need some miscues from them too. Gotta win field position.

It could happen. Need a lot of things to go our way, however. All of that said, I was impressed by the way Maryland moved the ball on them, but their O is light years ahead of ours.
 
Last edited:

InsaneHawkJJP

HR MVP
Apr 1, 2013
1,960
3,151
113
Decorah
1) One decent drive for a TD from the offense....something in the realm of a 75 yard, 12 play sustained drive.
2) 3 FGs sprinkled throughout the game....2 of which will likely be 45+ yarders. These will, on the surface, be frustrating at the time because the offense will have stalled. They add up and are critical to a Hawkeye win.
3) A turnover forced by our defense that either creates a defensive score or gives our offense a very short field, leading to a quick offensive TD.

23 points at home against Michigan wins the game.

I'd like to read your thoughts on how you think the Hawks win this game. Would be nice if it didn't start with "fire the Head Coach and his Son" or "don't let Petras anywhere near the field".

Come on...what's your combination of things that lead to the point total we need to win?
Your optimism is greatly appreciated. I agree that there is definitely a recipe for victory but we’ll have to play a near perfect game, no penalties or turnovers and hope Michigan does make some mistakes. Iowa usually steps it up in these kind of games, I’m expecting a close game with Iowa winning it in the fourth on a field goal.
 
  • Like
Reactions: kceasthawk

squeezebox

HR All-American
Mar 6, 2018
3,081
3,726
113
Michigan is over-rated, but coverage is going to need to be damn good because old JJ is going to be running all over the field like a chicken with his head cut off. ESTABLISH THE RUN. Petras will not be able to throw against those turds.
 

83Hawk

HR Legend
Sep 17, 2002
21,354
16,108
113
I do think it’s a winnable game, and I certainly didn’t have that opinion 2 weeks ago. But I think it will take defense and special teams setting up the O with short fields. I think the O will need to put together a couple of first downs on most possessions to get us near midfield. Then Taylor needs to pin them deep and hope our D can make a stop or force a turnover. Then we’ll need to capitalize, most often with FG’s but hopefully at least one TD.
This is just sad….…that we are reduced to:

1. Hoping the offense can get to midfield.
2. Hoping our punter pins the opponent deep.
3. Needing the defense to make a stop or get a turnover.

Most teams expect the offense to score points. Not Iowa. We either need the defense to score, or hope the other team makes mistakes in order to win.

Sad.
 

Hawk_4shur

HR Legend
Jan 2, 2009
15,918
21,593
113
I'm not see I see a non-fantasy way for the Hawks to beat Michigan, but then again Kinnick can be a magical place.

The few times I watched Michigan this year, the offense looks complete. JJ is really good. I wouldn't have thought a Michigan defense would give up 400 yards to Maryland, so maybe there is some hope for the Hawks on O.

And, surprisingly, they look well-coached. One turnover and one penalty.

It will take a supreme effort and some Kinnick magic to get this one IMO
 

HawkDoggy

HR All-State
Nov 20, 2021
510
872
93
I don’t see this offense sustaining a 12-play drive against that D. I don’t think we have the capability, between our highly inconsistent OL, our immobile QB, and our questionable WR’s, to string together that many well-executed plays. Too much potential for mistakes, penalties, and negative plays, any of which will kill the drive. This O has far too little margin for error to sustain a long drive against Meatchicken, IMO.

I do think it’s a winnable game, and I certainly didn’t have that opinion 2 weeks ago. But I think it will take defense and special teams setting up the O with short fields. I think the O will need to put together a couple of first downs on most possessions to get us near midfield. Then Taylor needs to pin them deep and hope our D can make a stop or force a turnover. Then we’ll need to capitalize, most often with FG’s but hopefully at least one TD.

We’ve upset them in ugly defensive battles before. We’ll have to play a clean game — minimize penalties and avoid turnovers, and execute better than we have all season on O, and our kicking game will have to be on point. I think we’ll need some miscues from them too. Gotta win field position.

It could happen. Need a lot of things to go our way, however. All of that said, I was impressed by the way Maryland moved the ball on them, but their O is light years ahead of ours.
I can't disagree with anything you wrote....other than I think they can sustain one fairly long drive. Wouldn't it be great if it happened on the very first possession? Would really build confidence and momentum.....and set a positive tone for the game.
 
  • Like
Reactions: WWDMHawkeye

HawkDoggy

HR All-State
Nov 20, 2021
510
872
93
Your optimism is greatly appreciated. I agree that there is definitely a recipe for victory but we’ll have to play a near perfect game, no penalties or turnovers and hope Michigan does make some mistakes. Iowa usually steps it up in these kind of games, I’m expecting a close game with Iowa winning it in the fourth on a field goal.
I like that....and I'm sure we would all take that!
 

kcgolfer

HR Legend
Sep 23, 2003
17,974
6,744
113
1) One decent drive for a TD from the offense....something in the realm of a 75 yard, 12 play sustained drive.
2) 3 FGs sprinkled throughout the game....2 of which will likely be 45+ yarders. These will, on the surface, be frustrating at the time because the offense will have stalled. They add up and are critical to a Hawkeye win.
3) A turnover forced by our defense that either creates a defensive score or gives our offense a very short field, leading to a quick offensive TD.

23 points at home against Michigan wins the game.

I'd like to read your thoughts on how you think the Hawks win this game. Would be nice if it didn't start with "fire the Head Coach and his Son" or "don't let Petras anywhere near the field".

Come on...what's your combination of things that lead to the point total we need to win?
I expect a valiant effort, but in the end, our defense will spend too much time on the field and wear down. Michigan is legit and their OL is very good. Somewhere around 27 - 16 Michigan.
 

Steamboat529529

HR All-State
May 27, 2021
744
899
93
Michigan has averaged 44 points in its last 8 games, including 42 against both Iowa and Ohio State. The only team to slow them down was Georgia who had maybe the best college defense in the past ten years. Holding Michigan to less than 24 points is a tall order, even for this defense.
 
  • Like
Reactions: dadster

HawkDoggy

HR All-State
Nov 20, 2021
510
872
93
I expect a valiant effort, but in the end, our defense will spend too much time on the field and wear down. Michigan is legit and their OL is very good. Somewhere around 27 - 16 Michigan.
I could see that happening too. I hope not, obviously....and, I will say, I will be surprised if Michigan scores 27 points on this defense at Kinnick.
 

Iron Doc

All-Conference
Nov 5, 2005
349
532
93
1) One decent drive for a TD from the offense....something in the realm of a 75 yard, 12 play sustained drive.
2) 3 FGs sprinkled throughout the game....2 of which will likely be 45+ yarders. These will, on the surface, be frustrating at the time because the offense will have stalled. They add up and are critical to a Hawkeye win.
3) A turnover forced by our defense that either creates a defensive score or gives our offense a very short field, leading to a quick offensive TD.

23 points at home against Michigan wins the game.

I'd like to read your thoughts on how you think the Hawks win this game. Would be nice if it didn't start with "fire the Head Coach and his Son" or "don't let Petras anywhere near the field".

Come on...what's your combination of things that lead to the point total we need to win?
We will not beat Michigan.
 

fezzador

HR All-American
Sep 12, 2006
3,893
4,848
113
That makes no sense.
Vegas Insider has Michigan as a TD fave (7.5 to be exact). That sounds reasonable as I was thinking about 7-10 point faves myself. Was hoping for a night game (or at least an afternoon game where the 4th quarter is dark) but Kinnick is rarely kind to Michigan.

Iowa will need Tory and Drew to be on point as both will be needed aplenty methinks. Michigan has a strong offense but if Iowa ends up +2 or better in the turnover margin (even better if the turnovers are pick sixes or scoop+scores), it’s anyones game. Maybe Iowa’s offense will lull Michigan’s D to sleep and Petras will throw a pretty deep bomb to AB4.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ree4 and BBHawk

BBHawk

HR Legend
Oct 31, 2001
30,427
24,502
113
Iowa City
Vegas Insider has Michigan as a TD fave (7.5 to be exact). That sounds reasonable as I was thinking about 7-10 point faves myself. Was hoping for a night game (or at least an afternoon game where the 4th quarter is dark) but Kinnick is rarely kind to Michigan.

Iowa will need Tory and Drew to be on point as both will be needed aplenty methinks. Michigan has a strong offense but if Iowa ends up +2 or better in the turnover margin (even better if the turnovers are pick sixes or scoop+scores), it’s anyones game. Maybe Iowa’s offense will kill Michigan’s D to sleep and Petras will throw a pretty deep bomb to AB4.
I am waiting for Brecht to have a break out game. I hope it's against MI.
 

HawkDoggy

HR All-State
Nov 20, 2021
510
872
93
We will not beat Michigan.
What do you see as the final score? Could it be close....or are you expecting a blow-out loss for the Hawks? Genuinely interested....not at all trying to disagree....just looking for further perspective.
 

HawkDoggy

HR All-State
Nov 20, 2021
510
872
93
I am waiting for Brecht to have a break out game. I hope it's against MI.
Me too. That said....I was disappointed that we didn't throw any deep balls to him against Rutgers. I feel like he missed an opportunity for additional growth and confidence boosts.
 
  • Like
Reactions: BBHawk

jonesy5960

HR Heisman
Gold Member
Sep 6, 2012
6,227
10,878
113
Me too. That said....I was disappointed that we didn't throw any deep balls to him against Rutgers. I feel like he missed an opportunity for additional growth and confidence boosts.
Maybe it's because he looked like he wasn't ready against Nevada and they didn't like the odds of success. Deep balls already have lower success rates and that's with more seasoned receivers.
 
  • Like
Reactions: HawkDoggy

Iron Doc

All-Conference
Nov 5, 2005
349
532
93
What do you see as the final score? Could it be close....or are you expecting a blow-out loss for the Hawks? Genuinely interested....not at all trying to disagree....just looking for further perspective.
Not a blowout. Phil would not permit that.
Despite an outstanding defensive performance and solid special teams play, we will suffer defeat by the score of @17-0.
 

mlb1399

HR Heisman
Sep 21, 2004
9,288
3,356
113
Maybe I’m being too cynical but this looks like a 7 win team. I don’t see a lot of outcomes where Iowa wins outside of 3-4 TO’s and points from our defense.
 

BlazinHawk

HR All-American
Sep 9, 2001
3,334
239
63
Michigan has averaged 44 points in its last 8 games, including 42 against both Iowa and Ohio State. The only team to slow them down was Georgia who had maybe the best college defense in the past ten years. Holding Michigan to less than 24 points is a tall order, even for this defense.
That's what I thought in 2016 as well...
 

mazda1

HR All-American
Sep 22, 2015
2,752
3,175
113
No Hawkeye turnovers. OL give Petras time to throw. No big plays for Michigan. Perfect field goals. Win special teams match ups.
 
  • Like
Reactions: HawkDoggy

BeepBeepInMyJeep

HR Legend
Jun 28, 2010
11,024
4,104
113
I think it’s a blowout like a 38-7. It’ll be close for the first half but I can’t see any way we can keep our defense off the field. We’ll just get worn down by the body blows. When we last beat them at home it was Wadley who took over that game. You need a player good enough to make a chunk play by himself even the D has him circled. We have no such animal.
 

Beattheohiostate

All-Conference
Aug 5, 2022
324
1,104
93
phoenix, AZ
.. . I think they can sustain one fairly long drive. Wouldn't it be great if it happened on the very first possession? Would really build confidence and momentum.....and set a positive tone for the game.
Absolutely. It's a shame KF won't let LeVar Woods dial up a few trick plays. Iowa used several a few years ago--tackle eligible for a TD vs. Purdue, the amazing fake punt vs. OSU--but nada in the last couple seasons. Why not?

Anyway, here's what I would do on Saturday vs. Michigan, so you can be sure KF won't do any of it. But I'm gonna share this anyway.

First offensive series I'm goin' no huddle. Catch the Wolverines totally off guard. The first eight plays are scripted, and you start over if you haven't scored yet. Put the pressure on from the start. And the first play of the game would be a flea-flicker. Second play, if necessary, would be a halfback pass--the exact same play Michigan beat Iowa with for a TD in the championship game last December. And then, if necessary, a hook-and-lateral from LaPorta or Lachey to Kegan Johnson. Throw the kitchen sink at these guys. Have some fun. Be the aggressor. And then next series I'd go traditional. But then I'd go no huddle several more times as the game dictated. Wear the Wolverines defense down. Get the Iowa offense into a rhythm.

The last time I can remember Iowa going no huddle was with James Vandenberg in the fourth quarter against Pitt @ Kinnick. Using that offensive strategy, Iowa scored the largest fourth-quarter comeback win in school history. And, naturally, Iowa hasn't used the no huddle since.

There are SO many things Iowa could dust off and run and throw at Michigan. But KF will opt to rely on execution of the same old, same old, and he'll almost certainly get the same results, results that have Iowa last in the nation in offense despite playing a weak schedule.

The crowd will be ready to explode. KF should let LeVar give them several reasons to do so. Michigan uses trick plays, Alabama does, but they're too much for KF to stomach, apparently. He still thinks punting is the most beautiful thing an offense can do.

Anyway, I'm gonna be there Saturday on what should be a beautiful day for football. I'll be fearing the worst and hoping for the best. But as we know, hope ain't a strategy.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: Hwk-I-St8

citizenHawk

HR Legend
Oct 9, 2002
11,211
1,214
113
Contain Corum. (It's a tall order, especially with a tired D.)
Find multiple interceptions.
Contain Corum.
Punt and pin.
Contain Corum.
Make all field goal attempts.
Get one magic play out of the offense. ( PSU 2021)
Kinnick the hell out of them.
 

intrepodor

All-Conference
Nov 2, 2010
472
449
63
Michigan is over-rated, but coverage is going to need to be damn good because old JJ is going to be running all over the field like a chicken with his head cut off. ESTABLISH THE RUN. Petras will not be able to throw against those turds.
Petras will be able to throw to the tight ends, not completing any because Michigan will be double teaming them and letting the wr go free since Petras doesn't look for them anyway.
 
  • Like
Reactions: littlez