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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

I've mentioned logistics numerous times here. For a short background, I was both a Forward Support Company (FSC) First Sergeant and a Group Support Battalion (GSB) Support Operations NCO (I worked for the SPO, Sup Ops Officer).

The US Army assigns a BSB or GSB within a Brigade (or SF Group, the GSB). Each individual FSC supports an individual Battalion (mine supported a Field Artillery BN). We would deliver logistical packages (logpac) to the Battalion. The Logpacs basically consisted of everything they needed for different types of missions. Food, water, ammunition, fuel anything they might need. Prepackaged, on pallets or in containers, and transferred at the logistical release point (LRP) to the supported unit.

Having said all that (it's WAY more detailed than the above, that's the very short version)...now read through this thread. It explains the importance of packaging and delivering. I'm only putting the first tweet. If you want to understand why the Russians are failing, this thread will explain it. It's worth your time.

 
I've asked this question twice but the third times the charm:

How does this war benefit Russia?

  1. Putin wants a full land-bridge access to Crimea; more secure than what he currently has
  2. Putin and his autocracy cannot tolerate a successful liberal democracy with rule-of-law capitalism "next door", particularly in a Russian-speaking country. Eventually, the freedoms and higher standard of living is observed by his own people and they begin to question the narratives they're fed
  3. Putin has been using active measures to undermine Western democracies for a couple decades now, seeing that as the key to maintaining his (and other's) autocratic rule; Western democracies mean Rule of Law which cannot be tolerated when those laws would also apply to him and his oligarchs. Cannot have one of those democracies sprouting up when his goal is to get them all overturned.
 
I've mentioned logistics numerous times here. For a short background, I was both a Forward Support Company (FSC) First Sergeant and a Group Support Battalion (GSB) Support Operations NCO (I worked for the SPO, Sup Ops Officer).

The US Army assigns a BSB or GSB within a Brigade (or SF Group, the GSB). Each individual FSC supports an individual Battalion (mine supported a Field Artillery BN). We would deliver logistical packages (logpac) to the Battalion. The Logpacs basically consisted of everything they needed for different types of missions. Food, water, ammunition, fuel anything they might need. Prepackaged, on pallets or in containers, and transferred at the logistical release point (LRP) to the supported unit.

Having said all that (it's WAY more detailed than the above, that's the very short version)...now read through this thread. It explains the importance of packaging and delivering. I'm only putting the first tweet. If you want to understand why the Russians are failing, this thread will explain it. It's worth your time.

This post from a month ago is proving prescient:


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https://warontherocks.com/2021/11/feeding-the-bear-a-closer-look-at-russian-army-logistics/
 
  1. Putin wants a full land-bridge access to Crimea; more secure than what he currently has
  2. Putin and his autocracy cannot tolerate a successful liberal democracy with rule-of-law capitalism "next door", particularly in a Russian-speaking country. Eventually, the freedoms and higher standard of living is observed by his own people and they begin to question the narratives they're fed
  3. Putin has been using active measures to undermine Western democracies for a couple decades now, seeing that as the key to maintaining his (and other's) autocratic rule; Western democracies mean Rule of Law which cannot be tolerated when those laws would also apply to him and his oligarchs. Cannot have one of those democracies sprouting up when his goal is to get them all overturned.
Food, Oil and gas reserves...
 
Someone posted some threads on the psychological impacts on these uber-rich folks.
And they are not trivial. It's their entire identity, and being shut out of that is excruciating for them.
Yeah-and crazy enough, it's why Putin may end up eating a bullet very soon....time is of the essence. As they continue to get their ass kicked AND become world wide pariah's, the chance of them returning to that lifestyle are decreasing dramatically each day. It wont be the people. Or the military. It will be $ that gets him killed. t's now or never, there are still 6.5 days left in March.
 
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I see it like this guy's response. The issue they have is they have been hiding a lot of this from the people. The citizens at this point HAVE to know something already is really wrong. They were sold a war and are now getting this rhetoric which will come off as shocking and further indicative that the rumors they are hearing about the deaths in the war and the world uniting against them are true.
 
Food for thought on this recent killing yesterday...according to this article 4 days ago 6 of the estimated 20 Russian Generals in Ukraine are dead. This would make it 7 of the 20. I feel like this may not be quite normal and indicate things are not going well 🤣. It would suggest the 40,000 plus estimates coming out a few days ago of dead, wounded, missing and POW Russians is likely accurate.

 
Putin was sold a bill of goods by his defense/intel folks....

Guess that's why we haven't seen the Defense minister in weeks and he apparently sent some of his intelligence service guys to the gulag...

Not feeling sorry for Putin by any means....but if he didn't have folks telling him what he wanted to hear maybe we don't have this horrible war...

One of the pitfalls of being a dictator

Authoritarian ruler surrounds himself with yes-men.

Sounds like the same theme as last season's episodes, from another country....
 
This post from a month ago is proving prescient:
My bro in law wrote an extensive history of the logistics of the Gettysburg campaign, having serendipitously secured access to the confederate quartermaster records. Logistics will often tell more about the 'why's' of a battle or campaign than terrain, troops, tactics, or weapons.
 
Food for thought on this recent killing yesterday...according to this article 4 days ago 6 of the estimated 20 Russian Generals in Ukraine are dead. This would make it 7 of the 20. I feel like this may not be quite normal and indicate things are not going well 🤣. It would suggest the 40,000 plus estimates coming out a few days ago of dead, wounded, missing and POW Russians is likely accurate.


FOqgEFUXoAACWgg

Damn....this means no Resident Alien Season 3.... ☹️

RIP, Harry Vandershpiegel
 
Which means he is insane and surrounded by enablers. Ridiculous that he thought the world would sit back and allow it.
Well, insane is a very loaded word that I'll just leave out there. Enablers? You bet, starting with the metropolitan of the Russian orthodox church. As for thinking the world would let him get away with it, well, sadly, perceptions like that don't materialize out of thin air. They develop from experience and an assessment - whether correct or incorrect - of the other side's leadership.
 
It is obvious that the Russian grossly underestimated the Ukrainian will to fight. What is also shocking is how unmotivated, poorly supplied and poorly trained the Russian military is.

The Russian loss of Tanks can be attributed a great deal to piss poor tactics. Infantry has to clear out and suppress the anti-tank missiles. The Russians just seem to go cruising into an area with out Infantry support and get their asses shot off. Logistics is the other glaring fvck up.
 
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You posted "nope" to the statement "Ukraine is the bread basket of Europe and has plentiful oil and gas reserves." The statement was essentially correct.
I posted in response to the CONTEXT in which that post was made.

Those may be "facts", but they are irrelevant to Putin's motives.
 
Sorry, we have plenty of European relatives and from speaking to them a major concern right now is the cost of food in Europe if Ukraine cannot plant in a few weeks.

This is completely at odds with your claims of Putin's motivations for invading.
"Starving his own people" to create civil unrest within his own country would really make the invasion a stupid option.
 
This is completely at odds with your claims of Putin's motivations for invading.
"Starving his own people" to create civil unrest within his own country would really make the invasion a stupid option.
Do you read or think before you post? Because there is no indication of it!
 
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THE PALE BLUE DOT OF EARTH "That's here. That's Home. That's us."Image: NASA / JPL

Look again at that dot. That's here. That's home. That's us. On it everyone you love, everyone you know, everyone you ever heard of, every human being who ever was, lived out their lives. The aggregate of our joy and suffering, thousands of confident religions, ideologies, and economic doctrines, every hunter and forager, every hero and coward, every creator and destroyer of civilization, every king and peasant, every young couple in love, every mother and father, hopeful child, inventor and explorer, every teacher of morals, every corrupt politician, every "superstar," every "supreme leader," every saint and sinner in the history of our species lived there--on a mote of dust suspended in a sunbeam.

The Earth is a very small stage in a vast cosmic arena. Think of the rivers of blood spilled by all those generals and emperors so that, in glory and triumph, they could become the momentary masters of a fraction of a dot. Think of the endless cruelties visited by the inhabitants of one corner of this pixel on the scarcely distinguishable inhabitants of some other corner, how frequent their misunderstandings, how eager they are to kill one another, how fervent their hatreds.

Our posturings, our imagined self-importance, the delusion that we have some privileged position in the Universe, are challenged by this point of pale light. Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity, in all this vastness, there is no hint that help will come from elsewhere to save us from ourselves.

The Earth is the only world known so far to harbor life. There is nowhere else, at least in the near future, to which our species could migrate. Visit, yes. Settle, not yet. Like it or not, for the moment the Earth is where we make our stand.

It has been said that astronomy is a humbling and character-building experience. There is perhaps no better demonstration of the folly of human conceits than this distant image of our tiny world. To me, it underscores our responsibility to deal more kindly with one another, and to preserve and cherish the pale blue dot, the only home we've ever known.


— Carl Sagan, Pale Blue Dot, 1994
 
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