I think he meant it is not necessary to chase Jada off
*****Iowa vs Michigan Game Thread*****
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NET Strength of Schedule (SOS) - Women's College Basketball | WarrenNolan.com
2025 Women's College Basketball NET Strength of Schedule (SOS) Updated Daily.
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This is the strength of schedule ratings at least on this guy‘s site. There are four big 10 teams ahead of our number 13 schedule.
If you scroll down far enough, you’ll find UCONN at 37… Now to be fair they’re OOC was number two, but they literally play in the trashiest of trash conferences for women’s basketball.
I’m sure some of you will think I’m nuts, but I am hoping like hell to get to a #7 seed line because I’m confident the NCAA people who love storylines will match us up in the second round verse number two Connecticut.
I think someone recently said we’ve lost 9 games by an average of 5.5 points (didn’t verify) so we’ve lost 9 times to P5 tournament teams, by 50ish points. Everyone winnable & at least 5, that without the inexperience and knowing how to get over the hump yet, absolutely should have been wins.
We are this close 👌 to being 24-4 and in the top 10. Now…many teams could likely say that and we clearly aren’t a top 10 team, but there are only 4 teams, ND that I believe is far and away the best, South Carolina (uber-athletic, still shoot poorly) LSU (even more athletic, still sketchy on the perimeter) & Texas, very well rounded m…until we absolutely have to.
UCONN certainly has a talented roster but they aren’t particularly big or overly athletic and I just don’t think they have the panache they once did, they are better than us, but I think they are beatable.
Some teams that are very good but I think beatable, Duke, NC St, TCU w/the 6-7 chick is a tough out. West Va w/their D is always a matchup nightmare.
Tune in tomorrow night & see how UCONN handles the only team in their league thats decent. Creighton…they beat the Blue Jays last month by 11 there. If they smoke Creighton by 20 plus @home, I’ll be a believer, they’re serious. And they may, they are a lot better than Creighton, I just think the Carolina game was an outlier.
We are this close 👌 to being 24-4 and in the top 10. Now…many teams could likely say that and we clearly aren’t a top 10 team, but there are only 4 teams, ND that I believe is far and away the best, South Carolina (uber-athletic, still shoot poorly) LSU (even more athletic, still sketchy on the perimeter) & Texas, very well rounded m…until we absolutely have to.
UCONN certainly has a talented roster but they aren’t particularly big or overly athletic and I just don’t think they have the panache they once did, they are better than us, but I think they are beatable.
Some teams that are very good but I think beatable, Duke, NC St, TCU w/the 6-7 chick is a tough out. West Va w/their D is always a matchup nightmare.
Tune in tomorrow night & see how UCONN handles the only team in their league thats decent. Creighton…they beat the Blue Jays last month by 11 there. If they smoke Creighton by 20 plus @home, I’ll be a believer, they’re serious. And they may, they are a lot better than Creighton, I just think the Carolina game was an outlier.
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*I've seen Olivia Olson look like the superstar freshman in games, so I think it's huge that they held her in check. If you get a double whammy of Swords and Olson, it's usually trouble, and that is how they have won a lot of games. Iowa's defense was terrific tonight because Michigan is a scary scoring offense. They are going to be a problem for the conference as long as those two are there. Feuerbach gets lots of credit, but really the whole team did what they know they can do. I'd like to watch the D on a replay.
*Sydney Affolter scoring big? That is... awesome. Scoring contested layups was a big part of her game in last year's tourney, and for some reason she has had problems with it all year. Not tonight! Another cool dub-dub. It was the return of tourney Syd.
*Match it with Lucy deciding they weren't going to give her mid-range, so might as well start draining 3s. going 4-4 from distance is a great way to start a game. Both players playing like that will win a lot of games. Olson got her 20+ = Iowa win. She had some great plays on defense as well.
*Ava was ready. I think it was obvious to Jensen tonight that AOG just wasn't going to do it. She didn't hesitate to bring in Ava, and Ava did well. Wish she got that put-back when Iowa was trying to stop the bleeding, but she had big buckets.
*Senior night will be a little bittersweet with the reality that it is likely the last game in CHA for the year. Hope the fans continue to show up next year.
*Sydney Affolter scoring big? That is... awesome. Scoring contested layups was a big part of her game in last year's tourney, and for some reason she has had problems with it all year. Not tonight! Another cool dub-dub. It was the return of tourney Syd.
*Match it with Lucy deciding they weren't going to give her mid-range, so might as well start draining 3s. going 4-4 from distance is a great way to start a game. Both players playing like that will win a lot of games. Olson got her 20+ = Iowa win. She had some great plays on defense as well.
*Ava was ready. I think it was obvious to Jensen tonight that AOG just wasn't going to do it. She didn't hesitate to bring in Ava, and Ava did well. Wish she got that put-back when Iowa was trying to stop the bleeding, but she had big buckets.
*Senior night will be a little bittersweet with the reality that it is likely the last game in CHA for the year. Hope the fans continue to show up next year.
UConn is going to win that by 20+.
That also doesn't say much because 90% of their schedule is just weak. They can cakewalk games and prepare for the big ones.
Those other teams are problems for sure. It's going to be a greatly contested tournament.
I'm interested to see if Iowa brings a revenge tour chip on their shoulder to the BT Tourney. I don't know which Iowa team will ever really show up, but I absolutely love the team goals that Lucy spilled in that interview last week. They may have lost games, but the eyes are still on the prize.
Great thoughts….I’ve enjoyed your insights all year. I really enjoy these women’s bball threads. Probably why I push to keep them as reasonable as possible 🧐 that losing stretch was tough and could have gone the other way. Super impressive they came out the other end vs a formidable schedule. All these BIG schedules weren’t created equal. We had a very tough one. I’m going to compare ours & Michigans later
Maybe she can give the men’s team some pointers on how to play defense since the HC can’t seem to figure it out 🫤
By the by yes on Olivia Olson, hell of a player & we throttled her. I’ve watched Michigan some and all 3 of those Frosh are top tier, Sylas just past them. It appears Jan let Syla do her thing & focused on those 2 & Jordan Hobbs (another terrific player) and it worked. They did have pressure on Syla, she’s just that good. She had 10 rebounds & she’s just a baby. She’s very tough!
Michigan’s problem is they’re not particularly deep and they don’t play elite level defense. We seemingly always have one poor quarter but in the first, second and fourth we held them to 42 points. That’s a winning formula.
I think that’s hopeless, but it would be a nice trade off if he could give Jan pointers on IB plays. Jan has gotten better there, as have our TOs, but for all his faults, there are none better than Fran on inbounds plays.
It looked like Swords was getting in a rhythm at one point, and it felt like that huge lead was going to slip. She's a great player, and I guess it's good she chose to play for a team trying to build something over a perennial contender. Glad they are both in the conference. Hopefully Iowa can match the talent.
Double check my math on this, but Iowa has lost eight conference games to the tune of 36 points. Michigan has played the same number of tournament teams, we have, but lost seven games, including one to Wisconsin to the tune of 100 total points.
I have always thought we were better than Michigan, but I honestly thought we were better than Michigan State, Oregon, Nebraska, Illinois, Indiana and yes, even Ohio State… So there’s that😂
I have always thought we were better than Michigan, but I honestly thought we were better than Michigan State, Oregon, Nebraska, Illinois, Indiana and yes, even Ohio State… So there’s that😂
You are nuts.
If my calculator is right, I already had us at a front end 6 seed because Michigan was already a projected 6 seed (I also have them here) and I had us one rank position higher than them prior to tonight's win.
So gaining another Quad 1 away win, will most likely boost us higher. Will it push us to a back end 5 seed?
Have to see how the models change after tomorrow morning's reset.
Btw, think Scott posted earlier today that we were already projected a 7 seed before today's Michigan game.
Awesome, great stuff & thank you! I wanted to get past this game before I drilled down on projections. I didn’t have the courage to pick this kind of game ahead of time, but I thought we were much better than Michigan.
Idk. I do know that Michigan was right there with the L.A. teams, but got overwhelmed in the second half of those games. I thought it said more about how "unbeatable" both USC and UCLA were that they took down Michigan handily. Maybe it was that the games were in California. I don't recall the scores, but they added a lot of loss points to that tally. After tonight you would probably compare Iowa with the top schools rather than Michigan, but it all depends on which Iowa is going to show up.
But maybe we are getting closer to Iowa being more consistently good (despite the losses to OSU and UCLA)?
But maybe we are getting closer to Iowa being more consistently good (despite the losses to OSU and UCLA)?
Yes, Torvik's trendline was still positive for us even though we lost 2 games against highly rated teams. We actually rose in his rankings also with those losses.
Even the AP poll weirded out over our last 2 losses. We had zero votes prior to the UCLA loss. Then received 2 AP votes with back-to-back losses in the same polling week. Who knows, maybe someone felt sorry for us over the Lucy Olsen trip. However, my gut tells me they were impressed how close we played both teams which would match up with Torvik.
You are remembering correctly. I watched both games until late. Being out there definitely had an effect & ended up being 20 & 16 point losses. Again, UMs defensive intensity is waning. We are better than UM & although we aren’t @better@ than the LA teams. We have something they didn’t get much of, grit and defensive intensity. You said earlier the whole team deserves credit and they do. Syd is a gritty defender and more athletic and physical than you’d guess. Lucy is a willing defender & AG is quick. HS can move her feet (some games, she just does dumb shit) and Taylor’s D has improved. But when you have a 6ft woman, w/long arms (essentially a 6-7 man) and uber-quick that will chase & deny, deny, deny all game. She played 34 minutes, you’ve got a leg up. Nobody all year long ( and I’ve watched USC play at least 10 games ) has harassed JuJu like she did.
You can put her on almost anyone & they are going to have a looonnngg night. Superstars don’t like being guarded like that. CC didn’t either.
Kachine Alexander is worth a listen, never have before. Pretty smart, very real
She’s certainly the most fun to watch that I’ve ever seen.
FWIW, "Kash money" is a breath of fresh air IMO, I listen to her after almost every game. She has a very high level of understanding and is very honest and down to earth.
Those 2 points in the AP Poll was Kim Adams of Fox Sports putting us at 24 in her ballot. She was in studio doing pre, half, and postgame coverage of the Iowa at Ohio State game.
So she she watched that whole game for sure. Followed that up with the near upset of ucla and the 6 straight before that.. it definitely makes sense to say Iowa is top 25 right now.
I saw someone said on Twitter if you lined all the big ten teams up and said who would you not want to play in a do or die game right now?
Ucla
Usc
Maybe Ohio st
.. after that is it Iowa??
The teams are really bunched up after the top 2 in my opinion!
I listen to that post game show after every game. Alexander offers a lot of player insight and is typically pretty accurate in her assessment of games.
Kylie did switch to Swords at the start or early in the 4th quarter.
Kylie did shut Olson down last night as she also did with Nebraska's young star Prince earlier. I have really been focusing on KF the last several games, and she really gets in their faces. Swords can be thankful KF was shutting down Olson instead of herself.
Dang, I missed it and I was specifically watching for it… I’ll go back and watch again thank you. I have never had this kind of affinity for one of our basketball players, male or female, who were extremely marginal scorers but played defense like this.
This is a pretty normal thing for me in football, I’ve always leaned towards the defense and associating with their great defenders, but this girl is super super impressive to me!!!!
Here is another aggregator for ratings and schedule strength…
Real RPI has us @ 21st & 7th SOS…
Real RPI has us @ 21st & 7th SOS…
RealTimeRPI.com Women's College Basketball Rating Percentage Index (RPI) Ratings - A leading sports ratings and resources community on the Internet
RealTimeRPI.com: RPI, RPI Rankings, college basketball rpi, Real Time NCAA College Basketball and Sports Ratings - the most accurate independent analysis of the NCAA college basketball Rating Percentage Index (RPI)
realtimerpi.com
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