He’ll need to be sharper than a 37-pitch inning next week if Iowa is going to make a run.
96.3 mph. Wow. Brody Brecht is a Potential Top 5 Round MLB Draft Pick
- Thread starter Franisdaman
- Start date
Brody had last pitched Saturday, May 11. He got the start in yesterday's (Thur May 16) game in Des Moines (Principal Park) vs Florida International (FIU). Iowa would end up losing the game 2-1.
To save him for the B1G Tournament opener just 5 days from this start (on Tues, May 21), Heller only allowed Brody to go 1 complete inning. Brody walked the 1st batter; the 2nd batter flied out; the 3rd batter walked; the 4th batter grounded out, advancing the runners to 2nd and 3rd. The 5th batter walked, loading the bases. The 6th batter walked, forcing in a run. The 7th batter struck out for the 3rd out. After 1/2 inning, FIU led 1-0.
In the top of the 2nd inning, with FIU still leading 1-0, Heller brought in Aaron Savary. FIU would score 1 run in the top of the 2nd inning and that's all the offense they needed in their 2-1 win.
Brody's line:
1 inning pitched
7 batters faced
37 pitches (18 strikes, 19 balls)
0 Hits allowed
4 walks
0 Wild pitches
0 Hit batters
0 Balks
1 strike out
1 earned run (of the 1)
4.00 WHIP for this game (4 walks + 0 hits / 1 inning pitched). In the Major Leagues, the average WHIP is around 1.30.
In 14 starts and 71 innings pitched:
1.25 WHIP for the season (47 walks + 42 hits / 71 innings pitched). In the Major Leagues, the average WHIP is around 1.30.
3.55 ERA for the season
I'll be the first to admit that I've been critical of Boyd's (along with others on the Iowa pitching staff) lack of control and struggle to throw strikes over the years. That written, the strike zone in T1 last night was awfully tight. He hit Moss' glove several times and the ump called "ball."
The crowd at Principal Park, me included, was none too thrilled and vocal at times with Blue's performance behind the plate last night.
I didn’t see any of it, so can’t comment on that. Hopefully Brody picks up the form of his last 3 starts next week.
This Iowa team was supposed to be a College World Series contender. What happened?
They were supposed to have top shelf starting pitching and a solid overall staff, but from the jump the bullpen was bad, Morgan really struggled this year and Brecht & Obermueller were up and down. Just not enough from the pitching they were expecting to get.
I would have rather seen Obermueller in line to start against Michigan on Wednesday and save Brecht for a potential match-up against #1 Illinois but . . .Obermueller throwing 5 innings on Saturday night (a most excellent outing) essentially rules out Obermueller pitching Wednesday.
There really was no reason to pitch Obermueller as long as they did after Iowa put up 8 runs in B1.
Good to spend some time at the park with @GolfHacker1. Always good to get his insight and find out what's happening with the team.
Mid-February and the expectations out of this team seem like eons ago.
Snake. Freaking. Bit.
There really was no reason to pitch Obermueller as long as they did after Iowa put up 8 runs in B1.
Good to spend some time at the park with @GolfHacker1. Always good to get his insight and find out what's happening with the team.
Mid-February and the expectations out of this team seem like eons ago.
Snake. Freaking. Bit.
Short popup for out #1.
Strikeout for out #2.
Moss digs out a 97mph fastball out of dirt to save a ruin but Brody throws a 1-2 fastball inn dirt and 2 Michigan runners score...fvck!!!!
Strikeout for out #2.
Moss digs out a 97mph fastball out of dirt to save a ruin but Brody throws a 1-2 fastball inn dirt and 2 Michigan runners score...fvck!!!!
Brody Brecht got the start this afternoon in Iowa's opening game of the B1G Tournament. In the bottom of the 8th inning, Brody got the 1st batter to ground out. The 2nd batter hit an infield single to short. With 1 out & a runner on 1st and a 2-2 ball game, Heller went to the bullpen & brought in Jack Young. The runner on 1st base got thrown out attempting to steal. The next batter struck out. After 8 complete innings, the game remained tied at 2-2.
Brody's line:
7 1/3 inning pitched
32 batters faced
113 pitches (72 strikes, 41 balls)
4 Hits allowed
2 walks
4 Hit batters
1 Wild pitch
0 Balks
10 strike outs
1 earned run (of the 2)
.82 WHIP for this game (2 walks + 4 hits / 7.33 inning pitched). In the Major Leagues, the average WHIP is around 1.30.
In 15 starts and 78.33 innings pitched:
1.21 WHIP for the season (49 walks + 46 hits / 78.33 innings pitched). In the Major Leagues, the average WHIP is around 1.30.
3.33 ERA for the season
Brody's line:
7 1/3 inning pitched
32 batters faced
113 pitches (72 strikes, 41 balls)
4 Hits allowed
2 walks
4 Hit batters
1 Wild pitch
0 Balks
10 strike outs
1 earned run (of the 2)
.82 WHIP for this game (2 walks + 4 hits / 7.33 inning pitched). In the Major Leagues, the average WHIP is around 1.30.
In 15 starts and 78.33 innings pitched:
1.21 WHIP for the season (49 walks + 46 hits / 78.33 innings pitched). In the Major Leagues, the average WHIP is around 1.30.
3.33 ERA for the season
Pen arm at next level, lots of Guys throw hard and have bad command , He really needed to show a jump in his ability to locate and limit walks this Year, He did not , I hope He gets a 1st round grade and gets taken but if Iam drafting I only take Him in the 1st if He will sign underslot.
You get underslot when a guy is a 4th year or is coming off injury. There’s no reason for Brody to sign underslot when he’s going to be a top 20 pick. He’s shown flashes of improvement and some team will definitely think they an turn him into Paul Skenes because that arm talent is A+ and in relation to guys his age, his arm is pretty low-mileage and he’s less experience than his peers, implying more room to grow.
over 50 walks in less than 80 innings , Skenes had/has plus command a splitter and 2 shapes He can use on His slider and a plus change , all He commands well . No Team sees Skenes in Brody , Is not happening, Skenes is the best arm to come out in at least a Decade . Just my opinion but I see Brody a late 1st talent in a weak draft class who I would not give full slot too . It is just my opinion
I never said he is Skenes. Skenes went 1.1 and was clearly on the Mark Prior, Justin Verlander, Steven Strasburg (hopefully ultimately more Verlander than the other two with regard to injury) path from the jump. But Brody is overall less experienced than Skenes and some team is definitely going to think they can clean him up (and maybe they can). He’s not going to be a big underslot guy because if he doesn’t get pretty much slot, he can still go back to college for another year.
This is where Brody’s time as a 2-sport athlete comes into play in both good and bad ways. He’s less experienced because he hasn’t had as much late summer/fall work as a lot of his peers at this point, which means he’s catching up in terms of development and overall experience and also means his arm has fewer miles on it than his peers.
You literally said some Team will draft him trying to get the next Skenes in the top 20 picks. I mean what do I know about pitching having been a scholarship pitcher and having Harry Dorish throw a contract offer on My table to try to get Me out of My college commitment . i see a pen arm with a violent delivery that has problems repeating as well as problems with His release point consistency , the arm is plus plus, the mechanics and pitchbility are 45 grade and He has 2 usable pitches , He needs to get drafted by a Team that has very good pitching Coaches and an advanced pitch lab to quiet His delivery ,simplify the delivery and lock in His arm slot and release point, Guys as raw as Him are usually HS SRs not draft eligible college arms so the mileage argument is negated by the age issue for His draft value. I see a late 1st or lower unless He will go under slot and have some team take Him earlier so they can get a hard sign later , Just what i see . I want Him to go in the 1st for Iowa's sake as well as His but the expectations need to be tempered down some, He DID NOT do what was needed to elevate His draft stock this Season .
We’re arguing semantics. What I said (and you quoted above) was “some team will definitely think they a turn him into Paul Skenes”. That team will likely be wrong, but some team will think he has upside as an ace who can throw 100.
I also agree that he DID NOT do what was needed to increase his draft stock. At the start of the college season, I was seeing him projected 7-14 with a chance to jump into the top 5. He absolutely did not have that kind of season (Hagen Smith did). He hurt his stock, absolutely, especially with his mid-season slump. The fact that he’s come around at the end will stabilize his value and probably lock him into the 15-20 range. I do not think he’ll be a major underslot (or at least won’t accept that), but some team is definitely going to think they see the change that they can make to keep him as a high level starter and we’ll see if that team is right.
Apologies if I ever inferred that you don’t know pitching. I simply disagreed on him falling way down and being a big underslot.
Of course with all the over and under slotting, HS guys, signability issues and lack of ability to trade first round draft picks, the MLB draft is often more of a crapshoot than most other big sports, so who knows. He could fall or there could be a team absolutely in love with him in the back end of the top 10 convinced he won’T be there in the 2nd round and they jump. We’ll see how it goes. I do think he’s a 15-20 talent all else being equal.
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Mock has Brody going 19th to the mets.
Another Ankeny kid (Joey Oakie) who was going to come to Iowa to play is seeing a ton of MLB scout interest now. Something in the water out there?
From what I’ve heard, he seems to be a much stronger candidate to go in the MLB draft than Brecht because Oakie doesn’t have Hawkeye football holding him back - both in terms of his own desires to play a 2nd sport and teams knowing they have to compete with another sport. Will be interesting to follow.
This is great. As you will see, Danan said he's hit 104 mph.
And don't tell ColesLaw that he has a very bright future.
And don't tell ColesLaw that he has a very bright future.
For the record, the 104 was reported on last year and it was a hot gun. I've heard Brody address it, too. Love him and his potential, but 104 isn't real.
Jesse Rogers of ESPN on Brody Brecht. He's not a fan.
Also, Jeff Passan reference to 2024 as a "breakout" year for Brecht is certainly debatable.
www.espn.com
Also, Jeff Passan reference to 2024 as a "breakout" year for Brecht is certainly debatable.
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Brecht has really risks as a 1st round pick and he really didn’t help himself this season. That said, for his age, he’s an immature pitcher given all the time dedicated to football. His ceiling is still really high, but he does have a risky floor.
Saw today that he's being mocked 23rd....to the Dodgers (puke). The comment was made that his command was due to the staff tinkering with his mechanics and perhaps it didn't help him.
Brecht's numbers have improved each season, has elite movement on his fastball. Location and a third pitch are what separate him from a top 5 guy in the draft. You cannot teach 96-99mph on a fast ball in late innings. He has an elite fastball, elite slider, but he will need to work on his splitter. Every single pitcher drafted in the first round is a high risk/high reward type of guy.
I think the command being due to staff is likely true, especially given the overall disappointment of the pitching staff and the parting of ways with pitching coach.
Oh, I’m very high on Brecht….but this year highlighted some of the downside risk to the point that he’s gone from a guy projected in the top 10 preseason to the back half of the first round. Command and a third pitch is obviously the highest risk, but that also plays up the risk of his fastball. 100 mph is really hard to hit, but some scouts don’t love the fastball shape. Command and/or a third pitch would really reduce the risk there, though.
I actually still kind of want the Cubs to take Brecht at 14, but I don’t think they will. I do think there’s a good chance he’s off the board before the Dodgers.
The full text of the tweet;
The Colorado Rockies select power pitcher Brody Brecht 6-4, 235) at No. 38 after the first round. Brecht becomes Iowa’s highest-drafted player since Tim Costo went No. 8 overall in 1990.
Brecht was 4-3 with a 3.33 ERA, 128 Ks and 49 BBs last year. He was 4th nationally in Ks per 9 innings (14.71) and 7th in total strikeouts.
In 3 seasons, Brecht was 10-9 with a 3.49 ERA, 281 Ks and 135 walks. He also played WR for 2 seasons for the football team with 9 catches for 87 yards.
The Colorado Rockies select power pitcher Brody Brecht 6-4, 235) at No. 38 after the first round. Brecht becomes Iowa’s highest-drafted player since Tim Costo went No. 8 overall in 1990.
Brecht was 4-3 with a 3.33 ERA, 128 Ks and 49 BBs last year. He was 4th nationally in Ks per 9 innings (14.71) and 7th in total strikeouts.
In 3 seasons, Brecht was 10-9 with a 3.49 ERA, 281 Ks and 135 walks. He also played WR for 2 seasons for the football team with 9 catches for 87 yards.
Congrats to Brody, that’s a big accomplishment. I know he fell in the draft, but with baseballs overslotting and underslotting, it’s one of the hardest sports to really project out. With all the projections I read, it seemed Brody’s floor was Philly at 27 or 28, but obviously he fell further. Similarly, Trey Yesavage out of East Carolina was projected frequently in the low teens and went #20. I know on the surface Colorado doesn’t seem great, but with the humidors in use now, the park plays more fairly than it used to and Brody likely has a multi-year path between today and the majors, so plenty of opportunities for trades. I’m actually less concerned about him in Colorado for Coors field and more because their player dev system is hot garbage.
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