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Hurricane season has arrived....



After Helene, folks talking about how uncommon it is for hurricanes to hit nearly the same spot. It's uncommon but not unheard of.

Frances & Jeanne hit the same spot in the same month of 2004.Moreover, there appears to be a hurricane track cluster in the northern/northeast Gulf recently.

This happened in the late 1940s in South Florida. Between 1945 and 1950, four major hurricanes hit within 50 miles of Miami. Hurricane clusters have happened throughout the hurricane record.

You just hope you're not living in one when it's happening.
 


After Helene, folks talking about how uncommon it is for hurricanes to hit nearly the same spot. It's uncommon but not unheard of.

Frances & Jeanne hit the same spot in the same month of 2004.Moreover, there appears to be a hurricane track cluster in the northern/northeast Gulf recently.

This happened in the late 1940s in South Florida. Between 1945 and 1950, four major hurricanes hit within 50 miles of Miami. Hurricane clusters have happened throughout the hurricane record.

You just hope you're not living in one when it's happening.

two_atl_7d0.png


Not sure if this pic auto-updates, or if it'll still be around a few days...
7 day outlook
 
two_atl_7d0.png


Not sure if this pic auto-updates, or if it'll still be around a few days...
7 day outlook

I’ve been waiting as long as possible before talking about the possibility of another storm.

Scaremonger extraordinare MWP is doing his best to wishcast another storm hitting Florida. The 8 am NHC still has it at 50% chance of developing within 7 days. Respected non-fearmongers like DPL, Noah Bergen, Andy Hazelton and Jim Cantore have made posts about the possibility another storm coming up from the same area.

 
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As we leave September & enter October this week, I think we'll need to keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico.Satellite reveals an area of disturbed weather over the southwest Gulf, & a tropical wave entering the northwest Caribbean.

These two features seem to merge in the models and could provide an area for possible development.

Right now, we're just keeping an eye on these features and this area.
 
DPL



TROPICS | The potential system in the Caribbean has a 50% chance of developing by mid to late week as it heads to the southern Gulf. What we do know is that yes, a system is likely to develop. What we don't know is where it eventually goes, and at what strength it will be. Models this far out are just not good at specifics. So we look for trends. Those trends confirm a system in the Gulf, but landfall locations are anywhere from Florida to Louisiana. Intensity trends are anywhere from very weak to pretty strong. So... take a breath and check back in with us daily for updates. We'll begin to get specifics on what this could be and where it goes by Tuesday/Wednesday.
 
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Jim Cantore yesterday



The last thing I want to do right now is look ahead as our hearts are still broken for so many in the southeast especially those that have lost loved ones in this historic hurricane/flood. But that is what we do as Meteorologists, forecast the weather to prepare people for what may come.

There is the potential for a couple areas of low pressure to form in the southwestern GOM and western Caribbean during the next 7 days. Anything that comes out of the western Carribean could get into the GOM and move northward. That will be something to watch for in the middle and end of next week.

Below is the latest EURO and GFS ensemble members with the take away being they both have some semblance of this scenario. GFS is more aggressive at this time. NHC currently at 40%.
 
You're referring to what FEMA does, Cletus.
The "troops" do not do this.
Surely you know that there are several agencies involved. Why, they even have volunteer agencies who come in to help out.
Then there’s the Army Corps of Engineers when bridges and waterways are impacted.
Now go sit on your back porch and take your nap. 😴
 
The National Guard most certainly does do this.

FEMA prints checks.
SMFH

National Guard working to rescue hundreds trapped by Hurricane Helene​

Nearly 5,000 National Guard personnel are active in several states with search and rescue efforts after the storm left a path of destruction.
 
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SMFH

National Guard working to rescue hundreds trapped by Hurricane Helene​

Nearly 5,000 National Guard personnel are active in several states with search and rescue efforts after the storm left a path of destruction.

Talk to Joes Place. He's the one who said the troops don't respond to natural disasters.
 
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Talk to Joes Place. He's the one who said the troops don't respond to natural disasters.

Sometimes they go to Kuwait to protect the king. Not our king, because we don’t have one, but a foreign king, because that’s why they took an oath to the Constitution.


Thursday, September 26, 2024 | 09:32am
NASHVILLE, Tenn. – More than 700 Soldiers from the Tennessee Army National Guard’s 278th Armored Cavalry Regiment are departing Saturday, September 28, on the first leg of a year-long deployment to the Middle East.
The Task Force, comprised primarily of Soldiers from the 278th’s 2nd Squadron, will initially deploy to Fort Bliss, Texas, for a few weeks of additional deployment training before flying to Kuwait.
 
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The army has bridges that can be deployed in short order and can support tanks. North Carolina is going to need some of that.
 
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Because of the failures of FEMA. JFC.
I today learned that the Mayor of New Orleans had to be pushed into ordering his city into storm preps..,thanks Tiley!
He could have loaded many onto the school buses that were available. Instead those ended up underwater and his constituents ended up on I-10 overpasses and trashed the Superdome.

As many as 200,000 relocated permanently to Houston after the storm.
 
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