Hurricane season has arrived....

[TC Nole OX]

Last night’s Denis Phillips webcast. He does these every Tuesday and Thursday during hurricane season and then every night when a storm is threatening Florida.

“We're still looking good with all that dry air out there. I'm thinking in about 9 or 10 days, that's gonna change”


Quiet for the next week...then expect big changes

 

[The Tradition]

Unbelievably quiet in the Atlantic. Meanwhile, they're lined up like bowling balls in the Pacific.

 

[hawkirugged17]

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[The Tradition]

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Could CLIMATE CHANGE be causing this?????

 

[TC Nole OX]

I was 19 miles north of the center of the eye. It wasn’t bad where we were. We had one damaged tile on our roof.

Our friend, BigDog MiamiNole Ken, was near The Falls SW 136th Street and US-1. He had water coming through the deadbolt lock on his front door. I know other people who lived near him who had their roof ripped off by a tornado and had to pile the family into a bathtub

The path of the eye from the water to the turnpike looked like someone ran a lawnmower through there. It took 25 years before you could no longer tell where the eye path was.

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[The Tradition]

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Flying out of MCO on Saturday, soooo.... STAY AWAY, DISTURBANCE 1!

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[NoleATL]

Flying out of MCO on Saturday, soooo.... STAY AWAY, DISTURBANCE 1!

This the Hawaii trip? Make it there yet?

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[TC Nole OX]

@DFSNOLE ….thoughts on this? Is it the straps or the fact that the houses are made out of concrete and elevated?

 

[DFSNOLE]

@DFSNOLE ….thoughts on this? Is it the straps or the fact that the houses are made out of concrete and elevated?

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Hurricane straps certainly work to mitigate wind damage. We used them to strap down trusses on block and steel structures.

When properly placed, they tie the building from the foundation, through the walls to the roof.

 

[The Tradition]

This the Hawaii trip? Make it there yet?

Aloha!

 

[SolarHawk]

Aloha!

Alono

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[TC Nole OX]

 

[noleclone2]

Not good. It is over bath water right now and way ahead of schedule. To me this looks like one of those storms that blooms to major in 36 hours.

 

[lucas80]

Francine looks to be growing and intensifying.

 

[The Tradition]

Francine looks to be growing and intensifying.

And Leon is getting larger….

 

[binsfeldcyhawk2]

And Leon is getting larger….

Where's Leon...not seeing it.

 

[DFSNOLE]

Even though Francine made landfall hundreds of miles to my west, we have gotten nearly 6.5" of rain over the last 36 hours from the bands.

 

[runkpanole]

Even though Francine made landfall hundreds of miles to my west, we have gotten nearly 6.5" of rain over the last 36 hours from the bands.

It’s been rather moist in Tallahassee as well. I’m over it.

 

[KFsdisciple]

It's been raining in Jax since August, but awful quiet in the tropics for what was predicted to be one of the worst hurricane seasons on record.

 

[An Iowa fan]

It's been raining in Jax since August, but awful quiet in the tropics for what was predicted to be one of the worst hurricane seasons on record.

Don’t jinx it, please. Knock on wood now.

 

[The Tradition]

September is halfway over. This is supposed to be the absolute peak of activity.

 

[DFSNOLE]

September is halfway over. This is supposed to be the absolute peak of activity.

October has been worse. Michael was in October. Wilma was in October. The storms that form when a cold front stalls have been memorable.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/most-notorious-october-hurricanes-in-the-atlantic/356160/amp#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17262645775740&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com

 

[KFsdisciple]

September is halfway over. This is supposed to be the absolute peak of activity.

The experts revised their apocalyptic predictions down, a week or so ago I think. They can't quite put their finger on it but the Atlantic ocean is cooling, not warming, and there's been desert dust, and the moon hasn't been on its normal cycle, etc it's everything but we were wrong ooops

 

[runkpanole]

It only takes one storm to mess someone life up. See Hurricane Andrew.

 

[seminole97]

It’s been rather moist in Tallahassee as well. I’m over it.

Seems like it's been steady, but not heavy, at least around me.

 

[runkpanole]

Seems like it's been steady, but not heavy, at least around me.

I agree with that. However, since I got back from Dublin, I think it’s rained all but 3 days. Of course before that my yard was really dry. Feast or famine it seems.

 

[hawkirugged17]

Where's Leon...not seeing it.

 

[DFSNOLE]

Both the GFS and the ECMWF models have a storm in the gulf moving towards the panhandle by the end of next week. I know that's a long way out but it's something to keep an eye on.

ECMWF Model

ECMWF model forecast of MSLP & Precip for Western Atlantic

www.tropicaltidbits.com

 

[runkpanole]

Both the GFS and the ECMWF models have a storm in the gulf moving towards the panhandle by the end of next week. I know that's a long way out but it's something to keep an eye on.

ECMWF Model

ECMWF model forecast of MSLP & Precip for Western Atlantic

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Yeah, I’m supposed to be traveling for work next week. I’ll be watching. I hate these storms that spin up from lingering fronts.

 

[TC Nole OX]

Both the GFS and the ECMWF models have a storm in the gulf moving towards the panhandle by the end of next week. I know that's a long way out but it's something to keep an eye on.

ECMWF Model

ECMWF model forecast of MSLP & Precip for Western Atlantic

www.tropicaltidbits.com

 

[TC Nole OX]