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Bracketology: Hawks 6 seed

QChawks

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Feb 11, 2013
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In today's update:

Iowa, Iowa State, Virginia Tech & Washington (in that order) are the last 4 teams in.

The winner of #11 Iowa/#11 Iowa State would play #6 Ole Miss. #3 Duke (the host) likely would be the opponent for a bid to the Sweet 16 in Spokane.




The Full Bracket:

 
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In today's update:

Iowa, Iowa State, Virginia Tech & Washington (in that order) are the last 4 teams in.

The winner of #11 Iowa/#11 Iowa State would play #6 Ole Miss. #3 Duke (the host) likely would be the opponent for a bid to the Sweet 16 in Spokane.




The Full Bracket:


That would actually be awesome and 3 teams we could beat. So we know it won’t go that Direction 😂
 
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Noticed that they have Iowa listed in the last 4 byes and Iowas St not listed as last 4 byes or last 4 in.. yet Iowa is a 9 and Iowa St a 10.. maybe Iowa st was meant to be last 4 byes and we are clear of that level?
 
Noticed that they have Iowa listed in the last 4 byes and Iowas St not listed as last 4 byes or last 4 in.. yet Iowa is a 9 and Iowa St a 10.. maybe Iowa st was meant to be last 4 byes and we are clear of that level?
I didn’t notice that, Could be mistake
 
It’s interesting Iowa shows as a 9 most places, but their net ranking was 30 before the win last night.
Iowa is picking up quality wins and the resume looks pretty good head to head vs other 8/9
 
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Today Iowa (18-7) is projected as the #9 seed in the Austin bracket.

In this projection, if they would beat #8 seed Florida State, they'd most likely play #1 seed Texas on their home court for the right to advance to the Sweet 16.

 
In today's update:

Iowa, Iowa State, Virginia Tech & Washington (in that order) are the last 4 teams in.

The winner of #11 Iowa/#11 Iowa State would play #6 Ole Miss. #3 Duke (the host) likely would be the opponent for a bid to the Sweet 16 in Spokane.




The Full Bracket:


This Ohio State loss didn't hurt.
 
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Washington is back in the bracket, on the merit of losing to Oregon and USC last week, it seems.

I kid, it's likely because some other bubble teams did worse.
 
I'd rather be a 12 seed. I feel there isn't as big a difference playing a 5 vs playing an 8 or 9. Then you play a 4 seed to make it to the sweet 16. Better than having to play a 1.

Oh, yeah. Lower seeds only seldom establish legendary status. And memories are short.

Better to have highest possible seed. Tourneys are funky...almost like early season games. Anything can happen.
 
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This

Historically there are a lot less upsets in the women’s game too
True. But I just feel like the top 6-8 teams in WBB are so dominant. I think Iowa can handle just about any team out side the top 4 or 5 this year. Big difference between a 1-2 loss team vs a team that has lost 5-6 games. I am just talking about making it to the sweet 16 this year.
 
True. But I just feel like the top 6-8 teams in WBB are so dominant. I think Iowa can handle just about any team out side the top 4 or 5 this year. Big difference between a 1-2 loss team vs a team that has lost 5-6 games. I am just talking about making it to the sweet 16 this year.
A trip to the sweet 16 would be a Damn Fine job, by Jan this season given everything the last year, their personel losses, and the new and improved conference adding two legit final four teams to conference play.....
 
A trip to the sweet 16 would be a Damn Fine job, by Jan this season given everything the last year, their personel losses, and the new and improved conference adding two legit final four teams to conference play.....
I completely agree. This team is good enough to win round 1, but could they win round 2? I'd say yes if they're playing a 4 seed vs a 1 seed.
 
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I don't know how the rules work these days with teams from the same conference. Can we be an 8/9 in a regional where USC or UCLA is the 1 (or a 7/10 where they are a 2)?
Does it make a difference if we play either a second time in the conference tournament?
 
I don't know how the rules work these days with teams from the same conference. Can we be an 8/9 in a regional where USC or UCLA is the 1 (or a 7/10 where they are a 2)?
Does it make a difference if we play either a second time in the conference tournament?

This goes into some of the seed rules. Can't recall if addresses your specific question or not.

March Madness Selections 101 - NCAA.org
How Teams Earn a Spot in the Men's and Women's NCAA Tournament (linked some resources below from here)


Also, it looks like this season has more computer model metric systems utilized in calculating seeds. Bart Torvik model is finally used in it along with others. I know they only have it listed for the men's section on the web page. However, it's been billed as the KenPom for women for a while.


2024-25 D-I Women's Basketball NET Ranking thru games 02/24/2025


Didn't see that much difference between the "computer models" used between men and women in these pdfs when more than the NET is used.

2025 NCAA DIVISION I WOMEN’S BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP PRINCIPLES AND PROCEDURES FOR ESTABLISHING THE BRACKET
https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/championships/sports/basketball/d1/women/2024-25D1WBB_NETFAQ.pdf


2024-25 NCAA DIVISION I MEN’S BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP PRINCIPLES AND PROCEDURES FOR ESTABLISHING THE BRACKET
 
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Iowa is WAY better than its record. Two OT losses, a 1-point loss, and a controversial (to say the least) 2-pt. loss to the #3 team in the country. Iowa can beat anyone. In fact, in most of the losses Iowa has beaten itself more so than the other team has simply been better. So that's the very good news. The potentially bad news is that they'll keep playing on the edge like this instead of taking that tiny step forward that could make for memorable runs in both the BTT and the NCAA.

I like this team a lot, and if they can make a couple of those minor adjustments, it's gonna be fun in March.
 
This was before Iowa won at Michigan. Is David, a beat writer for 24/7, right? We should get a 7 seed if we win our next 2 games (final reg season game + 1 BTT game)?

What if we win our next 3 (final reg season game + 2 BTT games)?

 
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