Wasn't it @KFsdisciple who was mocking the early total storm projections? Bastard.
Hurricane season has arrived....
- Thread starter The Tradition
- Start date
I think it was Trad.
Wake me when we have to start naming storms with Greek letters this year.
No. Trad said "so what" when Helene was 10 days out.
Nope. But does look like it'll pick up significant speed before landfall, reducing the potential rain totals somewhat.
Lake Tradition is right up to the banks already, and the lower back yard is pretty swampy. Got it all mowed just now, thankfully. Probably won't be able to mow again back there for a month with this forecast.
Offense intended...I have family and friends in the NC mountains...all safe thankfully...so fvck you. Take a dirt nap.
The predictions called for a high number of storms. We're only on "M"....
I realize it only takes one storm to **** up everything, but the predictions I scoffed at were about the number of storms, not any particular storm's intensity or damage.
I cannot fathom another storm coming off the heels of Helene. Praying to God this thing does not become a hurricane and hit Tampa Bay. If it’s still tracking this way by Monday, we are getting the hell out of Dodge.
That pink track looks fun, Miami, Havana and the Keys coming and going.
The majority of the tracks take this right over Tradition Manor.
723
WTNT64 KNHC 051725
TCUAT4
Tropical Storm Milton Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
1225 PM CDT Sat Oct 05 2024
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM MILTON...
...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BRING THE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING
IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NEXT WEEK...
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the depression has
strengthened into Tropical Storm Milton. The maximum sustained
winds are estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
SUMMARY OF 1225 PM CDT...1725 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 95.3W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Brown/Kelly
WTNT64 KNHC 051725
TCUAT4
Tropical Storm Milton Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
1225 PM CDT Sat Oct 05 2024
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM MILTON...
...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BRING THE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING
IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NEXT WEEK...
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the depression has
strengthened into Tropical Storm Milton. The maximum sustained
winds are estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
SUMMARY OF 1225 PM CDT...1725 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 95.3W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Brown/Kelly
Send that crap north...we need the rain.
That pink track looks fun, Miami, Havana and the Keys coming and going.
It's a race between the storm and a cold front that decides how far south this will track.
Traffic leaving will be insane. You could spend 12 hours just getting to Lakeland, providing you go to Palm Beach or south, if you wait too long to leave.
If you can stay with friends on higher ground in Hillsborough/Tampa, then you can wait pretty close to the last minute.
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You think if we left early Monday? We are thinking about going to the wife’s sisters in Orlando if we leave. If it looks like it’s only gonna be a cat 1 at worst, we will probably hang. This is just nuts to have two hit us within 2 weeks. FLO RIDA BABAY
It's going to run across Orlando, too. Head to Tally.
Sure, we have our share of poors, but folks here would bristle with the “but it’s mainly poor folks” ending to your post. Plenty of the retirees here are local folks who have done OK.
Not getting huffy, but I speculate Iowa has some poors as well.
To your point about topography, floods have always been part and parcel of the region. Low lying residential areas tend to be home to either lower income folks or newbies who don’t know the historical record of flooding.
A big issue is that long-standing business districts in many cities/towns that are increasingly threatened are right along waterways.
There are towns/communities that will not rebuild in the same footprint after this event. The writing on the wall is very clear.
Yep, looks like the Big O will be in the path, whether biggly or otherwise.
Poors live in the lowlands. My people are Louisa County poors who lived on bottomland and flooding was part of life. Just saying despite proper planning, or any planning, poors go into flood plains. And, on the reverse many of the affected are people who chose to purchase retirement or second homes in rugged, remote areas for the nature and privacy, are now facing the consequences.
This was an epic event, too. Epic storms are becoming more prevalent. We have to learn from them.
I heard a segment the other day about updated flood zone data coming “soon”. Many areas are still allowing housing/development in spots that are at risk.
I had an Econ prof back in the 80s who said no one will pay attention to the environment until there are economic consequences. Seemed a little stupid back then. Well it’s happening now.
